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icon for Will Drake release a new album by...?

Will Drake release a new album by...?

icon for Will Drake release a new album by...?

Will Drake release a new album by...?

BARU
Oct 1, 2026
Polymarket

$4,395 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,540 Vol.

31%

December 31

$2,855 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s May 2026 triple release of *Iceman*, *Habibti*, and *Maid of Honour*—his first solo projects since 2023—reset expectations for his output, with all three debuting in the Billboard 200 top three and driving massive streaming numbers. Traders are now focused on the September 15 YouTube livestream for the teased “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) project, which follows months of cryptic social posts and could signal another quick album drop before year-end. Historical patterns of surprise releases and Drake’s recent pace support elevated implied probabilities for a new studio album by December 31, though the exact nature of the September event remains unconfirmed and could instead deliver singles or visuals. The next key catalyst is the livestream itself, which may clarify timelines and shift market sentiment rapidly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$4,395
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s May 2026 triple release of *Iceman*, *Habibti*, and *Maid of Honour*—his first solo projects since 2023—reset expectations for his output, with all three debuting in the Billboard 200 top three and driving massive streaming numbers. Traders are now focused on the September 15 YouTube livestream for the teased “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) project, which follows months of cryptic social posts and could signal another quick album drop before year-end. Historical patterns of surprise releases and Drake’s recent pace support elevated implied probabilities for a new studio album by December 31, though the exact nature of the September event remains unconfirmed and could instead deliver singles or visuals. The next key catalyst is the livestream itself, which may clarify timelines and shift market sentiment rapidly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$4,395
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Drake release a new album by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 48%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 31%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 48¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Drake release a new album by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 4, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Drake release a new album by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will Drake release a new album by...?" adalah "December 31" di 48%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 31%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Drake release a new album by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.