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Olahraga·Piala Dunia FIFA

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination
Olahraga·Piala Dunia FIFA

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

Round of 16 34%

Round of 32 26%

Quarterfinals 20%

Semifinals 14%

Polymarket
BARU

Round of 16 34%

Round of 32 26%

Quarterfinals 20%

Semifinals 14%

Polymarket
BARU

Group Stage

$497 Vol.

3%

Round of 32

$540 Vol.

26%

Round of 16

$161 Vol.

34%

Quarterfinals

$128 Vol.

20%

Semifinals

$0 Vol.

14%

Final

$10 Vol.

9%

Champion

$270 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a talented squad featuring Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz under Julian Nagelsmann, backed by strong qualifying results and a favorable group draw. However, trader consensus heavily favors an early exit—led by "Other" at 50% and Round of 16 or 32 outcomes—reflecting caution from two straight group-stage disappointments and recent injury setbacks, including Serge Gnabry's adductor tear and Lennart Karl's late thigh issue. Manuel Neuer's return from retirement adds experience but carries fitness questions ahead of the June 14 opener. The expanded 48-team format offers a longer path, yet historical volatility and depth concerns temper expectations for quarterfinals or beyond in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,605
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a talented squad featuring Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz under Julian Nagelsmann, backed by strong qualifying results and a favorable group draw. However, trader consensus heavily favors an early exit—led by "Other" at 50% and Round of 16 or 32 outcomes—reflecting caution from two straight group-stage disappointments and recent injury setbacks, including Serge Gnabry's adductor tear and Lennart Karl's late thigh issue. Manuel Neuer's return from retirement adds experience but carries fitness questions ahead of the June 14 opener. The expanded 48-team format offers a longer path, yet historical volatility and depth concerns temper expectations for quarterfinals or beyond in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,605
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Round of 16" di 34%, diikuti oleh "Round of 32" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 34¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 7, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" adalah "Round of 16" di 34%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Round of 32" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.