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World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,049 Vol.

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,049 Vol.

Lamine Yamal

$9,081 Vol.

14%

Kylian Mbappé

$20,025 Vol.

11%

Michael Olise

$9,062 Vol.

11%

Harry Kane

$9,599 Vol.

8%

Vinícius Jr.

$4,934 Vol.

7%

Lionel Messi

$3,881 Vol.

7%

Pedri

$2,065 Vol.

6%

Bruno Fernandes

$6,418 Vol.

5%

Ousmane Dembélé

$5,042 Vol.

4%

Vitinha

$6,611 Vol.

4%

Jude Bellingham

$1,748 Vol.

3%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$10,773 Vol.

3%

Florian Wirtz

$7,154 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$6,384 Vol.

2%

Declan Rice

$1,607 Vol.

2%

Rodri

$3,887 Vol.

2%

Rayan Cherki

$3,602 Vol.

2%

Bukayo Saka

$2,028 Vol.

1%

Neymar

$6,167 Vol.

<1%

Gavi

$2,079 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The evenly distributed implied probabilities in the Golden Ball market reflect a wide-open field heading into the 2026 World Cup, with no single player commanding majority trader consensus. Lamine Yamal’s leading 13.5% share stems from his breakout club form and international promise, while Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit near 11% on the strength of consistent scoring and playmaking. Veterans such as Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, and Cristiano Ronaldo trail at single-digit levels, their odds tempered by age and recent workload. Competitive dynamics remain tight because tournament matchups, fitness, and momentum shifts can quickly elevate under-the-radar performers like Pedri or Vinícius Jr., keeping the race fluid until knockout stages conclude.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,049
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The evenly distributed implied probabilities in the Golden Ball market reflect a wide-open field heading into the 2026 World Cup, with no single player commanding majority trader consensus. Lamine Yamal’s leading 13.5% share stems from his breakout club form and international promise, while Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit near 11% on the strength of consistent scoring and playmaking. Veterans such as Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, and Cristiano Ronaldo trail at single-digit levels, their odds tempered by age and recent workload. Competitive dynamics remain tight because tournament matchups, fitness, and momentum shifts can quickly elevate under-the-radar performers like Pedri or Vinícius Jr., keeping the race fluid until knockout stages conclude.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,049
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lamine Yamal" di 14%, diikuti oleh "Kylian Mbappé" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 14¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" telah menghasilkan $122K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 3, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" adalah "Lamine Yamal" di 14%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kylian Mbappé" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.