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Olahraga·Piala Dunia FIFA 2026

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

icon for World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Olahraga·Piala Dunia FIFA 2026

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

$673,006 Vol.

Jul 20, 2026
Polymarket

$673,006 Vol.

Polymarket

Spain

$36,519 Vol.

29%

France

$33,586 Vol.

26%

England

$32,790 Vol.

24%

Portugal

$48,228 Vol.

23%

Argentina

$19,982 Vol.

23%

Brazil

$28,992 Vol.

18%

Germany

$7,231 Vol.

14%

Netherlands

$28,411 Vol.

13%

Belgium

$15,126 Vol.

7%

USA

$29,627 Vol.

6%

Morocco

$36,209 Vol.

6%

Mexico

$123,932 Vol.

6%

Colombia

$18,340 Vol.

6%

Norway

$51,010 Vol.

6%

Japan

$18,536 Vol.

5%

Uruguay

$8,884 Vol.

4%

Croatia

$8,416 Vol.

4%

Switzerland

$18,739 Vol.

3%

New Zealand

$514 Vol.

3%

Czechia

$4,095 Vol.

2%

Senegal

$10,785 Vol.

2%

Austria

$3,259 Vol.

2%

South Africa

$208 Vol.

2%

Ecuador

$12,686 Vol.

2%

Canada

$2,775 Vol.

2%

Ivory Coast

$5,841 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$1,703 Vol.

2%

South Korea

$3,486 Vol.

2%

Scotland

$3,483 Vol.

2%

Ghana

$161 Vol.

2%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$597 Vol.

2%

Qatar

$310 Vol.

2%

Algeria

$198 Vol.

2%

Paraguay

$698 Vol.

1%

Australia

$93 Vol.

1%

Turkiye

$44,585 Vol.

1%

Saudi Arabia

$1,715 Vol.

1%

Tunisia

$249 Vol.

1%

Egypt

$1,437 Vol.

1%

Iran

$1,053 Vol.

1%

DR Congo

$216 Vol.

1%

Uzbekistan

$2,649 Vol.

1%

Jordan

$483 Vol.

1%

Curacao

$1,049 Vol.

<1%

Cape Verde

$3,636 Vol.

<1%

Panama

$648 Vol.

<1%

Iraq

$196 Vol.

<1%

Haiti

$365 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 World Cup group stage as the Polymarket favorite to reach the final at roughly 29% implied probability, ahead of France near 26%, reflecting its Euro 2024 title momentum, depth anchored by Lamine Yamal, and favorable early schedule. France follows closely due to its blend of experience and attacking options, while England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina sit in the next tier based on squad quality and recent form. Early group results, including the United States’ 4-1 opener win and Morocco’s competitive draw with Brazil, have produced modest shifts, but the market remains driven by overall roster strength and historical knockout performance rather than any single match outcome. With the bracket still fluid and most contenders yet to face elite opposition, traders are pricing in high variance through the round of 16 and quarterfinals.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$673,006
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 World Cup group stage as the Polymarket favorite to reach the final at roughly 29% implied probability, ahead of France near 26%, reflecting its Euro 2024 title momentum, depth anchored by Lamine Yamal, and favorable early schedule. France follows closely due to its blend of experience and attacking options, while England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina sit in the next tier based on squad quality and recent form. Early group results, including the United States’ 4-1 opener win and Morocco’s competitive draw with Brazil, have produced modest shifts, but the market remains driven by overall roster strength and historical knockout performance rather than any single match outcome. With the bracket still fluid and most contenders yet to face elite opposition, traders are pricing in high variance through the round of 16 and quarterfinals.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$673,006
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 48+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Spain" di 28%, diikuti oleh "France" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 28¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" telah menghasilkan $673K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 27, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final," jelajahi 48+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" adalah "Spain" di 28%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "France" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.