The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, and other contenders stems from deep, balanced squads and recent form across major tournaments. Spain enters with momentum from Euro 2024 success and a young core featuring standout attackers, while France maintains consistency through strong defensive organization and attacking depth. England and Argentina benefit from experienced lineups and historical knockout pedigree, with Portugal and Brazil close behind on talent and attacking options. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities, as any of several European or South American sides could advance deep given favorable draws, minimal injury disruptions, or momentum shifts in the knockout rounds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
SpanyolΒ 16.4%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.4%
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
Spanyol
16%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
SpanyolΒ 16.4%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.4%
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
Spanyol
16%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, and other contenders stems from deep, balanced squads and recent form across major tournaments. Spain enters with momentum from Euro 2024 success and a young core featuring standout attackers, while France maintains consistency through strong defensive organization and attacking depth. England and Argentina benefit from experienced lineups and historical knockout pedigree, with Portugal and Brazil close behind on talent and attacking options. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities, as any of several European or South American sides could advance deep given favorable draws, minimal injury disruptions, or momentum shifts in the knockout rounds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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