Spain and France sit nearly level at the top of the World Cup winner market, reflecting the narrow gap in trader assessments of their squads heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Spainβs Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form with a youthful core have edged them slightly ahead in implied probability, while Franceβs exceptional depth across positions sustains their close positioning. England follows as the next European contender, benefiting from a solid qualification record and established Premier League talent. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil remain competitive due to individual star power and historical pedigree, though recent results have kept them behind the leading Europeans. This bunched pricing underscores the balanced field where multiple teams possess realistic paths to the final stages.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
SpanyolΒ 16.4%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.4%
$1,936,050,141 Vol.
$1,936,050,141 Vol.
Spanyol
16%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
SpanyolΒ 16.4%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.4%
$1,936,050,141 Vol.
$1,936,050,141 Vol.
Spanyol
16%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit nearly level at the top of the World Cup winner market, reflecting the narrow gap in trader assessments of their squads heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Spainβs Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form with a youthful core have edged them slightly ahead in implied probability, while Franceβs exceptional depth across positions sustains their close positioning. England follows as the next European contender, benefiting from a solid qualification record and established Premier League talent. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil remain competitive due to individual star power and historical pedigree, though recent results have kept them behind the leading Europeans. This bunched pricing underscores the balanced field where multiple teams possess realistic paths to the final stages.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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