Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 16.4% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, with England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind, reflecting the tight trader consensus. Spain’s position stems from its Euro 2024 title and consistent attacking depth featuring emerging talents, while France’s squad quality and recent final appearances sustain near parity. England’s strong qualification record and recent European final runs keep it competitive, as do Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree and Brazil’s historical pedigree. The expanded 48-team field, combined with multiple deep European squads holding recent form advantages and favorable FIFA rankings, prevents any single side from pulling away decisively before the opening matches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
Spanyol 16.4%
Prancis 16.1%
Inggris 10.8%
Portugal 10.5%
$1,937,668,944 Vol.
$1,937,668,944 Vol.
Spanyol
16%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Spanyol 16.4%
Prancis 16.1%
Inggris 10.8%
Portugal 10.5%
$1,937,668,944 Vol.
$1,937,668,944 Vol.
Spanyol
16%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 16.4% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, with England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind, reflecting the tight trader consensus. Spain’s position stems from its Euro 2024 title and consistent attacking depth featuring emerging talents, while France’s squad quality and recent final appearances sustain near parity. England’s strong qualification record and recent European final runs keep it competitive, as do Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree and Brazil’s historical pedigree. The expanded 48-team field, combined with multiple deep European squads holding recent form advantages and favorable FIFA rankings, prevents any single side from pulling away decisively before the opening matches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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