Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after Franceβs 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spainβs consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiWorld Cup Winner
SpanyolΒ 17.0%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.8%
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
$1,958,560,634 Vol.

Spanyol
17%

Prancis
16%

Inggris
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Jerman
5%

Belanda
4%

Norwegia
2%

Belgia
2%

Kolombia
2%

Jepang
2%

Maroko
2%

Meksiko
1%

Swiss
1%

Turki
1%

Amerika Serikat
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croatia
1%

Ekuador
1%

Senegal
1%

Pantai Gading
<1%

Austria
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Korea Selatan
<1%

Skotlandia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Aljazair
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Kongo DR
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Selandia Baru
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Yordania
<1%

CuraΓ§ao
<1%

Tunisia
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrika Selatan
<1%

Tanjung Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
SpanyolΒ 17.0%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.8%
$1,958,560,634 Vol.
$1,958,560,634 Vol.

Spanyol
17%

Prancis
16%

Inggris
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Jerman
5%

Belanda
4%

Norwegia
2%

Belgia
2%

Kolombia
2%

Jepang
2%

Maroko
2%

Meksiko
1%

Swiss
1%

Turki
1%

Amerika Serikat
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croatia
1%

Ekuador
1%

Senegal
1%

Pantai Gading
<1%

Austria
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Korea Selatan
<1%

Skotlandia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Aljazair
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Kongo DR
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Selandia Baru
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Yordania
<1%

CuraΓ§ao
<1%

Tunisia
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrika Selatan
<1%

Tanjung Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after Franceβs 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spainβs consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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