With the 2025-26 Emirates FA Cup final looming tomorrow at Wembley Stadium pitting Premier League giants Manchester City against Chelsea, trader consensus prices City as a heavy 72.5% implied probability favorite, driven by their staggering 21 wins in the last 23 FA Cup matches—losses confined to the 2024 and 2025 finals—and fourth straight final appearance. Both advanced via narrow semifinal triumphs last week, City dispatching Southampton and Chelsea edging Leeds United, while posting identical tournament hauls of 21 goals scored and three conceded. City's squad depth, Rodri's timely return from groin injury, and superior recent form outweigh Chelsea's cup pedigree and potential boosts from Pedro Neto and Alejandro Garnacho, keeping Blues viable at 28.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$471,454 Vol.
$471,454 Vol.
Manchester City
73%
Chelsea
29%
$471,454 Vol.
$471,454 Vol.
Manchester City
73%
Chelsea
29%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the 2025-26 Emirates FA Cup final looming tomorrow at Wembley Stadium pitting Premier League giants Manchester City against Chelsea, trader consensus prices City as a heavy 72.5% implied probability favorite, driven by their staggering 21 wins in the last 23 FA Cup matches—losses confined to the 2024 and 2025 finals—and fourth straight final appearance. Both advanced via narrow semifinal triumphs last week, City dispatching Southampton and Chelsea edging Leeds United, while posting identical tournament hauls of 21 goals scored and three conceded. City's squad depth, Rodri's timely return from groin injury, and superior recent form outweigh Chelsea's cup pedigree and potential boosts from Pedro Neto and Alejandro Garnacho, keeping Blues viable at 28.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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