Kimi Antonelli commands the top trader consensus at 38.8% implied probability for the F1 Drivers' Championship after securing three consecutive Grand Prix victories in China, Japan, and Miami—his latest Miami win from pole position extending a 20-point lead to 100 total while Mercedes dominates constructors standings with 180 points. Teammate George Russell trails closely at 29.5% with consistent podiums like Australia but lags after a P4 in Miami, fueling an intra-team title battle. Lando Norris at 11.6% reflects McLaren's podium surge in Miami (P2-P3 lockout), positioning them as challengers, while Max Verstappen's 6.3% mirrors Red Bull's dismal 30 constructors points amid reliability woes, keeping the season-wide outcome competitive with 16 Grands Prix remaining.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi Antonelli 38.8%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.3%
$148,633,637 Vol.
$148,633,637 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.8%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.3%
$148,633,637 Vol.
$148,633,637 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
39%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli commands the top trader consensus at 38.8% implied probability for the F1 Drivers' Championship after securing three consecutive Grand Prix victories in China, Japan, and Miami—his latest Miami win from pole position extending a 20-point lead to 100 total while Mercedes dominates constructors standings with 180 points. Teammate George Russell trails closely at 29.5% with consistent podiums like Australia but lags after a P4 in Miami, fueling an intra-team title battle. Lando Norris at 11.6% reflects McLaren's podium surge in Miami (P2-P3 lockout), positioning them as challengers, while Max Verstappen's 6.3% mirrors Red Bull's dismal 30 constructors points amid reliability woes, keeping the season-wide outcome competitive with 16 Grands Prix remaining.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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