Jannik Sinner's overwhelming 72% implied probability as top seed stems from Carlos Alcaraz's April wrist injury withdrawal as two-time defending champion, clearing his path on clay, combined with Sinner's dominant Masters 1000 Madrid title win over Alexander Zverev last week (6-1, 6-2) and strong Italian Open progress toward a potential clay sweep. Zverev's 8% reflects his consistent clay form as projected No. 2 seed and recent Madrid final run despite a lopsided head-to-head deficit to Sinner (1-10), while Novak Djokovic's 6% acknowledges his Roland Garros pedigree amid limited 2026 clay match wins and injury recovery. Casper Ruud and Flavio Cobolli trail with solid surface histories but face tougher draws. Trader consensus highlights Sinner's ranking lead, rest advantages, and field weaknesses ahead of the May 24 start.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner
2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner
Jannik Sinner 72%
Alexander Zverev 8%
Novak Djokovic 5.9%
Flavio Cobolli 4.4%
$81,385 Vol.
$81,385 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
72%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Flavio Cobolli
4%
Casper Ruud
3%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Jannik Sinner 72%
Alexander Zverev 8%
Novak Djokovic 5.9%
Flavio Cobolli 4.4%
$81,385 Vol.
$81,385 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
72%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Flavio Cobolli
4%
Casper Ruud
3%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner's overwhelming 72% implied probability as top seed stems from Carlos Alcaraz's April wrist injury withdrawal as two-time defending champion, clearing his path on clay, combined with Sinner's dominant Masters 1000 Madrid title win over Alexander Zverev last week (6-1, 6-2) and strong Italian Open progress toward a potential clay sweep. Zverev's 8% reflects his consistent clay form as projected No. 2 seed and recent Madrid final run despite a lopsided head-to-head deficit to Sinner (1-10), while Novak Djokovic's 6% acknowledges his Roland Garros pedigree amid limited 2026 clay match wins and injury recovery. Casper Ruud and Flavio Cobolli trail with solid surface histories but face tougher draws. Trader consensus highlights Sinner's ranking lead, rest advantages, and field weaknesses ahead of the May 24 start.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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