Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 59%
Novak Djokovic 10.3%
Alexander Zverev 8.0%
Ben Shelton 4.0%
$10,016,701 Vol.
$10,016,701 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
59%
Novak Djokovic
10%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Ben Shelton
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Jannik Sinner 59%
Novak Djokovic 10.3%
Alexander Zverev 8.0%
Ben Shelton 4.0%
$10,016,701 Vol.
$10,016,701 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
59%
Novak Djokovic
10%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Ben Shelton
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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