Oklahoma City Thunder’s commanding 64-18 regular-season record, league-leading net rating, and continued playoff dominance have solidified trader consensus around their 58.5% implied probability, as they advanced past the first round with a sweep and carry home-court advantage into the Western Conference finals. San Antonio Spurs’ 22.9% share reflects their strong second-seed finish and recent series adjustments that keep them positioned as the clearest Western Conference threat. New York Knicks at 14.2% benefit from Eastern Conference momentum and a favorable bracket path, while Detroit Pistons and Cleveland Cavaliers sit at 3.9% and 1.9% respectively amid deeper playoff runs that still face significant remaining hurdles against deeper rosters and schedule fatigue.