The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJason Day 97%
Lucas Herbert 97%
Cameron Smith 97%
Carlos Ortiz 97%
Jason Day
97%
Lucas Herbert
97%
Cameron Smith
97%
Carlos Ortiz
97%
Shane Lowry
97%
Adam Scott
97%
Jake Knapp
95%
Joaquin Niemann
95%
Gary Woodland
67%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
65%
Daniel Berger
53%
Dustin Johnson
52%
Kristoffer Reitan
47%
Harris English
44%
Tommy Fleetwood
44%
Bryson DeChambeau
44%
J.J. Spaun
44%
Si Woo Kim
44%
Jon Rahm
44%
Scottie Scheffler
44%
Wyndham Clark
43%
Kurt Kitayama
43%
Patrick Cantlay
43%
Alex Noren
43%
Xander Schauffele
43%
Nicolai Højgaard
43%
Justin Thomas
43%
Ryan Gerard
43%
Rickie Fowler
43%
Rory McIlroy
42%
Ben Griffin
42%
Chris Gotterup
42%
Ludvig Åberg
42%
Keegan Bradley
42%
Matt Fitzpatrick
42%
Jacob Bridgeman
42%
Russell Henley
41%
Cameron Young
41%
Aaron Rai
41%
Akshay Bhatia
41%
Collin Morikawa
41%
Min Woo Lee
41%
J.T. Poston
41%
Alex Smalley
40%
Maverick McNealy
40%
Sepp Straka
39%
Viktor Hovland
38%
Bud Cauley
38%
Tyrrell Hatton
37%
Hideki Matsuyama
32%
Robert MacIntyre
26%
Patrick Reed
26%
Sam Burns
24%
Justin Rose
20%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Jason Day 97%
Lucas Herbert 97%
Cameron Smith 97%
Carlos Ortiz 97%
Jason Day
97%
Lucas Herbert
97%
Cameron Smith
97%
Carlos Ortiz
97%
Shane Lowry
97%
Adam Scott
97%
Jake Knapp
95%
Joaquin Niemann
95%
Gary Woodland
67%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
65%
Daniel Berger
53%
Dustin Johnson
52%
Kristoffer Reitan
47%
Harris English
44%
Tommy Fleetwood
44%
Bryson DeChambeau
44%
J.J. Spaun
44%
Si Woo Kim
44%
Jon Rahm
44%
Scottie Scheffler
44%
Wyndham Clark
43%
Kurt Kitayama
43%
Patrick Cantlay
43%
Alex Noren
43%
Xander Schauffele
43%
Nicolai Højgaard
43%
Justin Thomas
43%
Ryan Gerard
43%
Rickie Fowler
43%
Rory McIlroy
42%
Ben Griffin
42%
Chris Gotterup
42%
Ludvig Åberg
42%
Keegan Bradley
42%
Matt Fitzpatrick
42%
Jacob Bridgeman
42%
Russell Henley
41%
Cameron Young
41%
Aaron Rai
41%
Akshay Bhatia
41%
Collin Morikawa
41%
Min Woo Lee
41%
J.T. Poston
41%
Alex Smalley
40%
Maverick McNealy
40%
Sepp Straka
39%
Viktor Hovland
38%
Bud Cauley
38%
Tyrrell Hatton
37%
Hideki Matsuyama
32%
Robert MacIntyre
26%
Patrick Reed
26%
Sam Burns
24%
Justin Rose
20%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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