Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the clear US Open favorite at 34% implied probability, driven by her sustained world No. 1 ranking, enhanced serve effectiveness in 2026 (87.6% hold rate, up from prior years), and proven hard court dominance including her 2024 title. Elena Rybakina follows at 24.1% after capturing her second major at the Australian Open and the Stuttgart clay title last week over Karolina Muchova, her flat-hitting style thriving on faster surfaces. Iga Swiatek lags at 17% amid ongoing hard court inconsistencies despite top-five standing, while 19-year-old Victoria Mboko's 11.6% reflects her breakout top-10 ascent (19-7 YTD) and recent upsets like over Anastasia Zakharova. Muchova (6.6%) and Linda Noskova (6.2%) gain from strong clay swings, including Noskova's Madrid win over Coco Gauff, signaling momentum into grass and hard court prep.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAryna Sabalenka 28%
Elena Rybakina 20.7%
Iga Swiatek 17%
Coco Gauff 8.5%
$979,504 Vol.
$979,504 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
34%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Iga Swiatek
17%
Coco Gauff
8%
Linda Noskova
8%
Amanda Anisimova
5%
Karolina Muchova
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Qinwen Zheng
4%
Victoria Mboko
11%
Elina Svitolina
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Jasmine Paolini
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 28%
Elena Rybakina 20.7%
Iga Swiatek 17%
Coco Gauff 8.5%
$979,504 Vol.
$979,504 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
34%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Iga Swiatek
17%
Coco Gauff
8%
Linda Noskova
8%
Amanda Anisimova
5%
Karolina Muchova
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Qinwen Zheng
4%
Victoria Mboko
11%
Elina Svitolina
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Jasmine Paolini
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the clear US Open favorite at 34% implied probability, driven by her sustained world No. 1 ranking, enhanced serve effectiveness in 2026 (87.6% hold rate, up from prior years), and proven hard court dominance including her 2024 title. Elena Rybakina follows at 24.1% after capturing her second major at the Australian Open and the Stuttgart clay title last week over Karolina Muchova, her flat-hitting style thriving on faster surfaces. Iga Swiatek lags at 17% amid ongoing hard court inconsistencies despite top-five standing, while 19-year-old Victoria Mboko's 11.6% reflects her breakout top-10 ascent (19-7 YTD) and recent upsets like over Anastasia Zakharova. Muchova (6.6%) and Linda Noskova (6.2%) gain from strong clay swings, including Noskova's Madrid win over Coco Gauff, signaling momentum into grass and hard court prep.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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