Jannik Sinner commands 51.5% implied probability as the top seed and world No. 1, driven by his dominant hard-court record, multiple recent Masters 1000 titles on the surface, and Wimbledon 2026 victory that reinforces his current form entering the US Open. Alexander Zverev at 12.8% and Carlos Alcaraz at 12.0% trail due to Sinner’s head-to-head edge and Alcaraz’s ongoing recovery from a right wrist injury that caused withdrawals from Wimbledon and the Canadian Open. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz occupy the next tier on the strength of experience, recent ATP results, and hard-court consistency, while deeper contenders reflect limited paths against the established hierarchy. Trader pricing incorporates these injury updates, ranking points, and surface-specific momentum from the ongoing hard-court swing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 52%
Alexander Zverev 12.8%
Carlos Alcaraz 12%
Novak Djokovic 6.2%
$6,388,174 Vol.
$6,388,174 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Alexander Zverev
13%
Carlos Alcaraz
12%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Ben Shelton
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 52%
Alexander Zverev 12.8%
Carlos Alcaraz 12%
Novak Djokovic 6.2%
$6,388,174 Vol.
$6,388,174 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Alexander Zverev
13%
Carlos Alcaraz
12%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Ben Shelton
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner commands 51.5% implied probability as the top seed and world No. 1, driven by his dominant hard-court record, multiple recent Masters 1000 titles on the surface, and Wimbledon 2026 victory that reinforces his current form entering the US Open. Alexander Zverev at 12.8% and Carlos Alcaraz at 12.0% trail due to Sinner’s head-to-head edge and Alcaraz’s ongoing recovery from a right wrist injury that caused withdrawals from Wimbledon and the Canadian Open. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz occupy the next tier on the strength of experience, recent ATP results, and hard-court consistency, while deeper contenders reflect limited paths against the established hierarchy. Trader pricing incorporates these injury updates, ranking points, and surface-specific momentum from the ongoing hard-court swing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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