Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 US Open men's title, bolstered by his world No. 1 ranking, a dominant 33-2 ATP record this season, and recent Masters 1000 triumphs including Madrid over Alexander Zverev plus strong Rome advancement past Alexei Popyrin. Carlos Alcaraz holds 32% as the chief challenger, leveraging his Australian Open win and hard court prowess despite wrist injury withdrawals from Barcelona and Madrid that sidelined him during key clay events. Novak Djokovic's 4.3% reflects ongoing shoulder concerns, a first-round Rome upset to Dino Prizmic, and a distant No. 4 ranking, while Americans like Frances Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz linger lower amid inconsistent form on the road to Flushing Meadows hard courts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 47%
Carlos Alcaraz 32%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
$1,439,475 Vol.
$1,439,475 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
47%
Carlos Alcaraz
32%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jannik Sinner 47%
Carlos Alcaraz 32%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
$1,439,475 Vol.
$1,439,475 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
47%
Carlos Alcaraz
32%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 US Open men's title, bolstered by his world No. 1 ranking, a dominant 33-2 ATP record this season, and recent Masters 1000 triumphs including Madrid over Alexander Zverev plus strong Rome advancement past Alexei Popyrin. Carlos Alcaraz holds 32% as the chief challenger, leveraging his Australian Open win and hard court prowess despite wrist injury withdrawals from Barcelona and Madrid that sidelined him during key clay events. Novak Djokovic's 4.3% reflects ongoing shoulder concerns, a first-round Rome upset to Dino Prizmic, and a distant No. 4 ranking, while Americans like Frances Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz linger lower amid inconsistent form on the road to Flushing Meadows hard courts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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