Syria’s transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under the March 2025 constitutional declaration that established a five-year interim period without scheduled elections or formal removal procedures before 2030. Recent actions have reinforced his position, including April 2026 diplomatic visits to Saudi Arabia and Qatar, U.S. sanctions relief, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and ongoing talks to integrate armed factions with the Syrian Democratic Forces. International engagement and Gulf investment inflows have further stabilized the government amid localized tensions. With the market resolution date falling well inside this extended interim framework, traders assess the probability of an early leadership change by December 31, 2026 as low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAhmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$56,666 Vol.
$56,666 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$56,666 Vol.
$56,666 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria’s transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under the March 2025 constitutional declaration that established a five-year interim period without scheduled elections or formal removal procedures before 2030. Recent actions have reinforced his position, including April 2026 diplomatic visits to Saudi Arabia and Qatar, U.S. sanctions relief, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and ongoing talks to integrate armed factions with the Syrian Democratic Forces. International engagement and Gulf investment inflows have further stabilized the government amid localized tensions. With the market resolution date falling well inside this extended interim framework, traders assess the probability of an early leadership change by December 31, 2026 as low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$56,666Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria’s transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under the March 2025 constitutional declaration that established a five-year interim period without scheduled elections or formal removal procedures before 2030. Recent actions have reinforced his position, including April 2026 diplomatic visits to Saudi Arabia and Qatar, U.S. sanctions relief, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and ongoing talks to integrate armed factions with the Syrian Democratic Forces. International engagement and Gulf investment inflows have further stabilized the government amid localized tensions. With the market resolution date falling well inside this extended interim framework, traders assess the probability of an early leadership change by December 31, 2026 as low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,666Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Syria’s transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under the March 2025 constitutional declaration that established a five-year interim period without scheduled elections or formal removal procedures before 2030. Recent actions have reinforced his position, including April 2026 diplomatic visits to Saudi Arabia and Qatar, U.S. sanctions relief, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and ongoing talks to integrate armed factions with the Syrian Democratic Forces. International engagement and Gulf investment inflows have further stabilized the government amid localized tensions. With the market resolution date falling well inside this extended interim framework, traders assess the probability of an early leadership change by December 31, 2026 as low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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