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icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Politica·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Politica·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Sì

13% probabilità
Polymarket

$56,666 Vol.

Sì

13% probabilità
Polymarket

$56,666 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority since his formal appointment in January 2025 following the Assad regime’s collapse. Recent developments include successful military integration of the Syrian Democratic Forces after January 2026 operations, a March 2026 decree recognizing Kurdish rights and language, and a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle removing family members to broaden domestic support. International engagement has strengthened his position through White House meetings, EU cooperation resumption talks, UK bilateral discussions, and removal from UN sanctions lists. These steps have produced a transitional framework extending to 2030 with scheduled elections, reducing near-term removal risks despite ongoing sectarian and economic pressures. Trader consensus at 87.5% for continuation through December 2026 reflects this record of institutional endurance and external legitimacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,666
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority since his formal appointment in January 2025 following the Assad regime’s collapse. Recent developments include successful military integration of the Syrian Democratic Forces after January 2026 operations, a March 2026 decree recognizing Kurdish rights and language, and a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle removing family members to broaden domestic support. International engagement has strengthened his position through White House meetings, EU cooperation resumption talks, UK bilateral discussions, and removal from UN sanctions lists. These steps have produced a transitional framework extending to 2030 with scheduled elections, reducing near-term removal risks despite ongoing sectarian and economic pressures. Trader consensus at 87.5% for continuation through December 2026 reflects this record of institutional endurance and external legitimacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,666
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ahmed al-Sharaa non sarà più leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 13¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 13% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" ha generato $56.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 5, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è "Ahmed al-Sharaa non sarà più leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 13%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 13% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.