The confirmation of a high-stakes bilateral summit between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14–15 has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome, reflecting the administration’s focus on resolving trade tariffs, semiconductor restrictions, and Taiwan tensions during Trump’s first major foreign trip of the year. Elevated probabilities for Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rest on earlier 2026 bilateral engagements already scheduled, while UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s position tracks anticipated NATO summit talks. Vladimir Putin’s moderate odds hinge on a possible G20 invitation amid Ukraine developments, with Kim Jong Un lower due to limited diplomatic signals. Upcoming G7 and APEC gatherings through year-end remain key variables that could shift remaining probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$481,092 Vol.
Giorgia Meloni
86%
Mohammed bin Salman
78%
Keir Starmer
61%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
45%
Vladimir Putin
45%
Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%
MrBeast
24%
Papa Leone XIV
21%
Changpeng Zhao
19%
Kim Jong Un
15%
iShowSpeed
10%
Jair Bolsonaro
10%
Nicolás Maduro
10%
Nick Fuentes
7%
Lai Ching-te
6%
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%
$481,092 Vol.
Giorgia Meloni
86%
Mohammed bin Salman
78%
Keir Starmer
61%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
45%
Vladimir Putin
45%
Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%
MrBeast
24%
Papa Leone XIV
21%
Changpeng Zhao
19%
Kim Jong Un
15%
iShowSpeed
10%
Jair Bolsonaro
10%
Nicolás Maduro
10%
Nick Fuentes
7%
Lai Ching-te
6%
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The confirmation of a high-stakes bilateral summit between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14–15 has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome, reflecting the administration’s focus on resolving trade tariffs, semiconductor restrictions, and Taiwan tensions during Trump’s first major foreign trip of the year. Elevated probabilities for Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rest on earlier 2026 bilateral engagements already scheduled, while UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s position tracks anticipated NATO summit talks. Vladimir Putin’s moderate odds hinge on a possible G20 invitation amid Ukraine developments, with Kim Jong Un lower due to limited diplomatic signals. Upcoming G7 and APEC gatherings through year-end remain key variables that could shift remaining probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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