Trump’s continued service through the end of 2026 rests on institutional and timeline barriers that limit rapid removal. Republican majorities in Congress make House impeachment passage unlikely before year-end and Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority even more remote, despite recent Democratic resolutions and midterm forecasts favoring a House shift. Public approval has fallen to the low-to-mid 30s amid the Iran conflict and economic pressures, yet no verified health incapacity or bipartisan consensus supports 25th Amendment invocation. Historical patterns show presidential removals demand sustained majorities and time-consuming processes that rarely conclude in weeks. Late-breaking developments such as acute medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting resignation, or sudden cross-party Senate defections remain the primary variables that could still alter outcomes before January 2027.