Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump exiting the presidency before 2027, reflecting the collapse of early April 2026 removal pushes amid Republican congressional majorities. House Democrats introduced H.Res.1155 impeaching Trump over Iran threats, while figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and Gov. JB Pritzker urged 25th Amendment invocation citing health rumors and rhetoric, but these gained no traction without bipartisan support or Senate votes—echoing his two prior impeachments without conviction. Trump has maintained executive duties, including overseas trips, following incidents like the WHCD shooter handled by Secret Service. Absent late-breaking scandals, health crises, or GOP defections, historical barriers sustain this skin-in-the-game pricing through midterms and beyond.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$8,453,833 Vol.
$8,453,833 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$8,453,833 Vol.
$8,453,833 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump exiting the presidency before 2027, reflecting the collapse of early April 2026 removal pushes amid Republican congressional majorities. House Democrats introduced H.Res.1155 impeaching Trump over Iran threats, while figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and Gov. JB Pritzker urged 25th Amendment invocation citing health rumors and rhetoric, but these gained no traction without bipartisan support or Senate votes—echoing his two prior impeachments without conviction. Trump has maintained executive duties, including overseas trips, following incidents like the WHCD shooter handled by Secret Service. Absent late-breaking scandals, health crises, or GOP defections, historical barriers sustain this skin-in-the-game pricing through midterms and beyond.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,453,833Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump exiting the presidency before 2027, reflecting the collapse of early April 2026 removal pushes amid Republican congressional majorities. House Democrats introduced H.Res.1155 impeaching Trump over Iran threats, while figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and Gov. JB Pritzker urged 25th Amendment invocation citing health rumors and rhetoric, but these gained no traction without bipartisan support or Senate votes—echoing his two prior impeachments without conviction. Trump has maintained executive duties, including overseas trips, following incidents like the WHCD shooter handled by Secret Service. Absent late-breaking scandals, health crises, or GOP defections, historical barriers sustain this skin-in-the-game pricing through midterms and beyond.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,453,840Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump exiting the presidency before 2027, reflecting the collapse of early April 2026 removal pushes amid Republican congressional majorities. House Democrats introduced H.Res.1155 impeaching Trump over Iran threats, while figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and Gov. JB Pritzker urged 25th Amendment invocation citing health rumors and rhetoric, but these gained no traction without bipartisan support or Senate votes—echoing his two prior impeachments without conviction. Trump has maintained executive duties, including overseas trips, following incidents like the WHCD shooter handled by Secret Service. Absent late-breaking scandals, health crises, or GOP defections, historical barriers sustain this skin-in-the-game pricing through midterms and beyond.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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