United Russia holds the strongest position to secure the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive organizational resources and alignment with the Kremlin. The tightly managed process has eliminated meaningful competition, including the Supreme Court’s disqualification of the sole anti-war party Yabloko weeks before voting. State-aligned polling shows United Russia leading with projected support well ahead of other registered parties, all of which back core government policies. New People has drawn some attention as a younger, nominally liberal option within system limits, positioning it as the clearest alternative for protest-leaning voters, though still far behind the incumbent. Other parties like LDPR and KPRF remain marginal in current assessments amid the three-day voting window and mixed electoral system favoring established structures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Russia Unita (ER) 75%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 21.8%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 2.4%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) 1.1%
$31,130,680 Vol.
$31,130,680 Vol.

Russia Unita (ER)
75%

Nuovi Persone (NL)
22%

Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
2%

Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
1%

Yabloko
<1%

Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 75%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 21.8%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 2.4%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) 1.1%
$31,130,680 Vol.
$31,130,680 Vol.

Russia Unita (ER)
75%

Nuovi Persone (NL)
22%

Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
2%

Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
1%

Yabloko
<1%

Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds the strongest position to secure the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive organizational resources and alignment with the Kremlin. The tightly managed process has eliminated meaningful competition, including the Supreme Court’s disqualification of the sole anti-war party Yabloko weeks before voting. State-aligned polling shows United Russia leading with projected support well ahead of other registered parties, all of which back core government policies. New People has drawn some attention as a younger, nominally liberal option within system limits, positioning it as the clearest alternative for protest-leaning voters, though still far behind the incumbent. Other parties like LDPR and KPRF remain marginal in current assessments amid the three-day voting window and mixed electoral system favoring established structures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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