United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its structural advantages in Russia’s mixed electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts. The party benefits from Kremlin alignment, high visibility in state media, and the inclusion of candidates tied to national priorities such as the special military operation. Yabloko’s disqualification has further narrowed competition, leaving systemic parties like New People, LDPR, and KPRF as distant alternatives. Recent polls from pro-government sources place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, with expectations of an overall majority despite wartime economic pressures and turnout targets. New People’s secondary positioning reflects modest polling gains, while other parties face barriers from registration dynamics and limited independent infrastructure. The three-day voting format and regional primaries reinforce the ruling party’s edge heading into the contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Russia Unita (ER) 75%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 22.1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 2.2%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) 1.1%
$31,130,407 Vol.
$31,130,407 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
75%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
22%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
2%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
1%
Yabloko
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 75%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 22.1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 2.2%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) 1.1%
$31,130,407 Vol.
$31,130,407 Vol.
29 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$11,638,442 Vol.
75%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$3,355,312 Vol.
22%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$4,027,087 Vol.
2%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$2,277,023 Vol.
1%
Yabloko
$2,253,184 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$3,154,220 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$3,065,562 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$1,359,576 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its structural advantages in Russia’s mixed electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts. The party benefits from Kremlin alignment, high visibility in state media, and the inclusion of candidates tied to national priorities such as the special military operation. Yabloko’s disqualification has further narrowed competition, leaving systemic parties like New People, LDPR, and KPRF as distant alternatives. Recent polls from pro-government sources place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, with expectations of an overall majority despite wartime economic pressures and turnout targets. New People’s secondary positioning reflects modest polling gains, while other parties face barriers from registration dynamics and limited independent infrastructure. The three-day voting format and regional primaries reinforce the ruling party’s edge heading into the contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$31,130,407Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its structural advantages in Russia’s mixed electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts. The party benefits from Kremlin alignment, high visibility in state media, and the inclusion of candidates tied to national priorities such as the special military operation. Yabloko’s disqualification has further narrowed competition, leaving systemic parties like New People, LDPR, and KPRF as distant alternatives. Recent polls from pro-government sources place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, with expectations of an overall majority despite wartime economic pressures and turnout targets. New People’s secondary positioning reflects modest polling gains, while other parties face barriers from registration dynamics and limited independent infrastructure. The three-day voting format and regional primaries reinforce the ruling party’s edge heading into the contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$31,130,407Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its structural advantages in Russia’s mixed electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts. The party benefits from Kremlin alignment, high visibility in state media, and the inclusion of candidates tied to national priorities such as the special military operation. Yabloko’s disqualification has further narrowed competition, leaving systemic parties like New People, LDPR, and KPRF as distant alternatives. Recent polls from pro-government sources place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, with expectations of an overall majority despite wartime economic pressures and turnout targets. New People’s secondary positioning reflects modest polling gains, while other parties face barriers from registration dynamics and limited independent infrastructure. The three-day voting format and regional primaries reinforce the ruling party’s edge heading into the contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il partito Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP) otterrà almeno un seggio nelle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?
97%
Sì
Il partito Russia Unita (ER) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
99%
Sì
I Nuovi Persone (NL) otterranno il quarto maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
53%
Sì
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