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icon for Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Politica·Elezioni Internazionali

Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?

icon for Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Politica·Elezioni Internazionali

Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?

Russia Unita (ER) 80%

Nuovi Persone (NL) 18.8%

Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 1.4%

Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%

Polymarket

$40,787,889 Vol.

Russia Unita (ER) 80%

Nuovi Persone (NL) 18.8%

Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 1.4%

Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%

Polymarket

$40,787,889 Vol.

icon for Russia Unita (ER)

Russia Unita (ER)

$16,488,516 Vol.

80%

icon for Nuovi Persone (NL)

Nuovi Persone (NL)

$4,474,678 Vol.

19%

icon for Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)

Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)

$4,922,199 Vol.

1%

icon for Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)

Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)

$3,094,608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$3,283,840 Vol.

<1%

icon for Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)

Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)

$3,980,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$3,184,052 Vol.

<1%

icon for Piattaforma Civica (GP)

Piattaforma Civica (GP)

$1,391,586 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia holds a commanding position entering the final day of the September 18–20 State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive regional administrative networks, dominance in state-controlled media, and the mixed electoral system combining party-list proportional representation with single-member districts that historically favor it. Kremlin-aligned polling consistently projects the party well ahead of systemic alternatives, while independent surveys show lower but still leading support amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. New People has emerged as the clearest second-place contender in recent polls by positioning itself as the main in-system option for protest votes, displacing traditional players like the CPRF and LDPR. Yabloko’s exclusion and the alignment of other registered parties with government policy further consolidate the expected outcome, with traders pricing in the structural barriers to any shift in seat plurality.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$40,787,889
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia holds a commanding position entering the final day of the September 18–20 State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive regional administrative networks, dominance in state-controlled media, and the mixed electoral system combining party-list proportional representation with single-member districts that historically favor it. Kremlin-aligned polling consistently projects the party well ahead of systemic alternatives, while independent surveys show lower but still leading support amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. New People has emerged as the clearest second-place contender in recent polls by positioning itself as the main in-system option for protest votes, displacing traditional players like the CPRF and LDPR. Yabloko’s exclusion and the alignment of other registered parties with government policy further consolidate the expected outcome, with traders pricing in the structural barriers to any shift in seat plurality.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$40,787,889
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for Il partito Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP) otterrà almeno un seggio nelle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?

Il partito Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP) otterrà almeno un seggio nelle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?

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icon for Il partito Russia Unita (ER) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?

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100%
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icon for Il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) otterrà il quarto maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?

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"Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Russia Unita (ER)" a 80%, seguito da "Nuovi Persone (NL)" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 80¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?" ha generato $40.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?" è "Russia Unita (ER)" a 80%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nuovi Persone (NL)" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.