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Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia

icon for Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia
Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia

Magdalena Andersson 86%

Ulf Kristersson 13%

Ebba Busch 1.3%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Polymarket

$3,665,348 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 86%

Ulf Kristersson 13%

Ebba Busch 1.3%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Polymarket

$3,665,348 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$177,561 Vol.

86%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$162,050 Vol.

13%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$354,483 Vol.

1%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,415,089 Vol.

1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$935,836 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$60,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$68,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$113,871 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$267,548 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$109,537 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 general election shows the centre-left opposition bloc anchored by the Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson maintaining a modest lead of roughly 50–53 percent against the governing right-wing bloc at 45–47 percent. The most recent Demoskop survey placed Andersson’s party at 30.2 percent, ahead of the Sweden Democrats and Moderates. This consistent bloc advantage has driven trader consensus toward Andersson as the next prime minister, while current Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson trails at lower implied probability. The narrowing margin in some surveys and the fragmented multi-party landscape leave room for shifts before election day, though no major leadership or coalition developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,665,348
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 general election shows the centre-left opposition bloc anchored by the Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson maintaining a modest lead of roughly 50–53 percent against the governing right-wing bloc at 45–47 percent. The most recent Demoskop survey placed Andersson’s party at 30.2 percent, ahead of the Sweden Democrats and Moderates. This consistent bloc advantage has driven trader consensus toward Andersson as the next prime minister, while current Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson trails at lower implied probability. The narrowing margin in some surveys and the fragmented multi-party landscape leave room for shifts before election day, though no major leadership or coalition developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,665,348
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Magdalena Andersson" a 86%, seguito da "Ulf Kristersson" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 86¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" ha generato $3.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" è "Magdalena Andersson" a 86%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ulf Kristersson" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.