Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race at 66% in trader consensus, reflecting recent polling trends that show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by roughly ten points in first-round voting intentions. Multiple surveys released in late July placed Gomes in the mid-40s while de Freitas hovered in the low-to-mid 30s, buoyed by the former governor’s established name recognition, alliances with opposition parties including the PL, and emphasis on public security issues. The August debate between the two frontrunners and ongoing family political divisions—particularly Senator Cid Gomes’s support for the PT ticket—have further shaped positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain at low single-digit levels consistent with limited polling visibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 66%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$127,940 Vol.
$127,940 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
66%
Elmano de Freitas
35%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 66%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$127,940 Vol.
$127,940 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$74,785 Vol.
66%
Elmano de Freitas
$22,808 Vol.
35%
Eduardo Girão
$8,761 Vol.
1%
Camilo Santana
$6,387 Vol.
1%
Capitão Wagner
$8,178 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$7,021 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race at 66% in trader consensus, reflecting recent polling trends that show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by roughly ten points in first-round voting intentions. Multiple surveys released in late July placed Gomes in the mid-40s while de Freitas hovered in the low-to-mid 30s, buoyed by the former governor’s established name recognition, alliances with opposition parties including the PL, and emphasis on public security issues. The August debate between the two frontrunners and ongoing family political divisions—particularly Senator Cid Gomes’s support for the PT ticket—have further shaped positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain at low single-digit levels consistent with limited polling visibility.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$127,940Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race at 66% in trader consensus, reflecting recent polling trends that show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by roughly ten points in first-round voting intentions. Multiple surveys released in late July placed Gomes in the mid-40s while de Freitas hovered in the low-to-mid 30s, buoyed by the former governor’s established name recognition, alliances with opposition parties including the PL, and emphasis on public security issues. The August debate between the two frontrunners and ongoing family political divisions—particularly Senator Cid Gomes’s support for the PT ticket—have further shaped positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain at low single-digit levels consistent with limited polling visibility.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$127,940Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race at 66% in trader consensus, reflecting recent polling trends that show him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by roughly ten points in first-round voting intentions. Multiple surveys released in late July placed Gomes in the mid-40s while de Freitas hovered in the low-to-mid 30s, buoyed by the former governor’s established name recognition, alliances with opposition parties including the PL, and emphasis on public security issues. The August debate between the two frontrunners and ongoing family political divisions—particularly Senator Cid Gomes’s support for the PT ticket—have further shaped positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain at low single-digit levels consistent with limited polling visibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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