Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces declining CDU support amid voter concerns over governance and recent crises such as prolonged power outages. Current polling shows the CDU hovering near 19 percent, closely trailed by the Greens, Left Party, SPD, and AfD, producing wide ranges for projected seats under Germany's mixed-member proportional system. This volatility sustains tight market pricing across the 25–34 seat bands, as small shifts in turnout or second-vote shares among multiple parties can alter allocations. Late-campaign developments, including final polls, coalition signals, or events affecting swing voters in key districts, remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow CDU outcomes before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBerlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
35-39 30%
45+ 17%
<25 16%
25-29 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
<25
34%
25-29
31%
30-34
32%
35-39
30%
40-44
21%
45+
17%
35-39 30%
45+ 17%
<25 16%
25-29 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
<25
$89 Vol.
34%
25-29
$118 Vol.
31%
30-34
$46 Vol.
32%
35-39
$20 Vol.
30%
40-44
$20 Vol.
21%
45+
$37 Vol.
17%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces declining CDU support amid voter concerns over governance and recent crises such as prolonged power outages. Current polling shows the CDU hovering near 19 percent, closely trailed by the Greens, Left Party, SPD, and AfD, producing wide ranges for projected seats under Germany's mixed-member proportional system. This volatility sustains tight market pricing across the 25–34 seat bands, as small shifts in turnout or second-vote shares among multiple parties can alter allocations. Late-campaign developments, including final polls, coalition signals, or events affecting swing voters in key districts, remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow CDU outcomes before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$329Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces declining CDU support amid voter concerns over governance and recent crises such as prolonged power outages. Current polling shows the CDU hovering near 19 percent, closely trailed by the Greens, Left Party, SPD, and AfD, producing wide ranges for projected seats under Germany's mixed-member proportional system. This volatility sustains tight market pricing across the 25–34 seat bands, as small shifts in turnout or second-vote shares among multiple parties can alter allocations. Late-campaign developments, including final polls, coalition signals, or events affecting swing voters in key districts, remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow CDU outcomes before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$329Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election features a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces declining CDU support amid voter concerns over governance and recent crises such as prolonged power outages. Current polling shows the CDU hovering near 19 percent, closely trailed by the Greens, Left Party, SPD, and AfD, producing wide ranges for projected seats under Germany's mixed-member proportional system. This volatility sustains tight market pricing across the 25–34 seat bands, as small shifts in turnout or second-vote shares among multiple parties can alter allocations. Late-campaign developments, including final polls, coalition signals, or events affecting swing voters in key districts, remain the primary catalysts that could widen or narrow CDU outcomes before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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