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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu

Hsu Hsin-ying 89%

Cheng Chao-fang 12%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Hsu Hsin-ying 89%

Cheng Chao-fang 12%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$1,559 Vol.

89%

icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$655 Vol.

12%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$280 Vol.

1%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$280 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Hsinchu County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee following her March 2026 primary victory over incumbent deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien amid internal party disputes over selection rules. The KMT has controlled the county government since 2001, providing structural advantages in local voter networks and administrative continuity ahead of the November 28 vote. DPP candidate Cheng Chao-fang trails at 12%, reflecting the opposition party's weaker position in this jurisdiction, while minor contenders including Lin Szu-ming register under 2%. Recent party coordination meetings in early August have focused on unity efforts without introducing new polling shifts or external disruptions that would alter the current trader consensus.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,775
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Hsinchu County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee following her March 2026 primary victory over incumbent deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien amid internal party disputes over selection rules. The KMT has controlled the county government since 2001, providing structural advantages in local voter networks and administrative continuity ahead of the November 28 vote. DPP candidate Cheng Chao-fang trails at 12%, reflecting the opposition party's weaker position in this jurisdiction, while minor contenders including Lin Szu-ming register under 2%. Recent party coordination meetings in early August have focused on unity efforts without introducing new polling shifts or external disruptions that would alter the current trader consensus.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,775
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Ann Kao vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Hsinchu?

Ann Kao vincerà le prossime elezioni per il sindaco di Hsinchu?

90%
Sì
icon for Tsai Yi-yu vincerà le prossime elezioni per Magistrato della Contea di Chiayi?

Tsai Yi-yu vincerà le prossime elezioni per Magistrato della Contea di Chiayi?

87%
Sì
icon for Chang Chia-chun vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Yunlin?

Chang Chia-chun vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Yunlin?

84%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Hsu Hsin-ying" a 89%, seguito da "Cheng Chao-fang" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" è "Hsu Hsin-ying" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Cheng Chao-fang" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hsinchu" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.