Trader consensus prices 120-130 million votes as most likely for 2026 House midterms turnout, exceeding 2022's 108 million amid voting-eligible population growth and mobilization in battleground districts. Recent CNN polling on May 12 shows Democrats clinging to a narrow 3-point generic ballot lead—below levels needed for a wave—reflecting tighter races post-redistricting that reduced competitive seats and dampened extreme turnout scenarios. Low presidential approval around 40% signals potential Democratic enthusiasm, but historical midterm patterns and poll volatility keep bins clustered. Elevated early voting in West Virginia primaries hints at higher participation; shifts in generic ballot averages, economic data, or debt ceiling tensions could widen separation ahead of November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato125-130m 25%
130m+ 18%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
11%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
24%
125-130m
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130m+
18%
125-130m 25%
130m+ 18%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
1%
90-95m
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
11%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
7%
110-115m
$526 Vol.
12%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125m
$408 Vol.
24%
125-130m
$1,199 Vol.
25%
130m+
$294 Vol.
18%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus prices 120-130 million votes as most likely for 2026 House midterms turnout, exceeding 2022's 108 million amid voting-eligible population growth and mobilization in battleground districts. Recent CNN polling on May 12 shows Democrats clinging to a narrow 3-point generic ballot lead—below levels needed for a wave—reflecting tighter races post-redistricting that reduced competitive seats and dampened extreme turnout scenarios. Low presidential approval around 40% signals potential Democratic enthusiasm, but historical midterm patterns and poll volatility keep bins clustered. Elevated early voting in West Virginia primaries hints at higher participation; shifts in generic ballot averages, economic data, or debt ceiling tensions could widen separation ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,237Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus prices 120-130 million votes as most likely for 2026 House midterms turnout, exceeding 2022's 108 million amid voting-eligible population growth and mobilization in battleground districts. Recent CNN polling on May 12 shows Democrats clinging to a narrow 3-point generic ballot lead—below levels needed for a wave—reflecting tighter races post-redistricting that reduced competitive seats and dampened extreme turnout scenarios. Low presidential approval around 40% signals potential Democratic enthusiasm, but historical midterm patterns and poll volatility keep bins clustered. Elevated early voting in West Virginia primaries hints at higher participation; shifts in generic ballot averages, economic data, or debt ceiling tensions could widen separation ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,237Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 120-130 million votes as most likely for 2026 House midterms turnout, exceeding 2022's 108 million amid voting-eligible population growth and mobilization in battleground districts. Recent CNN polling on May 12 shows Democrats clinging to a narrow 3-point generic ballot lead—below levels needed for a wave—reflecting tighter races post-redistricting that reduced competitive seats and dampened extreme turnout scenarios. Low presidential approval around 40% signals potential Democratic enthusiasm, but historical midterm patterns and poll volatility keep bins clustered. Elevated early voting in West Virginia primaries hints at higher participation; shifts in generic ballot averages, economic data, or debt ceiling tensions could widen separation ahead of November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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