Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan commands trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Minnesota's Democratic U.S. Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by consistent polling leads including a late April Public Policy Polling survey showing her ahead of Rep. Angie Craig by 11 points among likely voters. Flanagan's sweep of delegates at over 90% of local DFL conventions positions her for the party's imminent state endorsement, bolstering her frontrunner status. Craig's 17.5% reflects her fundraising strength but is tempered by backlash over her Laken Riley Act support, including a key state representative's endorsement switch to Flanagan. Other candidates linger below 1% amid negligible polling and organizational support, with the August 11 primary as the resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPeggy Flanagan 81%
Angie Craig 17%
Jacob Frey <1%
Betty McCollum <1%
$47,040 Vol.
$47,040 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
81%
Angie Craig
17%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
Peggy Flanagan 81%
Angie Craig 17%
Jacob Frey <1%
Betty McCollum <1%
$47,040 Vol.
$47,040 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
81%
Angie Craig
17%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
David Wellstone
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan commands trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Minnesota's Democratic U.S. Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by consistent polling leads including a late April Public Policy Polling survey showing her ahead of Rep. Angie Craig by 11 points among likely voters. Flanagan's sweep of delegates at over 90% of local DFL conventions positions her for the party's imminent state endorsement, bolstering her frontrunner status. Craig's 17.5% reflects her fundraising strength but is tempered by backlash over her Laken Riley Act support, including a key state representative's endorsement switch to Flanagan. Other candidates linger below 1% amid negligible polling and organizational support, with the August 11 primary as the resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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