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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu

Chen Chen-chung 59%

Wu Shu-chin 14%

Chou Ni-an 9%

Hsu Chih-fu 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Chen Chen-chung 59%

Wu Shu-chin 14%

Chou Ni-an 9%

Hsu Chih-fu 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$1,367 Vol.

59%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$268 Vol.

14%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$325 Vol.

9%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$487 Vol.

7%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$199 Vol.

5%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$160 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads trader pricing in the Penghu County magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee, a township head formally approved by the party in April 2026. The Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin, wife of term-limited incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, after his February medical emergency ruled out a reelection bid. This late nomination change and lingering questions over health recovery have kept the DPP candidate's support lower. Potential independent or former KMT entrants raise the risk of opposition vote fragmentation, prompting speculation about coordinated internal polling to consolidate non-DPP support ahead of the November 28 vote. These factors sustain the current market separation while leaving room for shifts from local turnout patterns or further candidate alignments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,805
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads trader pricing in the Penghu County magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee, a township head formally approved by the party in April 2026. The Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin, wife of term-limited incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, after his February medical emergency ruled out a reelection bid. This late nomination change and lingering questions over health recovery have kept the DPP candidate's support lower. Potential independent or former KMT entrants raise the risk of opposition vote fragmentation, prompting speculation about coordinated internal polling to consolidate non-DPP support ahead of the November 28 vote. These factors sustain the current market separation while leaving room for shifts from local turnout patterns or further candidate alignments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,805
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Chou Chun-mi vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Pingtung?

Chou Chun-mi vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Pingtung?

87%
Sì
icon for Hsu Hsin-ying vincerà le prossime elezioni per il Magistrato della Contea di Hsinchu?

Hsu Hsin-ying vincerà le prossime elezioni per il Magistrato della Contea di Hsinchu?

89%
Sì
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

89%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Chen Chen-chung" a 59%, seguito da "Wu Shu-chin" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 59¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" è "Chen Chen-chung" a 59%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 59% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Wu Shu-chin" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.