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Politica·Elezioni Francesi

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politica·Elezioni Francesi

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$83,776 Vol.

30 apr 2027
Polymarket

$83,776 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$8,848 Vol.

87%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,790 Vol.

56%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$23 Vol.

45%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$5,398 Vol.

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,620 Vol.

10%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,083 Vol.

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,711 Vol.

8%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$17,470 Vol.

8%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$466 Vol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Vol.

6%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$58 Vol.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$638 Vol.

6%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$251 Vol.

5%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$643 Vol.

4%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,114 Vol.

4%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,254 Vol.

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,908 Vol.

3%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$631 Vol.

3%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,349 Vol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$2,043 Vol.

2%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,774 Vol.

2%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,825 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,659 Vol.

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,768 Vol.

2%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,111 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,005 Vol.

2%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,147 Vol.

2%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,962 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,537 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,230 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,286 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,807 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$1,613 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election shows a Rassemblement National candidate—Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella—leading the first round with roughly 32-36 percent support, well ahead of other contenders. Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon trail in the mid-teens, while Gabriel Attal and other centrist or center-right figures register lower single digits. Le Pen’s ongoing appeal of an embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains a central variable, with traders closely watching the July 2026 court timeline and any substitution of Bardella. Fragmentation on the left and center-right, highlighted by March 2026 municipal results, keeps second-place qualification fluid. The two-round system means the decisive contest is who joins the RN frontrunner on the runoff ballot, with Philippe viewed as the strongest potential opponent and Mélenchon gaining ground among younger and left-leaning voters.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$83,776
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election shows a Rassemblement National candidate—Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella—leading the first round with roughly 32-36 percent support, well ahead of other contenders. Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon trail in the mid-teens, while Gabriel Attal and other centrist or center-right figures register lower single digits. Le Pen’s ongoing appeal of an embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains a central variable, with traders closely watching the July 2026 court timeline and any substitution of Bardella. Fragmentation on the left and center-right, highlighted by March 2026 municipal results, keeps second-place qualification fluid. The two-round system means the decisive contest is who joins the RN frontrunner on the runoff ballot, with Philippe viewed as the strongest potential opponent and Mélenchon gaining ground among younger and left-leaning voters.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$83,776
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Correlati

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Marine Le Pen vincerà le elezioni presidenziali francesi del 2027?

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Sì
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

77%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marine Le Pen" a 87%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 56%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 87¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 87% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ha generato $83.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" è "Marine Le Pen" a 87%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 87% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 56%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.