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Politica·Elezioni Francesi

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politica·Elezioni Francesi

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

NUOVO
30 apr 2027
Polymarket

$2,952 Vol.

Polymarket
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Marine Le Pen

$209 Vol.

9%

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Jordan Bardella

$226 Vol.

80%

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Éric Zemmour

$60 Vol.

5%

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Édouard Philippe

$1 Vol.

45%

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David Lisnard

$9 Vol.

5%

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Xavier Bertrand

$164 Vol.

4%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$50 Vol.

4%

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François Ruffin

$126 Vol.

4%

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Gabriel Attal

$0 Vol.

23%

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Bruno Retailleau

$200 Vol.

8%

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François Hollande

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6%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Vol.

21%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 Vol.

43%

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Marine Tondelier

$10 Vol.

6%

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Fabien Roussel

$50 Vol.

6%

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Olivier Faure

$50 Vol.

6%

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Dominique de Villepin

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7%

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Ségolène Royal

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4%

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François Asselineau

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4%

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Clémentine Autain

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4%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

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3%

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Michel Barnier

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3%

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Valérie Pécresse

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3%

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François Bayrou

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3%

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Élisabeth Borne

$50 Vol.

4%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

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3%

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Jean Castex

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26%

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7%

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Carole Delga

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4%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Vol.

6%

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Manuel Bompard

$50 Vol.

5%

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Mathilde Panot

$50 Vol.

3%

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Other

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35%

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Sarah Knafo

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4%

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Juan Branco

$121 Vol.

3%

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Clémence Guetté

$81 Vol.

4%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Vol.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The crowded field of over 30 declared or prospective candidates for France’s April 2027 presidential election, combined with term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from running again, shapes expectations for first-round advancement. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally consistently leads recent first-round polling, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal and far-left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon compete for the second qualifying spot. Left-wing parties are organizing a unitary primary to consolidate support, and ongoing legal proceedings involving Marine Le Pen add uncertainty to the far-right ticket. Fragmentation among moderate and left candidates remains the primary dynamic influencing which two contenders will reach the runoff.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$2,952
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The crowded field of over 30 declared or prospective candidates for France’s April 2027 presidential election, combined with term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from running again, shapes expectations for first-round advancement. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally consistently leads recent first-round polling, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal and far-left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon compete for the second qualifying spot. Left-wing parties are organizing a unitary primary to consolidate support, and ongoing legal proceedings involving Marine Le Pen add uncertainty to the far-right ticket. Fragmentation among moderate and left candidates remains the primary dynamic influencing which two contenders will reach the runoff.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$2,952
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 37 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jordan Bardella" a 80%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 46%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 80¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 1, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?", esplora i 37 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" è "Jordan Bardella" a 80%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 46%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.