Skip to main content
icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elezioni·Francia

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elezioni·Francia

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,150 Vol.

17 apr 2027
Polymarket

$53,150 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Vol.

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,076 Vol.

83%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Vol.

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Vol.

72%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Vol.

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Vol.

45%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Vol.

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Vol.

55%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Vol.

50%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 Vol.

49%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 Vol.

43%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Vol.

40%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Vol.

39%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,220 Vol.

37%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Vol.

29%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 Vol.

25%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Vol.

16%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$4,357 Vol.

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Vol.

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Vol.

17%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Vol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,751 Vol.

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Vol.

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Vol.

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Vol.

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Vol.

15%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,151 Vol.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$222 Vol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$691 Vol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$350 Vol.

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,099 Vol.

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$139 Vol.

6%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Vol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Vol.

4%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$148 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Vol.

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a fragmented field shaped by term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from seeking a third term and the July 7, 2026, Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public office ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 3 announcement for a fourth run has solidified his place on the ballot while highlighting persistent left-wing divisions over a proposed unitary primary. On the right, Jordan Bardella stands ready to lead National Rally if Le Pen is sidelined, consistent with recent polling trends favoring him in first-round scenarios. Center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal continue positioning themselves as alternatives, with Bruno Retailleau already secured as the Republicans nominee. These legal, announcement, and consolidation developments directly influence trader assessments of likely ballot composition ahead of the April 2027 two-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,150
Data di fine
17 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a fragmented field shaped by term limits barring Emmanuel Macron from seeking a third term and the July 7, 2026, Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public office ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 3 announcement for a fourth run has solidified his place on the ballot while highlighting persistent left-wing divisions over a proposed unitary primary. On the right, Jordan Bardella stands ready to lead National Rally if Le Pen is sidelined, consistent with recent polling trends favoring him in first-round scenarios. Center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal continue positioning themselves as alternatives, with Bruno Retailleau already secured as the Republicans nominee. These legal, announcement, and consolidation developments directly influence trader assessments of likely ballot composition ahead of the April 2027 two-round vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,150
Data di fine
17 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 46+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" a 89%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 88%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ha generato $53.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", esplora i 46+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" è "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 88%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.