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Politica·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Politica·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.4%

Santiago Abascal 5.5%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%

Polymarket

$103,322 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.4%

Santiago Abascal 5.5%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%

Polymarket

$103,322 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$26,839 Vol.

81%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$17,436 Vol.

13%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$10,033 Vol.

5%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$5,022 Vol.

1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$2,610 Vol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$3,641 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$3,480 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,120 Vol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,100 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$3,472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$3,512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$3,524 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$3,031 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader sentiment at 80.5% because consistent opinion polls and recent regional results position the Partido Popular (PP) as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the next general election, due no later than August 2027.** Current national polling trends show the PP ahead of the PSOE by roughly 7–9 points, with potential support from Vox sufficient for a governing majority in the Congress of Deputies. Recent regional contests have reinforced a rightward shift, strengthening the view that Feijóo can form the next government after coalition negotiations. Pedro Sánchez’s 13.3% reflects persistent challenges for the incumbent PSOE, including corruption investigations targeting party figures, mixed results in 2026 regional votes such as Andalusia, and ongoing coalition dependence on regional parties. Sánchez has publicly committed to seeking re-election, yet the implied probability remains low amid these pressures. Lower-priced figures such as Santiago Abascal and Isabel Díaz Ayuso register minimal shares, as markets discount standalone or alternative candidacies outside the PP’s expected path to power. Recent migration policy debates, including regularization measures and border incidents, have further highlighted opposition critiques without materially altering the polling or market consensus.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$103,322
Data di fine
31 mar 2028
Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader sentiment at 80.5% because consistent opinion polls and recent regional results position the Partido Popular (PP) as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the next general election, due no later than August 2027.** Current national polling trends show the PP ahead of the PSOE by roughly 7–9 points, with potential support from Vox sufficient for a governing majority in the Congress of Deputies. Recent regional contests have reinforced a rightward shift, strengthening the view that Feijóo can form the next government after coalition negotiations. Pedro Sánchez’s 13.3% reflects persistent challenges for the incumbent PSOE, including corruption investigations targeting party figures, mixed results in 2026 regional votes such as Andalusia, and ongoing coalition dependence on regional parties. Sánchez has publicly committed to seeking re-election, yet the implied probability remains low amid these pressures. Lower-priced figures such as Santiago Abascal and Isabel Díaz Ayuso register minimal shares, as markets discount standalone or alternative candidacies outside the PP’s expected path to power. Recent migration policy debates, including regularization measures and border incidents, have further highlighted opposition critiques without materially altering the polling or market consensus.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$103,322
Data di fine
31 mar 2028
Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" a 81%, seguito da "Pedro Sánchez" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 81¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ha generato $103.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 26, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Prime Minister of Spain?", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" è "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" a 81%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Pedro Sánchez" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.