Recent polling and primary outcomes position Democrat David Crowley as the frontrunner in the 2026 Wisconsin open-seat gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 after re-entering following an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers, defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong and consolidating party support. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany advanced easily but faces challenges expanding beyond his northern Wisconsin base into Milwaukee suburbs and among independents. The latest Marquette Law School survey of likely voters shows Crowley ahead 49-44, with similar narrow edges in other recent polls, though registered-voter samples remain tied. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Democrats’ recent success retaining the governorship in this swing state, Crowley’s county executive record and turnout potential in urban areas, and limited Republican momentum since the primaries. The November 3 general election remains competitive, with independents and turnout dynamics poised to influence the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Wisconsin
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Wisconsin
$511,138 Vol.
$511,138 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$511,138 Vol.
$511,138 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
$268,697 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,441 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling and primary outcomes position Democrat David Crowley as the frontrunner in the 2026 Wisconsin open-seat gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 after re-entering following an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers, defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong and consolidating party support. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany advanced easily but faces challenges expanding beyond his northern Wisconsin base into Milwaukee suburbs and among independents. The latest Marquette Law School survey of likely voters shows Crowley ahead 49-44, with similar narrow edges in other recent polls, though registered-voter samples remain tied. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Democrats’ recent success retaining the governorship in this swing state, Crowley’s county executive record and turnout potential in urban areas, and limited Republican momentum since the primaries. The November 3 general election remains competitive, with independents and turnout dynamics poised to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$511,138Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling and primary outcomes position Democrat David Crowley as the frontrunner in the 2026 Wisconsin open-seat gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 after re-entering following an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers, defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong and consolidating party support. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany advanced easily but faces challenges expanding beyond his northern Wisconsin base into Milwaukee suburbs and among independents. The latest Marquette Law School survey of likely voters shows Crowley ahead 49-44, with similar narrow edges in other recent polls, though registered-voter samples remain tied. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Democrats’ recent success retaining the governorship in this swing state, Crowley’s county executive record and turnout potential in urban areas, and limited Republican momentum since the primaries. The November 3 general election remains competitive, with independents and turnout dynamics poised to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$511,138Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and primary outcomes position Democrat David Crowley as the frontrunner in the 2026 Wisconsin open-seat gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset on August 11 after re-entering following an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers, defeating progressive challenger Francesca Hong and consolidating party support. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany advanced easily but faces challenges expanding beyond his northern Wisconsin base into Milwaukee suburbs and among independents. The latest Marquette Law School survey of likely voters shows Crowley ahead 49-44, with similar narrow edges in other recent polls, though registered-voter samples remain tied. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Democrats’ recent success retaining the governorship in this swing state, Crowley’s county executive record and turnout potential in urban areas, and limited Republican momentum since the primaries. The November 3 general election remains competitive, with independents and turnout dynamics poised to influence the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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