Skip to main content
icon for MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner

MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner

MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Callie Barr 71%

Kyle Blomquist 25%

Wayne Stiles 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Callie Barr 71%

Kyle Blomquist 25%

Wayne Stiles 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Callie Barr

$5 Vol.

71%

Kyle Blomquist

$0 Vol.

25%

Wayne Stiles

$10 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District on August 4 features Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles in a closely contested race that has produced no clear frontrunner. Barr, the 2024 nominee who leads in fundraising and holds endorsements from local officials including the Marquette County Sheriff, has conducted recent town halls focused on affordability issues, yet has drawn internal party criticism for declining multiple candidate forums. Blomquist, an Iron Mountain city councilor and self-described Democratic Socialist emphasizing working-class priorities, and Stiles, a Traverse City industrial designer, have participated in more public events while trailing significantly in cash raised. The large, rural district spanning the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, combined with limited polling and differing ideological profiles among the candidates, has kept trader consensus tightly balanced around even odds across the field. The August primary date leaves limited time for late developments such as additional endorsements, spending surges, or turnout shifts in key counties to create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District on August 4 features Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles in a closely contested race that has produced no clear frontrunner. Barr, the 2024 nominee who leads in fundraising and holds endorsements from local officials including the Marquette County Sheriff, has conducted recent town halls focused on affordability issues, yet has drawn internal party criticism for declining multiple candidate forums. Blomquist, an Iron Mountain city councilor and self-described Democratic Socialist emphasizing working-class priorities, and Stiles, a Traverse City industrial designer, have participated in more public events while trailing significantly in cash raised. The large, rural district spanning the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, combined with limited polling and differing ideological profiles among the candidates, has kept trader consensus tightly balanced around even odds across the field. The August primary date leaves limited time for late developments such as additional endorsements, spending surges, or turnout shifts in key counties to create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Callie Barr" a 71%, seguito da "Kyle Blomquist" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 71¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 6, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Callie Barr" a 71%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kyle Blomquist" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.