Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California
Xavier Becerra 52.4%
Tom Steyer 31.6%
Steve Hilton 8.5%
Matt Mahan 2.1%
$21,627,797 Vol.
$21,627,797 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Xavier Becerra
$857,807 Vol.
52%
Tom Steyer
$3,304,049 Vol.
32%
Steve Hilton
$1,207,719 Vol.
9%
Matt Mahan
$739,865 Vol.
2%
Chad Bianco
$1,207,183 Vol.
2%
Katie Porter
$1,052,263 Vol.
1%
Elaine Culotti
$352,224 Vol.
1%
Leo Zacky
$605,339 Vol.
<1%
Kamala Harris
$708,568 Vol.
<1%
Alex Padilla
$913,846 Vol.
<1%
Michael Younger
$786,652 Vol.
<1%
Nicole Shanahan
$661,345 Vol.
<1%
Rick Caruso
$827,290 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Cloobeck
$882,730 Vol.
<1%
Betty Yee
$899,040 Vol.
<1%
Kyle Langford
$1,377,317 Vol.
<1%
Eleni Kounalakis
$945,896 Vol.
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$705,540 Vol.
<1%
Eric Swalwell
$737,638 Vol.
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$614,437 Vol.
<1%
Butch Ware
$741,806 Vol.
<1%
Toni Atkins
$801,776 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
$699,865 Vol.
<1%
Xavier Becerra 52.4%
Tom Steyer 31.6%
Steve Hilton 8.5%
Matt Mahan 2.1%
$21,627,797 Vol.
$21,627,797 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Xavier Becerra
$857,807 Vol.
52%
Tom Steyer
$3,304,049 Vol.
32%
Steve Hilton
$1,207,719 Vol.
9%
Matt Mahan
$739,865 Vol.
2%
Chad Bianco
$1,207,183 Vol.
2%
Katie Porter
$1,052,263 Vol.
1%
Elaine Culotti
$352,224 Vol.
1%
Leo Zacky
$605,339 Vol.
<1%
Kamala Harris
$708,568 Vol.
<1%
Alex Padilla
$913,846 Vol.
<1%
Michael Younger
$786,652 Vol.
<1%
Nicole Shanahan
$661,345 Vol.
<1%
Rick Caruso
$827,290 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Cloobeck
$882,730 Vol.
<1%
Betty Yee
$899,040 Vol.
<1%
Kyle Langford
$1,377,317 Vol.
<1%
Eleni Kounalakis
$945,896 Vol.
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$705,540 Vol.
<1%
Eric Swalwell
$737,638 Vol.
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$614,437 Vol.
<1%
Butch Ware
$741,806 Vol.
<1%
Toni Atkins
$801,776 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
$699,865 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls showing Xavier Becerra leading the California gubernatorial race with around 18% support—up from 10% last month—have driven trader consensus to price him at 52% to win the November general election, reflecting his surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit amid misconduct allegations consolidated Democratic support behind the former attorney general and HHS secretary's high name recognition and experience. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds second at 32% implied probability, bolstered by $132 million in self-funding but trailing in voter surveys amid critiques of his outsider status. Steve Hilton's 9% odds stem from GOP polling at 17%, yet California's Democratic lean favors the top-two primary on June 2 advancing Becerra or Steyer to the general, where historical base rates favor incumbency-like advantages for leading Democrats.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Recent polls showing Xavier Becerra leading the California gubernatorial race with around 18% support—up from 10% last month—have driven trader consensus to price him at 52% to win the November general election, reflecting his surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit amid misconduct allegations consolidated Democratic support behind the former attorney general and HHS secretary's high name recognition and experience. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds second at 32% implied probability, bolstered by $132 million in self-funding but trailing in voter surveys amid critiques of his outsider status. Steve Hilton's 9% odds stem from GOP polling at 17%, yet California's Democratic lean favors the top-two primary on June 2 advancing Becerra or Steyer to the general, where historical base rates favor incumbency-like advantages for leading Democrats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 12 2026
Tom Steyer’s polling declines after peak, Becerra rises
Tom Steyer plunges to 47%23%
Steyer’s market price dropped from 70% to 47% while Becerra’s rose, reflecting shifting voter preferences and campaign dynamics as the primary approached.
May 12 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race polls
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's campaign gained momentum in early May, reflected by a sharp increase in market price from 31% to 52%, indicating growing support ahead of the primary.
May 1 2026
Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's market price surged significantly in early May, reflecting increased support or positive developments in his campaign, possibly due to endorsements or campaign events.
Apr 23 2026
Xavier Becerra’s campaign gains momentum after policy rollout
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra announced a new health‑care initiative that resonated with voters, lifting his market price from single digits to the low‑30s.
Apr 23 2026
Democrats fear vote splitting in California governor race could allow two Republicans to advance
With many Democratic candidates running, party insiders expressed concern that the split vote could enable two Republicans to advance to the general election, affecting market prices for both Democratic and Republican candidates.
Apr 22 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in polls amid Democratic field uncertainty
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra’s market price rose sharply as he gained traction late in the primary season, capitalizing on the fragmented Democratic vote and Swalwell’s exit.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer spends $115 million on TV ads in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 67%55%
Steyer’s unprecedented ad buy dramatically increased his visibility, pushing his market price from the low teens to a peak of 67% within days.
Apr 15 2026
Billionaire Tom Steyer spends heavily in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 70%52%
Tom Steyer launched a massive advertising campaign spending over $115 million, dominating media presence. Despite heavy spending, his polling gains were limited, causing market volatility.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer peaks in polling after heavy ad spending
Tom Steyer surges to 70%21%
Steyer’s market price surged to a peak of 70% reflecting his dominant ad campaign and perceived frontrunner status in the Democratic field.
Apr 14 2026
Steve Hilton endorsed by President Donald Trump for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 12%6%
Steve Hilton, a conservative commentator and Republican candidate, received a high-profile endorsement from Donald Trump, boosting his profile and market price despite the crowded field.
Mar 10 2026
Eric Swalwell withdraws from governor race amid sexual assault allegations
Xavier Becerra dips to 1%3%
Swalwell’s abrupt exit removed a leading Democrat, causing a sharp drop in his own odds and a redistribution of support to remaining candidates, notably Tom Steyer.
Mar 10 2026
Polling shows tight race among Steyer, Porter, Hilton, and Bianco
Late winter polling indicated a close contest among Democratic candidates Steyer and Porter and Republicans Hilton and Bianco, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty.
Feb 20 2026
President Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 9%5%
Trump’s endorsement gave Hilton a credibility boost among Republican voters, lifting his market price modestly.
Jan 23 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race as moderate Democrat
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Matt Mahan announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a moderate Democrat with a record on homelessness and crime, attracting support from Silicon Valley and business leaders, which influenced his market price.
Jan 15 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Mahan announced his candidacy positioning himself as a moderate Democrat and critic of Newsom, briefly impacting his market price before declining.
Dec 1 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer launches massive ad spending spree in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 38%20%
Tom Steyer began a large-scale advertising campaign using his personal fortune to dominate media presence in the governor's race, significantly increasing his visibility and market support despite no clear frontrunner emerging.
Dec 1 2025
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Mahan’s entry added a moderate Democrat to the field, drawing attention from centrist voters and slightly boosting his market price.
Nov 17 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual assault allegations
Tom Steyer plunges to 20%29%
Swalwell's campaign collapsed rapidly after multiple sexual assault allegations surfaced, leading to his suspension of the campaign and eventual resignation from Congress. This event caused a significant reshuffling in the race, with his supporters and donors reconsidering their options, impacting the market prices for other candidates.
Oct 15 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell launches campaign for California governor
Xavier Becerra plunges to 5%45%
Swalwell announced his candidacy on a national talk show, positioning himself as a fighter against rising costs, which gave his name an early market presence.
Oct 10 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer begins massive ad spending in governor race
Steyer used his personal fortune to saturate media with ads, becoming the top spender and a leading Democratic candidate, impacting his polling and market price.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls showing Xavier Becerra leading the California gubernatorial race with around 18% support—up from 10% last month—have driven trader consensus to price him at 52% to win the November general election, reflecting his surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit amid misconduct allegations consolidated Democratic support behind the former attorney general and HHS secretary's high name recognition and experience. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds second at 32% implied probability, bolstered by $132 million in self-funding but trailing in voter surveys amid critiques of his outsider status. Steve Hilton's 9% odds stem from GOP polling at 17%, yet California's Democratic lean favors the top-two primary on June 2 advancing Becerra or Steyer to the general, where historical base rates favor incumbency-like advantages for leading Democrats.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Recent polls showing Xavier Becerra leading the California gubernatorial race with around 18% support—up from 10% last month—have driven trader consensus to price him at 52% to win the November general election, reflecting his surge after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April exit amid misconduct allegations consolidated Democratic support behind the former attorney general and HHS secretary's high name recognition and experience. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds second at 32% implied probability, bolstered by $132 million in self-funding but trailing in voter surveys amid critiques of his outsider status. Steve Hilton's 9% odds stem from GOP polling at 17%, yet California's Democratic lean favors the top-two primary on June 2 advancing Becerra or Steyer to the general, where historical base rates favor incumbency-like advantages for leading Democrats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 12 2026
Tom Steyer’s polling declines after peak, Becerra rises
Tom Steyer plunges to 47%23%
Steyer’s market price dropped from 70% to 47% while Becerra’s rose, reflecting shifting voter preferences and campaign dynamics as the primary approached.
May 12 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race polls
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's campaign gained momentum in early May, reflected by a sharp increase in market price from 31% to 52%, indicating growing support ahead of the primary.
May 1 2026
Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's market price surged significantly in early May, reflecting increased support or positive developments in his campaign, possibly due to endorsements or campaign events.
Apr 23 2026
Xavier Becerra’s campaign gains momentum after policy rollout
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra announced a new health‑care initiative that resonated with voters, lifting his market price from single digits to the low‑30s.
Apr 23 2026
Democrats fear vote splitting in California governor race could allow two Republicans to advance
With many Democratic candidates running, party insiders expressed concern that the split vote could enable two Republicans to advance to the general election, affecting market prices for both Democratic and Republican candidates.
Apr 22 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in polls amid Democratic field uncertainty
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra’s market price rose sharply as he gained traction late in the primary season, capitalizing on the fragmented Democratic vote and Swalwell’s exit.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer spends $115 million on TV ads in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 67%55%
Steyer’s unprecedented ad buy dramatically increased his visibility, pushing his market price from the low teens to a peak of 67% within days.
Apr 15 2026
Billionaire Tom Steyer spends heavily in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 70%52%
Tom Steyer launched a massive advertising campaign spending over $115 million, dominating media presence. Despite heavy spending, his polling gains were limited, causing market volatility.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer peaks in polling after heavy ad spending
Tom Steyer surges to 70%21%
Steyer’s market price surged to a peak of 70% reflecting his dominant ad campaign and perceived frontrunner status in the Democratic field.
Apr 14 2026
Steve Hilton endorsed by President Donald Trump for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 12%6%
Steve Hilton, a conservative commentator and Republican candidate, received a high-profile endorsement from Donald Trump, boosting his profile and market price despite the crowded field.
Mar 10 2026
Eric Swalwell withdraws from governor race amid sexual assault allegations
Xavier Becerra dips to 1%3%
Swalwell’s abrupt exit removed a leading Democrat, causing a sharp drop in his own odds and a redistribution of support to remaining candidates, notably Tom Steyer.
Mar 10 2026
Polling shows tight race among Steyer, Porter, Hilton, and Bianco
Late winter polling indicated a close contest among Democratic candidates Steyer and Porter and Republicans Hilton and Bianco, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty.
Feb 20 2026
President Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 9%5%
Trump’s endorsement gave Hilton a credibility boost among Republican voters, lifting his market price modestly.
Jan 23 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race as moderate Democrat
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Matt Mahan announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a moderate Democrat with a record on homelessness and crime, attracting support from Silicon Valley and business leaders, which influenced his market price.
Jan 15 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Mahan announced his candidacy positioning himself as a moderate Democrat and critic of Newsom, briefly impacting his market price before declining.
Dec 1 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer launches massive ad spending spree in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 38%20%
Tom Steyer began a large-scale advertising campaign using his personal fortune to dominate media presence in the governor's race, significantly increasing his visibility and market support despite no clear frontrunner emerging.
Dec 1 2025
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Mahan’s entry added a moderate Democrat to the field, drawing attention from centrist voters and slightly boosting his market price.
Nov 17 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual assault allegations
Tom Steyer plunges to 20%29%
Swalwell's campaign collapsed rapidly after multiple sexual assault allegations surfaced, leading to his suspension of the campaign and eventual resignation from Congress. This event caused a significant reshuffling in the race, with his supporters and donors reconsidering their options, impacting the market prices for other candidates.
Oct 15 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell launches campaign for California governor
Xavier Becerra plunges to 5%45%
Swalwell announced his candidacy on a national talk show, positioning himself as a fighter against rising costs, which gave his name an early market presence.
Oct 10 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer begins massive ad spending in governor race
Steyer used his personal fortune to saturate media with ads, becoming the top spender and a leading Democratic candidate, impacting his polling and market price.
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Domande frequenti
"Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Xavier Becerra" a 52%, seguito da "Tom Steyer" a 32%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 52¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California" ha generato $21.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 9, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California" è "Xavier Becerra" a 52%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tom Steyer" a 32%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $21.6 million scambiati su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 52¢ per "Xavier Becerra" nel mercato "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 52% che "Xavier Becerra" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 52¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 48¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California" è programmato per la risoluzione il o intorno al Nov 3, 2026. Questo significa che il trading rimarrà aperto e le quote continueranno a cambiare man mano che emergono nuove informazioni fino a quella data. La tempistica esatta di risoluzione dipende da quando il risultato ufficiale diventa disponibile, come indicato nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.
Il mercato "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California" ha una comunità attiva di 59 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore della California". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
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Domande frequenti