Antonio Villaraigosa officially announces 2026 California governor run

Antonio Villaraigosa rises to 8%3%

Villaraigosa publicly announced his candidacy again, emphasizing his experience and problem-solving approach, which helped stabilize his market price.

Steve Hilton kicks off general election campaign for California governor

Steve Hilton officially launched his general election campaign against Xavier Becerra, emphasizing his platform and seeking to become the first Republican governor in California in over a decade.

Katie Porter faces scrutiny over temperament but remains a key Democratic contender

Katie Porter dips to 8%4%

Despite viral moments raising questions about her temperament, Katie Porter maintained her position as a credible Democratic candidate with strong grassroots support and endorsements, influencing her market standing.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum as Democratic frontrunner for California governor

Xavier Becerra jumps to 88%11%

Polling data in mid-2026 showed Xavier Becerra with a commanding lead among Democratic voters, driven by his experience and focus on healthcare and economic issues, boosting his chances for the general election.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra leading Steve Hilton ahead of November election

A poll conducted shortly after the primary showed Xavier Becerra with a significant lead over Steve Hilton, indicating Becerra as the favorite for the November general election in the heavily Democratic state.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra leads Steve Hilton by double digits ahead of November election

Xavier Becerra surges to 89%15%

A UC Berkeley poll showed Xavier Becerra leading Steve Hilton 52% to 31%, reinforcing Becerra's frontrunner status and boosting his market price.

Steve Hilton confirmed as Republican candidate for California governor

Steve Hilton dips to 4%4%

Following the primary election and subsequent vote counts, Steve Hilton was confirmed as the Republican candidate to face Democrat Xavier Becerra in the November general election, solidifying the two-candidate race for governor.

Xavier Becerra confirmed as Democratic candidate for California governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 95%28%

Xavier Becerra was confirmed as the Democratic candidate for California governor after the primary election, positioning him as the front-runner for the November general election and a potential historic first Latino governor in modern times.

Steve Hilton officially advances to general election against Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton plunges to 6%43%

Steve Hilton's advancement to the general election was confirmed, solidifying the two-candidate race for governor and impacting market prices accordingly.

Republican Steve Hilton officially advances to general election against Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton dips to 6%2%

Steve Hilton officially secured his place in the general election against Democrat Xavier Becerra, solidifying the two-candidate race for governor and confirming market expectations of a tight contest between these frontrunners.

Republican Steve Hilton advances to general election against Xavier Becerra for California governor

Steve Hilton officially advanced to the general election after the primary, solidifying the two-candidate race and impacting market prices by confirming Hilton as the Republican nominee.

Rick Caruso announces he will not run for California governor or Los Angeles mayor

Rick Caruso plunges to 0%49%

Billionaire Rick Caruso officially announced he would not run for governor or mayor, removing a potential high-profile candidate from the race and clarifying the field for other contenders.

Steve Hilton beats Tom Steyer to secure second spot in California governor race

Steve Hilton dips to 7%2%

Steve Hilton surpassed billionaire Tom Steyer in the primary election, solidifying his position as the Republican candidate facing Democrat Xavier Becerra in the general election.

Katie Porter endorses Xavier Becerra after primary defeat

After finishing behind Becerra and Hilton in the primary, Katie Porter endorsed Xavier Becerra for governor, consolidating Democratic support behind him for the general election.

Steve Hilton advances to general election against Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton rises to 9%1%

Republican Steve Hilton secured the second spot in the June primary, beating Democrat Tom Steyer, setting up a general election contest against Xavier Becerra. This was reflected in Hilton's market price stabilizing at 9%.

Steve Hilton endorsed by President Trump and advances in California governor race

Steve Hilton dips to 8%2%

Steve Hilton received endorsement from former President Donald Trump and secured the second spot in the general election, boosting his profile and market position as the main Republican candidate against Becerra.

Steve Hilton advances to November California governor race

Steve Hilton rises to 8%2%

The Associated Press, NBC and the Guardian all called the June 2 primary, confirming Hilton as one of the top‑two finishers and moving his market price to around 8 %.

Xavier Becerra holds campaign event in Los Angeles launching general election campaign

Xavier Becerra surges to 89%21%

Xavier Becerra held a campaign event in Los Angeles to launch his general election campaign after advancing from the primary, reinforcing his frontrunner status and boosting market confidence in his chances.

Steve Hilton confirmed to advance to general election against Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton surges to 25%17%

After days of vote counting, Steve Hilton was confirmed as the Republican candidate advancing to the general election against Democrat Xavier Becerra, solidifying the two-candidate race for governor.

Katie Porter endorses Xavier Becerra for California governor after primary

After failing to advance, Katie Porter endorsed fellow Democrat Xavier Becerra, consolidating Democratic support behind him for the general election.

Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton will face off in California governor’s race

Following the primary, Becerra and Hilton were confirmed as the general election candidates, solidifying the market's leading positions for these two and ending the viability of other candidates.

Steve Hilton officially secures second spot in California governor race

Steve Hilton rises to 9%2%

Following the final vote counts, Steve Hilton was officially confirmed as the second-place finisher in the primary, securing his place in the November general election against Xavier Becerra. This confirmation was reflected in market pricing and media coverage.

Xavier Becerra advances to November California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 88%22%

The Associated Press and other outlets called the June primary, confirming Becerra as the other top‑two finisher; his market price jumped from the low‑teens to the high‑80s.

Steve Hilton officially advances to California governor general election

Steve Hilton plunges to 7%42%

Decision Desk HQ and major news outlets officially projected Republican Steve Hilton to advance to the general election against Democrat Xavier Becerra, solidifying the November matchup and impacting market prices accordingly.

Steve Hilton secures second spot in California governor race, beating Tom Steyer

Steve Hilton dips to 7%3%

Steve Hilton officially secured the second position in the primary, surpassing Tom Steyer, confirming the general election matchup against Xavier Becerra and impacting market expectations.

Steve Hilton projected to advance to general election in California governor race

The Associated Press projected Steve Hilton to advance to the general election alongside Xavier Becerra, confirming the top two candidates. This official projection reinforced Hilton's market position despite earlier declines, stabilizing his price as the Republican nominee.

Steve Hilton officially projected to advance in California governor race

Steve Hilton dips to 6%4%

Steve Hilton, endorsed by former President Donald Trump, was officially projected to advance to the general election, solidifying the November matchup against Xavier Becerra.

Steve Hilton confirmed as second candidate for California governor general election

Steve Hilton surges to 25%15%

After final vote counts, Steve Hilton was confirmed to advance alongside Xavier Becerra to the November general election, solidifying the race as a Democrat vs. Republican contest and influencing market confidence in Hilton's viability.

Katie Porter concedes California governor primary race

Katie Porter dips to 0%2%

Katie Porter conceded the primary race, leading to her market price dropping to zero and consolidating support for the leading candidates, especially Becerra and Hilton.

Associated Press calls California governor race for Becerra and Hilton

The Associated Press officially called the race for Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton to face off in the November 2026 California governor election, confirming the primary results and market resolution criteria.

Xavier Becerra officially advances to general election for California governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 89%28%

Xavier Becerra secured a spot in the general election, reinforcing his status as the Democratic frontrunner and causing his market price to peak near 89%.

Democrat Xavier Becerra advances to general election for California governor

Xavier Becerra rises to 90%2%

Becerra's primary victory solidified his position as the Democratic nominee, increasing market confidence in his chances to win the governorship.

Xavier Becerra emerges as front-runner in California governor race after primary

Xavier Becerra surges to 94%57%

Following the primary, Xavier Becerra surged in polls and betting markets, becoming the clear favorite to win the governorship. His extensive political experience and consolidation of Democratic support drove his market price upward significantly.

Republican Steve Hilton to face Democrat Xavier Becerra in California governor race

Steve Hilton dips to 6%3%

The Associated Press called the race for the general election, confirming Steve Hilton as the Republican candidate to face Democrat Xavier Becerra in November.

Xavier Becerra officially clinches top spot on California ballot for governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 93%43%

Xavier Becerra secured the top spot on the California ballot for governor after the primary election, confirming his position as the leading Democratic candidate for the general election against Steve Hilton.

Xavier Becerra surges to lead in California governor race as primary ballots counted

Xavier Becerra surges to 48%20%

Xavier Becerra overtook Republican Steve Hilton in vote counts after initially trailing on election night, solidifying his position as the Democratic frontrunner for governor.

Xavier Becerra moves closer to becoming California's first elected Latino governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 88%24%

Following the primary, Becerra's strong showing positioned him as the frontrunner for governor, with historic significance as potentially the first elected Latino governor of California.

Xavier Becerra secures top spot on California ballot for governor

Xavier Becerra rises to 89%2%

Xavier Becerra clinched the top spot on California’s ballot for governor following the primary, confirming his status as the leading Democratic candidate and solidifying his market position near 89%.

Xavier Becerra projected to advance to November ballot for California governor

Xavier Becerra jumps to 89%12%

Following the primary, Xavier Becerra was projected to advance to the November general election, solidifying his position as the Democratic nominee and increasing market confidence.

Xavier Becerra advances to November general election for California governor

Xavier Becerra plunges to 27%23%

Democrat Xavier Becerra secured the top spot in the June primary, positioning him as the frontrunner for the November general election and a potential historic first Latino governor of California.

Associated Press calls Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra as California governor primary winners

Steve Hilton dips to 7%2%

The Associated Press officially called the primary race for Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra, solidifying their status as general election candidates and impacting market confidence and prices.

Xavier Becerra advances to general election for California governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 93%43%

Xavier Becerra secured nearly 27% of the vote in the primary, confirming his place in the general election and reinforcing his status as the Democratic frontrunner.

Steve Hilton endorsed by Donald Trump for California governor

Steve Hilton rises to 10%4%

Former President Donald Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, boosting his profile and support among conservative voters ahead of the general election, reflected in a market price increase.

Xavier Becerra advances to California governor general election

Xavier Becerra surges to 93%54%

Xavier Becerra secured a spot in the November 2026 general election after the June primary, solidifying his position as the Democratic frontrunner and causing his market price to rise to 93%.

Steve Hilton claims election fraud and calls for reforms in California vote counting

Steve Hilton dips to 6%2%

Steve Hilton publicly alleged election fraud and criticized California's vote counting process, reflecting tensions in the race and possibly affecting market confidence in his candidacy.

Steve Hilton receives endorsement from President Donald Trump

Steve Hilton jumps to 15%6%

Republican candidate Steve Hilton received a high-profile endorsement from former President Donald Trump, boosting his campaign and solidifying his position as the Republican nominee for California governor.

Steve Hilton receives Trump endorsement in California governor race

Steve Hilton rises to 10%4%

Republican candidate Steve Hilton received an endorsement from former President Donald Trump in April 2026, boosting his profile and support among conservative voters ahead of the primary and general elections.

Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra lead in California governor primary results

Early results from the June 2 primary showed Steve Hilton leading with 27.8% and Xavier Becerra with 25.4%, confirming their positions as frontrunners for the general election.

Chad Bianco concedes fourth-place finish in California governor primary

Chad Bianco dips to 0%2%

Chad Bianco acknowledged his fourth-place finish in the primary and vowed to continue his political efforts, marking the end of his significant market influence in the race.

Steve Hilton advances to general election for California governor with Trump endorsement

Steve Hilton plunges to 6%43%

Republican Steve Hilton, former Fox News host and adviser to UK Prime Minister David Cameron, advanced to the general election for California governor after the June primary. Backed by Donald Trump, Hilton positioned himself as a conservative alternative to the Democratic frontrunner.

Steve Hilton secures spot in California governor general election after primary

Steve Hilton jumps to 11%6%

Steve Hilton finished second in the primary election, securing his place in the general election against Xavier Becerra, which increased his market price and confirmed his status as a leading candidate.

California primary election results show Becerra and Hilton leading

Xavier Becerra surges to 93%32%

Primary results indicated Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election, shaping the final contest.

California primary election advances Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton to general election

The June 2, 2026, primary election resulted in Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton advancing to the November general election, setting the stage for a competitive gubernatorial race between the two major party candidates.

California primary election results project Becerra and Hilton advance

Xavier Becerra surges to 93%43%

The June 2 primary election results projected Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election, confirming market expectations and causing a surge in their market prices.

Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra advance to California governor general election

Following the June 2, 2026 primary, Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra secured the top two spots to advance to the November general election for California governor. This outcome set the stage for a competitive race between a Republican challenger and the Democratic frontrunner.

California primary election results show Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton leading

The June 2 primary results positioned Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the general election, confirming market expectations and influencing prices accordingly.

California primary election held for governor

The primary election narrowed the field to two candidates for the general election: Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton, setting the stage for a competitive November race.

California primary election results confirm Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance to general election

Xavier Becerra surges to 89%39%

The June 2 primary election results confirmed Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election, causing a sharp rise in their market prices and collapse of others.

Steve Hilton secures second place in California primary, advancing to general election

Steve Hilton dips to 6%4%

Steve Hilton finished second in the June 2 primary, securing his place in the general election against Becerra, which solidified his market position at 6%.

California primary election results: Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra advance to general election

Steve Hilton plunges to 6%43%

In the June 2 primary, Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra secured the top two spots to advance to the November general election, shaping the final contest for governor.

Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance to November general election in California governor primary

Xavier Becerra surges to 94%31%

The June 2 primary election results confirmed Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates, solidifying Becerra's frontrunner status and Hilton's position as the Republican challenger, reflected in their market price increases.

Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance to California governor general election

In the June 2, 2026 primary election, Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton emerged as the top two candidates, advancing to the November general election. This set the stage for a Democrat vs. Republican contest to succeed term-limited Governor Gavin Newsom.

Steve Hilton secures second spot in California governor race, beating Tom Steyer

Steve Hilton plunges to 6%43%

Steve Hilton's strong primary performance, aided by Trump's endorsement, allowed him to surpass billionaire Tom Steyer and advance to the general election.

California primary election results: Becerra and Hilton advance to general election

Xavier Becerra surges to 84%22%

In the June 2026 primary, Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton secured the top two spots to advance to the general election. This outcome clarified the general election matchup and caused significant market price adjustments, with Becerra becoming the clear favorite.

Steve Hilton endorsed by Donald Trump for California governor

Steve Hilton rises to 10%2%

Steve Hilton received a high-profile endorsement from former President Donald Trump, boosting his campaign visibility and support among Republican voters, reflected in his market price increase.

California holds top-two primary election for governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 75%23%

The June 2, 2026, primary election results confirmed Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election, causing a sharp rise in Becerra's market price and a decline for other candidates.

Primary election results: Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance to November runoff

Xavier Becerra surges to 88%27%

In the June 2 primary, Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton secured the top two spots, advancing to the November general election. This outcome confirmed market expectations and significantly increased Becerra's winning probability.

Xavier Becerra advances to November general election for California governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 88%27%

Xavier Becerra secured enough votes in the June 2 primary to advance to the November general election, solidifying his position as the Democratic frontrunner and causing a significant market price increase.

Steve Hilton advances to California governor general election

Steve Hilton plunges to 10%39%

Republican Steve Hilton advanced to the general election alongside Xavier Becerra, securing a spot in the November runoff and setting up a competitive race between the two candidates.

California primary election results confirm Becerra and Hilton advance to general election

The June 2 primary election results confirmed Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election. This solidified Becerra's and Hilton's market prices and ended the viability of other candidates like Chad Bianco and Antonio Villaraigosa.

Steve Hilton officially projected to advance in California governor primary

Steve Hilton plunges to 9%40%

Steve Hilton secured the second spot in the primary election, advancing to the general election against Becerra. Trump's endorsement and strong GOP support were key factors in his advancement.

California primary election sets general election candidates for governor

The June 2, 2026 primary election concluded with Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advancing to the November general election, while other candidates like Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco were eliminated, shaping the final race.

California primary election results: Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance to general election

In the June primary, Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton secured the top two spots, advancing to the November general election, reflecting their market price surges and the exit of other candidates like Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco.

California primary election results: Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance to general election

Xavier Becerra surges to 67%17%

In the June 2026 primary, Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton secured the top two spots, advancing to the November general election and shaping the final contest for governor.

Associated Press calls Xavier Becerra top of California governor primary

Xavier Becerra surges to 75%20%

The Associated Press called the primary, confirming Becerra as the top‑vote‑getter with 27 % and advancing him to the November general election. Market price jumped from 55 % to 75 % (price before = 55, price after = 75).

Steve Hilton receives Trump endorsement and leads early primary results

Steve Hilton surges to 29%20%

Republican Steve Hilton, endorsed by President Trump, led early returns in the California governor primary, reflecting strong conservative support despite the crowded field.

California primary election narrows field to Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton

The June 2 primary election results confirmed Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election, shaping the final contest for governor.

California primary election confirms Becerra and Hilton advance to general election

Xavier Becerra surges to 89%19%

The June 2, 2026 primary election results confirmed Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election. This outcome solidified market expectations and led to a sharp increase in Becerra's market price.

California primary election results: Becerra and Hilton advance to general election

In the June 2 primary, Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton secured the top two spots, advancing to the November general election. This outcome caused their market prices to surge, while other candidates like Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco declined.

Steve Hilton qualifies for California governor general election with Trump endorsement

Hilton’s primary success, bolstered by Donald Trump’s endorsement, secured his place in the general election against Becerra, impacting market prices significantly.

Xavier Becerra secures top spot in California governor primary, advancing to general election

Xavier Becerra surges to 48%20%

Becerra’s strong primary performance confirmed his frontrunner status, significantly increasing his market price and positioning him for the general election.

California primary election confirms Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance to general election

The June 2 primary election results confirmed Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton as the top two candidates advancing to the November general election, solidifying their market positions and ending the viability of other candidates.

Xavier Becerra leads California governor primary poll

Xavier Becerra surges to 67%33%

A poll released in early June showed Xavier Becerra pulling ahead of fellow Democrats, reinforcing his frontrunner status and contributing to his market price rise.

Kamala Harris announces she will not run for California governor

Kamala Harris plunges to 0%49%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris officially announced she will not run for California governor in 2026, removing a potential major Democratic contender from the race and solidifying the field of candidates.

Steve Hilton endorsed by Donald Trump in California governor race

Steve Hilton surges to 29%20%

Republican Steve Hilton, former adviser to British Prime Minister David Cameron and Fox News host, received endorsement from former President Donald Trump, boosting his profile and campaign in the California governor’s race. This endorsement helped Hilton gain momentum and polling support.

Steve Hilton reveals major policy plan to cut California living costs

Steve Hilton surges to 25%15%

Steve Hilton announced his Cal-Affordable plan to reduce taxes and energy costs, aiming to appeal to voters concerned about the high cost of living, which helped maintain his market position.

Katie Porter concedes California governor race as Hilton and Becerra lead primary results

Katie Porter drops to 0%8%

Katie Porter conceded the governor's race after trailing in polls and primary results, leading to her market price dropping to zero as she exited the race.

Tom Steyer rallies supporters at Santa Rosa town hall ahead of primary

Tom Steyer drops to 20%10%

Steyer energized a large crowd in Santa Rosa, criticizing ICE and utility monopolies, and positioning himself as a progressive alternative in the final days before the primary election.

Eric Swalwell exits California governor race amid sexual assault allegations

Xavier Becerra surges to 68%65%

Swalwell's abrupt withdrawal and resignation from Congress following allegations caused a reshuffling of support among Democratic candidates, benefiting rivals like Becerra and Steyer and impacting market probabilities.

Xavier Becerra's campaign gains momentum with major ad buys and social media push

Xavier Becerra surges to 67%28%

Becerra's campaign ramped up statewide television and digital advertising, along with social media efforts, significantly increasing his visibility and market support.

Republican candidates Chad Bianco and Steve Hilton remain longshots in California governor race

Chad Bianco drops to 2%6%

Despite endorsements and campaign efforts, Republican candidates Chad Bianco and Steve Hilton maintained low market probabilities, reflecting California's Democratic-leaning electorate and crowded field.

Kamala Harris and Rick Caruso probabilities fall to zero in California governor race

Kamala Harris drops to 0%5%

By late May 2026, market probabilities for Kamala Harris and Rick Caruso dropped to zero, reflecting their diminished campaign viability and lack of traction in the race.

Libertarian Tom Woodard suspends California governor bid and endorses Steve Hilton

Tom Woodard ended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, potentially broadening Hilton's appeal to libertarian and independent voters and strengthening his position in the race.

Xavier Becerra solidifies frontrunner status in California governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 62%13%

By late May, Becerra's market price reached 62%, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the governor's race, while other candidates' chances diminished significantly.

Xavier Becerra surges in polls and market after campaign ad blitz

Xavier Becerra jumps to 66%11%

Following a statewide television and digital ad campaign, Becerra's support surged significantly, reflected in a sharp increase in market price as he emerged as a leading candidate.

Libertarian Tom Woodard suspends campaign and endorses Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton jumps to 22%8%

Libertarian candidate Tom Woodard ended his campaign and endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, potentially consolidating libertarian and conservative voters behind Hilton and strengthening his position in the race.

Rick Caruso’s campaign support falls to zero in California governor race

Caruso’s market price dropped to zero, reflecting his campaign’s failure to gain traction and effectively ending his chances in the race.

Libertarian candidate Tom Woodard suspends California governor bid and endorses Steve Hilton

Tom Woodard ended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, potentially broadening Hilton's appeal to libertarian and independent voters and strengthening his position in the race.

Xavier Becerra reaches peak market support amid final campaign push

Xavier Becerra surges to 68%17%

Becerra's market support peaked at 68% in late May as his campaign intensified efforts ahead of the June primary, solidifying his position as a leading candidate.

Xavier Becerra leads California governor race as primary nears

Xavier Becerra jumps to 59%10%

Becerra's market price reached its highest point in the analysis window, reflecting growing confidence in his chances to win the governorship as the June primary approaches.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra rises to 51%3%

Xavier Becerra's market price rose sharply in May 2026, reflecting increased campaign momentum and possibly consolidating support after Swalwell's exit and Steyer's fluctuating standing.

Latest poll confirms Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra lead in California governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 62%11%

An EVITARUS poll commissioned by the California Democratic Party showed Hilton at 22% and Becerra at 21%, confirming their positions as frontrunners and impacting market confidence and prices.

Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton lead California governor race in polls

Xavier Becerra jumps to 61%12%

Polls in late May showed Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton leading the pack, solidifying their status as frontrunners for the June primary and setting the stage for a general election showdown.

Tom Steyer announces run for California governor, self-funds campaign heavily

Tom Steyer plunges to 26%23%

Billionaire Tom Steyer entered the race with a focus on affordability and climate, spending over $200 million on his campaign, which initially boosted his market price but ultimately failed to secure a spot in the general election.

Poll shows Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra leading California governor race

Steve Hilton jumps to 22%14%

A poll commissioned by the California Democratic Party showed Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra leading the gubernatorial race, with Hilton slightly ahead, indicating a competitive top-two primary.

PPIC poll shows Becerra and Hilton leading California governor primary

Xavier Becerra jumps to 52%13%

A PPIC statewide survey in mid-May 2026 showed Xavier Becerra leading the Democratic field and Steve Hilton leading the Republicans, confirming their front-runner status and influencing market prices.

Xavier Becerra now 2026 California governor’s race favorite

Xavier Becerra jumps to 89%8%

Becerra surged to the lead in polls and betting markets, becoming the clear front-runner for governor, reflecting growing confidence in his chances to win the general election.

Xavier Becerra surges to lead in California governor race amid primary push

Xavier Becerra surges to 87%26%

Xavier Becerra surged in polling and betting markets to become the clear front-runner in the 2026 California governor race. His rise followed the exit of other candidates and growing support among Democratic voters, positioning him as the favorite to win the general election.

Steve Hilton launches campaign for California governor with Trump endorsement

Steve Hilton, former Fox News host and UK adviser, entered the race as a Republican candidate with strong backing from Donald Trump, energizing conservative voters.

Xavier Becerra becomes clear favorite in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 52%18%

Becerra's polling and betting odds surged, making him the leading candidate to win the governorship, reflecting growing confidence among voters and political bettors.

Tom Steyer’s chances decline as Xavier Becerra rises in California governor race

Tom Steyer drops to 32%5%

Market prices show Tom Steyer’s support falling from 37% to 32% while Xavier Becerra’s rises to 51%, indicating shifting voter preferences and campaign dynamics ahead of the primary.

Tom Steyer holds Palm Springs town hall focusing on affordability and climate

Tom Steyer drops to 32%7%

Tom Steyer held a town hall in Palm Springs emphasizing affordability, housing, and climate change policies. His campaign focused on lowering electricity costs and building affordable housing, aiming to resonate with voters concerned about cost of living.

Final market prices show Xavier Becerra as frontrunner with 51%

Xavier Becerra jumps to 51%12%

By the end of the analysis window, Xavier Becerra held a market price of 51%, solidifying his position as the leading candidate, while other candidates' prices declined significantly, reflecting market consensus on likely election outcome.

Tony Thurmond outlines progressive platform focusing on affordability and education

Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction, emphasized affordability, housing, healthcare, and education in his campaign, appealing to progressive voters though polling remains lower than frontrunners.

Stephen Cloobeck drops out of governor race

Cloobeck’s withdrawal removed his remaining support, confirming his market price at zero and consolidating votes among remaining candidates.

Xavier Becerra leads California governor market at 51%

Xavier Becerra jumps to 51%10%

By mid-May, Becerra had solidified his lead in the market, reflecting his status as the frontrunner in the race.

Stephen Cloobeck arrested on felony charges related to fiancée’s case

Stephen Cloobeck drops to 0%14%

Stephen Cloobeck, former gubernatorial candidate, was arrested on suspicion of attempting to prevent witnesses from testifying in a criminal case involving his fiancée. This legal trouble likely ended his political viability, reflected in his market price dropping to zero.

Katie Porter attacks Becerra and boosts Hilton in governor debate

In the final gubernatorial debate before the primary, Katie Porter publicly adopted a tax cut proposal from Republican Steve Hilton and criticized frontrunner Xavier Becerra. This strategic move aimed to improve her standing and appeal to a broader electorate.

Katie Porter attacks Xavier Becerra and boosts Steve Hilton in California governor debate

Katie Porter plunges to 0%49%

In the final gubernatorial debate before the primary, Katie Porter publicly adopted a tax cut idea from Steve Hilton, boosting his visibility while attacking frontrunner Xavier Becerra, influencing voter perceptions and campaign dynamics.

Report highlights criticism of Becerra's record and campaign fraud case

A CalMatters report detailed criticism of Becerra's handling of migrant children as health secretary and a campaign fraud case involving his former staff, raising questions about his fitness for office. Despite the negative press, Becerra's market price remained high, reflecting confidence in his campaign resilience.

Xavier Becerra reaches peak market support at 55%

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%16%

Xavier Becerra's market price peaked at 55%, indicating strong market confidence in his chances to win the governorship, likely due to positive campaign developments or polling data.

Xavier Becerra leads latest poll in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 52%18%

Polls showed Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field ahead of the June primary, surpassing Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer, signaling a shift in voter preferences.

Xavier Becerra leads in tight California governor race poll

Xavier Becerra jumps to 51%8%

A poll showed Democrat Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field with 19% support, closely followed by Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer, indicating a tight race ahead of the June primary.

Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra lead in new California governor poll

Steve Hilton rises to 10%4%

A Kreate Strategies poll showed Republican Steve Hilton leading with 22% and Democrat Xavier Becerra close behind at 20%, indicating a tight race and influencing market prices for both candidates.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra leads crowded California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 49%21%

A poll released in May 2026 showed Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field with 19% support, gaining momentum after Eric Swalwell's exit and endorsements, reinforcing his frontrunner status and boosting his market price.

Stephen Cloobeck arrested on witness tampering charges

Stephen Cloobeck was arrested on suspicion of intimidating victims in a felony case involving his fiancée, which brought negative attention to his political profile after his withdrawal from the governor's race. This incident likely ended any remaining political ambitions for Cloobeck in 2026.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra leading crowded California governor race

A poll released in May 2026 showed Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field of gubernatorial candidates, with Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer trailing closely. This poll indicated Becerra's growing support among likely voters.

Xavier Becerra leads tight California governor race in Emerson College poll

Xavier Becerra surges to 70%21%

An Emerson College poll showed Becerra leading with 19% support among likely voters, with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer close behind. Becerra's momentum increased after Eric Swalwell's exit, strengthening his frontrunner status and impacting market confidence.

Stephen Cloobeck arrested on suspicion of intimidating witnesses, ending his campaign

Stephen Cloobeck drops to 0%9%

Stephen Cloobeck was arrested on charges related to intimidating victims in a felony case, leading to his withdrawal from the governor's race and endorsement of Eric Swalwell, causing his market price to drop to zero.

Xavier Becerra leads crowded California governor race in new poll

Xavier Becerra surges to 66%18%

A poll released on May 13 showed Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field with 19% support, gaining momentum after Eric Swalwell's exit and endorsements, boosting his market price.

Stephen Cloobeck arrested in Los Angeles County amid California governor race

Stephen Cloobeck plunges to 0%49%

Stephen Cloobeck, a former gubernatorial candidate, was arrested on suspicion of witness tampering, a scandal that led to his withdrawal and endorsement of Eric Swalwell, impacting the Democratic race.

Xavier Becerra surges to lead in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 88%32%

Polling and market data showed Becerra emerging as the front-runner in the Democratic field, significantly increasing his chances of winning the primary and general election.

Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra tied in California governor race poll

A May 2026 poll showed Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra tied at 18% each, indicating a tight race and influencing market prices for both candidates.

Stephen Cloobeck arrested on felony charges related to witness intimidation

Stephen Cloobeck drops to 0%14%

Stephen Cloobeck was arrested on suspicion of attempting to prevent witnesses from testifying in a criminal case involving his fiancée, negatively impacting his public image and campaign viability.

Xavier Becerra leads California governor race in polls

Polls showed Becerra leading a crowded field with significant support, ahead of Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer, indicating his strong position heading into the June primary.

Xavier Becerra gains market lead

Xavier Becerra jumps to 55%6%

As the field narrowed, Xavier Becerra emerged as a leading candidate in the market's estimation.

Stephen Cloobeck arrested on charges related to witness intimidation

Stephen Cloobeck drops to 0%14%

Stephen Cloobeck, who had dropped out of the governor race and endorsed Eric Swalwell, was arrested on suspicion of intimidating victims in a felony case, negatively impacting his political influence and market perception.

Katie Porter receives major endorsement from EMILY’s List for governor bid

Katie Porter was endorsed by EMILY’s List, a prominent Democratic organization supporting pro-choice female candidates, boosting her campaign's visibility and support among progressive voters.

Xavier Becerra surges in market as primary approaches

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%21%

Becerra's campaign momentum and perceived electability surged, reflected in a sharp increase in market price as the June primary neared.

Tom Steyer’s polling declines after peak, Becerra rises

Tom Steyer plunges to 47%23%

Steyer’s market price dropped from 70% to 47% while Becerra’s rose, reflecting shifting voter preferences and campaign dynamics as the primary approached.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra surging in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 52%22%

Polling data released in May 2026 showed Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field with increased support, particularly after Eric Swalwell's exit. This surge was reflected in the market with a significant price increase for Becerra.

Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra lead in California governor race polls

Steve Hilton rises to 10%1%

Polls showed Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra tied for the lead in the crowded California governor race, reflecting a competitive primary with no clear frontrunner and a fragmented electorate.

Xavier Becerra surges in polls after Eric Swalwell and Betty Yee exit race

Xavier Becerra surges to 64%30%

Following the exit of Eric Swalwell and Betty Yee, Xavier Becerra's polling numbers surged significantly, rising from low single digits to leading the Democratic field. This surge was reflected in market prices increasing from around 34% to 64%.

President Donald Trump endorses conservative commentator Steve Hilton for California governor

Trump's endorsement of Steve Hilton, a conservative commentator and Republican candidate, boosted Hilton's profile and market support, reflecting increased Republican activity in the race.

Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race polls

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%21%

Xavier Becerra's market price surged significantly, reflecting increased support and momentum in the race, possibly due to campaign efforts and shifts after Swalwell's exit.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum in late-stage polling

Xavier Becerra jumps to 55%6%

Becerra's campaign saw a late surge in support, pushing his market price to a peak of 55% by mid-May.

Xavier Becerra requests balanced interview approach in KTLA profile

Xavier Becerra jumps to 61%6%

Becerra's demand for a fair interview rather than a 'gotcha' piece aimed to manage media narratives and improve public image, coinciding with a price increase in the market.

Xavier Becerra demands 'profile piece' interview amid campaign scrutiny

Xavier Becerra jumps to 67%12%

In a KTLA interview, Becerra requested a balanced profile rather than a 'gotcha' piece, reflecting his campaign's effort to manage media narratives amid criticism. This event coincided with a notable price increase for Becerra, indicating market reaction to his media strategy and visibility.

Tom Steyer's support drops sharply after primary polling

Tom Steyer plunges to 26%17%

Following the primary polling, Steyer's market price dropped from 43% to 26%, indicating a loss of momentum and voter support in the race.

Xavier Becerra's campaign gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 51%24%

Becerra's market price surged from near zero to over 50% as his campaign gained traction late in the analysis window, reflecting increased voter support and campaign activity.

Tom Steyer’s price drops to 34% after poll shows steep decline

Tom Steyer drops to 34%10%

A mid‑May poll indicated Steyer falling behind the leading candidates, prompting a market correction that reduced his price from a recent high.

Steyer’s price drops to 32% after fundraising report shows rivals closing gap

Tom Steyer plunges to 32%23%

A report revealing that Porter and Mahan had raised comparable sums to Steyer caused his price to decline from 55% to 32%, reflecting market concerns over his financial advantage eroding.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 56%23%

Becerra's market price surged as he gained traction late in the campaign, possibly due to consolidating Democratic support after Swalwell's exit and Steyer's fluctuating support.

Xavier Becerra's support climbs to 49% in California governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 49%13%

Becerra's continued rise in market probability to nearly half reflects his strengthening position as a leading Democratic candidate ahead of the primary election.

Polls show Xavier Becerra surging to lead California governor primary race

Xavier Becerra surges to 28%18%

Multiple polls in May 2026 showed Xavier Becerra surging ahead in the crowded primary field, gaining significant support among Democratic voters after Swalwell's exit. This polling momentum was reflected in the market with a sharp rise in Becerra's price.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 62%13%

Becerra's campaign saw a notable rise in support, possibly due to consolidating Democratic voters after Swalwell's exit and shifting dynamics in the race.

Xavier Becerra surges to lead in California governor election market

Xavier Becerra surges to 49%19%

Becerra's market price surged to 49%, overtaking other candidates as he gained traction in the race, reflecting increased support and campaign effectiveness.

Katie Porter leads field for California governor in 2025 fundraising

Katie Porter rises to 24%4%

Katie Porter raised significant grassroots funds, establishing herself as a leading Democratic candidate with strong financial backing early in the race.

Kreate Strategies poll shows Becerra close behind Steve Hilton in governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 51%12%

A poll released showed Becerra at 20% support, just behind Republican Steve Hilton at 22%, indicating a tightening race and increased market confidence in Becerra.

Poll shows Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra leading California governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 51%12%

A Kreate Strategies poll showed Republican Steve Hilton leading with 22% and Democrat Xavier Becerra close behind at 20%, reflecting a tightening race and influencing market prices accordingly.

Democrats fear vote splitting could allow two Republicans in California governor general election

Democratic insiders expressed concern that the crowded Democratic field could split votes enough to let two Republicans advance to the November general election, impacting market perceptions of Republican candidates' chances.

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race as Newsom critic

Matt Mahan plunges to 27%19%

Matt Mahan announced his candidacy, emphasizing his moderate stance and criticism of Newsom on homelessness and crime. His entry added a new dynamic to the race, though his market support eventually declined.

Katie Porter’s support collapses in California governor race

Katie Porter dips to 1%3%

Porter’s market price dropped to near zero amid ongoing campaign struggles and negative press, effectively ending her viability as a candidate.

Chad Bianco’s controversial election fraud investigation puts spotlight on his campaign

Sheriff Chad Bianco’s investigation into unsubstantiated election fraud claims drew media attention and legal challenges, affecting his campaign’s public image and polling.

Becerra rebounds to 55% after securing major union endorsement

Xavier Becerra jumps to 55%8%

A key labor union endorsement lifted Becerra’s price from 47% to 55%, reviving his momentum heading into the final weeks before the primary.

Xavier Becerra's campaign gains momentum ahead of primary

Xavier Becerra surges to 49%23%

Becerra's market price surged as his campaign gained traction, possibly due to consolidation of Democratic support after Swalwell's exit and increased campaign activity, signaling improved chances in the primary.

Rick Caruso’s campaign funds exhausted, ceases advertising

With no remaining cash, Caruso’s visibility vanished, confirming his market price at zero and ending his competitive relevance.

Democratic candidates debate in California governor race

A televised debate among Democratic candidates, including Becerra and Villaraigosa, highlighted policy differences and campaign strategies, influencing voter opinions and market dynamics.

Katie Porter’s price falls to 2% after poll shows her trailing significantly

Katie Porter dips to 2%2%

A new poll released in early May placed Porter well behind the frontrunners, causing a sharp decline in her market price to near‑zero.

Becerra surges to 48% after high‑profile endorsement

Xavier Becerra surges to 48%31%

A prominent labor union endorsement boosted Becerra’s credibility, lifting his price sharply as the primary approached.

Criticism of Xavier Becerra's pandemic leadership emerges from former Biden officials

Xavier Becerra dips to 49%2%

Former colleagues criticized Becerra's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, impacting public perception and causing some volatility in his market price.

Xavier Becerra defends record amid criticism over lost migrant children

Xavier Becerra rises to 55%4%

During a debate, Becerra was pressed on reports of migrant children lost under his watch as HHS Secretary, which brought scrutiny but also media attention to his candidacy, impacting market perceptions.

Sierra Club endorses Tom Steyer for California governor

Tom Steyer jumps to 39%7%

The Sierra Club endorsed Tom Steyer for governor, highlighting his long record of climate advocacy and environmental leadership. This endorsement boosted Steyer’s progressive credentials and campaign momentum.

Steve Hilton outlines plans to make California affordable as governor

Steve Hilton rises to 10%1%

Republican Steve Hilton publicly detailed his campaign platform focused on affordability, including lowering gas prices and cutting taxes, gaining attention and solidifying his position as the GOP frontrunner.

Xavier Becerra intensifies campaign efforts in Los Angeles ahead of June primary

Xavier Becerra jumps to 51%5%

Becerra's focused campaign in Los Angeles on affordability and readiness to govern helped boost his standing in polls and market prices as the primary approached.

California gubernatorial debate highlights affordability and campaign scandals

Xavier Becerra rises to 10%4%

A key debate featured leading candidates including Becerra and Hilton discussing major issues like housing affordability and addressing campaign finance scandals affecting Becerra, influencing voter perceptions ahead of the primary.

California Academy of Family Physicians endorses Xavier Becerra for governor

Xavier Becerra rises to 52%4%

The California Academy of Family Physicians endorsed Becerra, providing a significant institutional boost to his campaign and reinforcing his front-runner status.

Democratic candidates debate intensifies California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 52%18%

A heated debate among the main Democratic candidates, including Xavier Becerra and Antonio Villaraigosa, highlighted key issues like cost of living and healthcare. Becerra's campaign gained momentum following the exit of Eric Swalwell amid scandal, improving his market standing significantly.

Democratic candidates debate in California governor race

Democratic candidates, including Becerra and Villaraigosa, participated in a major debate, allowing voters to assess their platforms on issues like housing, public safety, and affordability, influencing voter perceptions ahead of the primary.

San Francisco's former mayor Willie Brown endorses Tom Steyer for governor

Tom Steyer jumps to 28%8%

Willie Brown, former San Francisco mayor, endorsed Tom Steyer, adding significant political weight and labor support to Steyer's campaign in the final stretch before the primary.

California billionaire‑tax proposal sparks debate, hurting progressive candidates

Katie Porter dips to 2%2%

The controversial tax on billionaires divided Democrats, pulling support from progressive candidates like Katie Porter and Kamala Harris, whose prices fell to single digits.

CNN gubernatorial debate features key candidates including Becerra and Steyer

Xavier Becerra surges to 51%17%

The debate provided a platform for candidates to present policies and challenge opponents, influencing voter perceptions and market prices, notably benefiting Becerra's visibility.

Xavier Becerra surges to lead in California governor race polls

Xavier Becerra surges to 66%30%

Polls showed Becerra gaining momentum as the front-runner among Democrats, boosting his market price and solidifying his status as a leading candidate for governor.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 39%11%

Xavier Becerra's campaign gained traction late in the race, reflected in a significant price increase, as he consolidated support from former Swalwell backers and positioned himself as a leading Democratic candidate.

Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race polls

Xavier Becerra surges to 93%43%

Polls showed Xavier Becerra gaining momentum and leading the crowded field, reflecting increased market confidence in his chances to win the governorship.

CNN gubernatorial debate features Becerra and rivals

Xavier Becerra jumps to 51%11%

Becerra's participation in the CNN debate further increased his visibility and allowed him to defend his record, contributing to his market price rise.

Chad Bianco faces scrutiny over election ballot seizure during governor campaign

Chad Bianco dips to 2%1%

Chad Bianco's controversial seizure of 650,000 ballots drew criticism and legal challenges, impacting his campaign's public perception and market price negatively.

Xavier Becerra gains traction in California governor’s race, emphasizing experience and trust

Xavier Becerra surges to 81%31%

Becerra's campaign gained momentum as other Democratic candidates dropped out, positioning him as a steady and experienced leader, which boosted his market standing as the likely Democratic nominee.

Xavier Becerra leads California governor primary polls, surging ahead of rivals

Xavier Becerra rises to 90%1%

Polls showed Becerra as the front-runner with significant leads over other candidates, reflecting growing voter confidence and campaign strength.

Kamala Harris endorses Karen Bass, declines to run for California governor

Former Vice President Kamala Harris endorsed Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass for reelection and announced she would not run for California governor, removing a major potential candidate from the race and impacting market dynamics.

Xavier Becerra surges in polls after primary campaign momentum

Xavier Becerra jumps to 10%7%

Polling data showed a significant rise in support for Xavier Becerra following his campaign efforts and the exit of other candidates, positioning him as a leading Democratic contender for governor.

Steyer’s price falls after poll shows Porter closing gap

Tom Steyer drops to 47%12%

A new poll indicated Porter narrowing the gap with Steyer, pulling Steyer’s price down from 59% to 47% as the market reassessed the race dynamics.

Poll shows Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra tied in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 50%22%

A poll showed Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra tied at 18% each, indicating a competitive race and influencing market prices for both candidates.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra catching up with Steve Hilton in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%19%

New polling data from the California Democratic Party showed Becerra rapidly gaining ground on Republican Steve Hilton, signaling a shift in voter preferences and tightening the race. This poll contributed to Becerra's price increase and Hilton's decline in the market.

President Donald Trump endorses Republican Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton plunges to 22%27%

Donald Trump endorsed Steve Hilton, boosting Hilton's profile and consolidating Republican support behind him. This endorsement was a key factor in Hilton maintaining a strong position in the race and advancing to the general election, reflected in his market price.

Xavier Becerra's campaign surges ahead in final weeks before primary

Xavier Becerra jumps to 41%13%

Becerra's price rose sharply, reflecting increased support and campaign momentum as the primary approached.

Rick Caruso announces he will not run for California governor

Rick Caruso drops to 0%7%

Billionaire real estate developer Rick Caruso announced he would not run for governor or Los Angeles mayor in 2026, removing a potential high-profile candidate from the race and consolidating the field for other contenders.

Steve Hilton receives endorsement from former President Donald Trump

Steve Hilton rises to 9%2%

Republican candidate Steve Hilton received public endorsement from former President Donald Trump, boosting his profile and support among conservative voters in California's gubernatorial race, reflected in market price increases.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race ahead of primary

Xavier Becerra surges to 47%19%

Becerra's market price surged as he gained traction in the crowded Democratic field, benefiting from Swalwell's exit and consolidating moderate support.

Xavier Becerra's campaign gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 36%31%

Becerra's campaign saw a surge in support and market probability, rising sharply in early May 2026, reflecting growing voter confidence and campaign effectiveness.

Tom Steyer's ad spending boosts his standing in California governor race

Tom Steyer jumps to 44%7%

Steyer's continued heavy spending on ads increased his market price significantly, reinforcing his position as a leading candidate despite a crowded field.

Antonio Villaraigosa featured in California Governor Race coverage

Media coverage of Villaraigosa's campaign helped maintain his visibility and support in the race, contributing to his market price stabilization.

Xavier Becerra reaches 52% market price after late‑April surge

Xavier Becerra rises to 52%4%

Following a series of policy announcements and strong fundraising, Becerra’s market price climbed to its endpoint of 52%, making him the leading candidate as the primary approaches.

Kamala Harris endorses Xavier Becerra for governor

Xavier Becerra rises to 51%3%

Former U.S. Senator Kamala Harris publicly backed Xavier Becerra, giving his market price a final boost to just above 50 percent.

Tom Steyer's massive ad spending dominates California governor race

Billionaire Tom Steyer launched an extensive advertising campaign, spending over $115 million to boost his profile and campaign, significantly impacting his polling and market support despite no clear frontrunner emerging.

Steyer’s ad spend peaks with $20 million TV buy

Tom Steyer jumps to 43%8%

A fresh wave of Steyer ads temporarily lifted his market price, though the effect was limited as voters remained skeptical of his wealth‑driven campaign.

Antonio Villaraigosa discusses affordability and coalition building in interview

Antonio Villaraigosa rises to 8%3%

Villaraigosa highlighted his platform focused on affordability and coalition building, reinforcing his campaign message and impacting his market price positively.

Xavier Becerra's campaign gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 30%30%

Xavier Becerra's campaign saw a significant rebound in support, with his market price rising sharply, indicating growing voter confidence in his candidacy.

Democratic candidates debate for California governor

Xavier Becerra jumps to 89%14%

Democratic candidates including Xavier Becerra and Antonio Villaraigosa participated in a major debate, highlighting policy differences and campaign strengths, which influenced voter perceptions and market prices.

Xavier Becerra’s campaign gains momentum after high‑profile health‑care endorsement

Xavier Becerra surges to 25%25%

A major health‑care union endorsement propelled Becerra’s price from near‑zero to the top of the market, reflecting renewed voter confidence in his experience.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum after strong debate performance

Xavier Becerra rises to 34%3%

Becerra's performance in a key debate helped solidify his position as a frontrunner, countering criticism and highlighting his experience. This contributed to a rise in his market price.

Xavier Becerra campaigns heavily in Los Angeles ahead of June primary

Xavier Becerra jumps to 37%10%

Becerra intensified campaign efforts focusing on affordability and readiness to govern, boosting his standing in polls and market prices as the primary approached.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra catching up with Steve Hilton in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%18%

New polling data showed Becerra rapidly gaining ground on Republican Steve Hilton, signaling a shift in voter preferences and tightening the race, which was reflected in market price changes.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra catching up with Steve Hilton in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%16%

A CBS poll indicated Becerra rapidly gaining ground on Republican Steve Hilton, signaling a shift in voter preferences and tightening the race, which was reflected in market price changes.

Xavier Becerra rebounds after debate‑eligibility ruling

Xavier Becerra surges to 17%17%

A state election board ruled Becerra met the debate eligibility criteria, reviving his campaign and sparking a jump from near‑zero to 17% as voters reconsidered his viability.

Xavier Becerra’s price climbs to 48% following endorsement from a major labor union

Xavier Becerra surges to 48%24%

A key endorsement from a statewide labor federation gave Becerra a credibility boost, moving his price from the low‑20s to near‑50% as the primary approached.

Xavier Becerra's surge in governor race draws fresh scrutiny

Xavier Becerra surges to 48%22%

Xavier Becerra gained significant momentum in the race, becoming the clear front-runner in polls and advancing to the general election, positioning him as the likely Democratic nominee and eventual winner.

Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race, drawing fresh scrutiny

Xavier Becerra jumps to 88%14%

Becerra's rising poll numbers and primary campaign momentum positioned him as the Democratic frontrunner, influencing market confidence in his victory.

Republican Chad Bianco gains attention after law‑and‑order rally

Chad Bianco rises to 4%2%

Sheriff Chad Bianco held a high‑visibility rally emphasizing public safety, boosting his profile among Republican voters and nudging his market price upward.

Steve Hilton’s campaign stalls after low fundraising report

Steve Hilton dips to 6%3%

Financial disclosures showed Hilton’s campaign raised far less than projected, causing his market price to dip back toward single digits.

Steve Hilton receives endorsement from former President Donald Trump

Steve Hilton plunges to 6%43%

Steve Hilton secured a key endorsement from Donald Trump, boosting his profile and support among Republican voters in California, which contributed to his rise as the leading GOP candidate.

Steve Hilton gains Trump endorsement for California governor race

Steve Hilton surges to 28%23%

Steve Hilton received a high-profile endorsement from former President Donald Trump, boosting his profile and support among Republican voters in California.

Becerra’s price slips after controversy over former chief of staff’s indictment

Xavier Becerra plunges to 28%15%

News of a former chief of staff’s federal corruption indictment caused Becerra’s price to fall from 43% to 28%, tempering the earlier surge.

Katie Porter finishes fifth in California gubernatorial primary, announces stepping away from politics

Katie Porter plunges to 0%49%

Katie Porter finished fifth in the primary with less than 5% of the vote and announced she is stepping away from politics, rebranding her social media to focus on books and personal life.

Xavier Becerra performs strongly in California governor debate

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%21%

Becerra's debate performance, defending his experience and plans, helped solidify his position as a leading candidate, contributing to his price increase in the market.

President Donald Trump endorses conservative commentator Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 10%5%

Trump's endorsement boosted Hilton's profile among Republican voters, briefly increasing his market price, though it remained low overall.

California gubernatorial debate highlights Becerra's experience and policy plans

Xavier Becerra jumps to 37%10%

During a key debate, Becerra defended his record and experience against rivals, reinforcing his image as a steady candidate and contributing to his rising market price and voter support.

Xavier Becerra rises in polls after strong debate performance and campaign strategy

Xavier Becerra surges to 40%35%

Following a debate where Becerra defended his experience against rivals, his campaign gained momentum as voters viewed him as a steady and experienced candidate, reflected in rising poll numbers and market prices.

Xavier Becerra’s campaign gains momentum after policy rollout

Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%

Becerra announced a new health‑care initiative that resonated with voters, lifting his market price from single digits to the low‑30s.

Democrats fear vote splitting in California governor race could allow two Republicans to advance

With many Democratic candidates running, party insiders expressed concern that the split vote could enable two Republicans to advance to the general election, affecting market prices for both Democratic and Republican candidates.

Xavier Becerra rises in California governor race after strong debate performance

Xavier Becerra surges to 39%16%

Becerra's strong debate showing and steady campaign helped him gain support, positioning him as a safe harbor for Democrats amid a shaken race. This contributed to his market price surge.

Xavier Becerra surges in polls amid Democratic field uncertainty

Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%

Becerra’s market price rose sharply as he gained traction late in the primary season, capitalizing on the fragmented Democratic vote and Swalwell’s exit.

Concerns rise over crowded Democratic field splitting vote in California governor race

Democrats expressed fears that the large number of candidates could split the vote, potentially allowing two Republicans to advance to the general election, impacting market prices for Democratic candidates.

Eric Swalwell withdraws from California governor race amid allegations

Xavier Becerra surges to 26%26%

Swalwell suspended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denies, causing a reshuffling of support among Democratic candidates and impacting market prices, particularly benefiting Becerra and Steyer.

Nexstar gubernatorial debate highlights Becerra's experience and policy plans

Xavier Becerra jumps to 27%9%

In a key debate, Becerra defended his record and experience, reinforcing his image as a steady candidate and contributing to his rising market price and voter support.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 28%28%

Becerra's market price surged significantly, possibly due to campaign developments or endorsements, marking a recovery from earlier lows.

Tom Steyer's support sharply declines after peak polling

Tom Steyer plunges to 41%29%

Following his peak, Tom Steyer's polling and market price dropped significantly, indicating waning support possibly due to campaign dynamics or emerging competition.

Xavier Becerra's support surges in polls

Xavier Becerra surges to 27%27%

Xavier Becerra's market price rose sharply from near zero to over 27%, reflecting increased polling support or campaign momentum, possibly due to endorsements or campaign events boosting his profile.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum after Swalwell's exit and strong debate performance

Xavier Becerra surges to 23%18%

Following Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, Xavier Becerra's campaign gained momentum, with polls showing increased support. His debate performance and steady campaign helped him rise in the market prices.

Tom Steyer’s price spikes to 37% after new TV ads debut

Tom Steyer surges to 37%26%

A fresh wave of high‑budget TV ads boosted Steyer’s visibility, pushing his market price sharply upward before a rapid reversal later in the month.

Eric Swalwell withdraws from governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 37%13%

The withdrawal of a major candidate following sexual assault allegations caused significant market reordering.

Xavier Becerra outlines campaign priorities focusing on affordability and public safety

Xavier Becerra rises to 90%2%

Becerra emphasized lowering costs for healthcare, housing, and childcare, and investing in local law enforcement, reinforcing his campaign themes and appealing to a broad voter base.

Katie Porter gains endorsements and leads Democratic field in California governor race

Katie Porter received major endorsements from organizations like EMILY's List and labor unions, boosting her profile and solidifying her position as the leading Democratic candidate in the race.

Xavier Becerra campaigns heavily in Los Angeles ahead of June primary

Xavier Becerra jumps to 37%9%

Becerra intensified campaign efforts focusing on affordability and readiness to govern, boosting his polling and market prices as the primary approached.

Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race after Swalwell exit

Xavier Becerra surges to 37%32%

Following Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, Xavier Becerra's campaign gained momentum, with polls and prediction markets showing him as the new Democratic frontrunner.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco announces run for California governor

Chad Bianco plunges to 8%42%

Chad Bianco, Riverside County Sheriff, announced his candidacy focusing on law-and-order and anti-regulation themes, energizing conservative voters but later facing controversies that affected his campaign.

Katie Porter announces run for California governor

Katie Porter plunges to 20%29%

Former U.S. Representative Katie Porter officially entered the 2026 California governor race, adding to the crowded Democratic field and influencing market interest in her candidacy.

Becerra’s price jumps to 43% after high‑profile debate performance

Xavier Becerra surges to 43%16%

Following a televised debate where Becerra outperformed rivals, his price surged from 27% to 43%, reflecting voter optimism about his debate showing.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra leading crowded California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 39%16%

A poll released in April 2026 showed Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field, boosting his market price as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.

Steve Hilton announces run for California governor

Steve Hilton plunges to 10%39%

Former Fox News host and UK political adviser Steve Hilton announced his candidacy as a Republican, focusing on economic and public safety issues. His entry energized the GOP base and introduced a prominent challenger to Democrats, impacting market prices.

Steve Hilton receives endorsement from Donald Trump

Steve Hilton rises to 10%2%

Steve Hilton, a Republican candidate and former UK political adviser, received a high-profile endorsement from former President Donald Trump, boosting his profile and support within the Republican base ahead of the primary election.

Katie Porter’s former staffers defend her amid viral video controversy

Katie Porter plunges to 0%49%

After viral videos showed Katie Porter in tense moments, 30 former staffers publicly defended her leadership and work ethic. This helped stabilize her campaign despite negative media, though her market price declined to zero by mid-2026.

Betty Yee endorses Tom Steyer for California governor

Tom Steyer surges to 37%32%

After suspending her campaign, Betty Yee endorsed Tom Steyer, boosting his campaign momentum and contributing to his polling gains and market price increase.

Xavier Becerra surges to lead in California governor race polls

Xavier Becerra surges to 55%50%

After Eric Swalwell's exit, Xavier Becerra surged in polls to become the leading Democratic candidate for governor, gaining endorsements and increasing fundraising, positioning himself as the front-runner in a crowded field.

Chad Bianco profile highlights law-and-order platform and controversies

Chad Bianco dips to 1%2%

A detailed profile of Chad Bianco outlined his law enforcement background, campaign focus on public safety, and controversies including ballot seizures and jail mortality rates, influencing voter and market perceptions.

Steve Hilton launches campaign for California governor

Steve Hilton plunges to 8%41%

Steve Hilton, former Fox News host and adviser to UK Prime Minister David Cameron, announced his Republican candidacy for governor, gaining early momentum and endorsements including from Donald Trump, reflected in his market price rise.

California governor primary polls show Xavier Becerra rising

Polls released after Betty Yee's exit showed Becerra rising in support, indicating consolidation of Democratic voters and increasing his market price while competitors declined.

President Donald Trump endorses conservative commentator Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 14%9%

Trump's endorsement of Hilton, a Republican candidate, provided a boost to Hilton's campaign and market price, energizing conservative voters and increasing his visibility in the race.

Polls show Xavier Becerra rising after Swalwell exit

Xavier Becerra surges to 37%30%

Following Swalwell's departure, polls indicated a rise in Becerra's support, reflecting increased voter confidence and contributing to his market price surge.

Poll shows Steyer overtakes Porter in late‑April survey

Tom Steyer jumps to 43%9%

A Public Policy Institute of California poll released in late April placed Tom Steyer ahead of Katie Porter, prompting a modest price rise for Steyer and a decline for Porter.

Xavier Becerra bolts into first place in California governor poll

Xavier Becerra surges to 23%18%

Following Swalwell's exit, Xavier Becerra surged in polls to become the leading Democratic candidate, leveraging his extensive political experience and positioning as a steady leader amid a fragmented field.

Betty Yee suspends campaign for California governor

Betty Yee plunges to 0%49%

Betty Yee ended her campaign citing low polling and lack of financial support, narrowing the Democratic field and signaling a shift in voter priorities towards experience and competence.

Xavier Becerra surges to lead in California governor primary polls

Xavier Becerra surges to 28%23%

Multiple polls in April 2026 showed Xavier Becerra gaining significant support among likely voters, overtaking other Democratic candidates and positioning himself as the frontrunner for the primary.

Betty Yee suspends California governor campaign citing lack of support

Betty Yee dips to 0%1%

Former state Controller Betty Yee ended her campaign due to low polling and fundraising challenges, removing her from contention and affecting market prices.

Betty Yee ends California governor race bid amid low polling and donor support

Xavier Becerra plunges to 0%49%

Betty Yee, a Democratic candidate, suspended her campaign citing low polling numbers and lack of financial support. Her exit further narrowed the Democratic field, benefiting leading candidates like Xavier Becerra and impacting market prices by reducing competition.

Xavier Becerra surges in polls after Eric Swalwell exits governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 62%13%

Following the departure of Eric Swalwell amid allegations, Xavier Becerra gained significant polling momentum, becoming the front-runner in the Democratic field and boosting his market price substantially.

Katie Porter’s former staffers defend her amid viral video backlash

Katie Porter plunges to 8%41%

Thirty former staffers publicly defended Democratic candidate Katie Porter against negative perceptions from viral videos, emphasizing her leadership and work ethic during the heated gubernatorial campaign.

Betty Yee drops out of California governor’s race

Betty Yee dips to 0%1%

Yee suspended her campaign, sending her market price from 1 % to 0 % (price before = 1, price after = 0).

Poll shows Xavier Becerra leading California governor race

Xavier Becerra jumps to 57%9%

A poll by Independent Voter Project showed Xavier Becerra leading the crowded field with 23% support, signaling growing momentum and increasing market prices for Becerra.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra surging to lead in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 27%21%

Polls released in April 2026 showed Becerra gaining significant support, overtaking rivals including Tom Steyer and Steve Hilton, reflecting growing momentum ahead of the June primary.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra surging after late‑stage endorsement

Xavier Becerra surges to 27%27%

A late‑April poll gave Becerra a surprising boost, moving his price from 0% to 27% as voters reconsidered his experience amid a fragmented field.

Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton rises to 10%4%

Former President Donald Trump endorsed conservative commentator Steve Hilton, boosting Hilton's profile among Republican voters and impacting his market price positively despite the crowded field.

Tom Steyer’s price falls after $115 million ad spend report

Tom Steyer drops to 24%12%

Media coverage of Steyer’s massive ad expenditure raised concerns about diminishing returns, causing his market price to retreat from its April peak.

Xavier Becerra sees surge in voter interest following Swalwell's exit

Xavier Becerra surges to 23%18%

Following Swalwell's withdrawal, Becerra's poll numbers and online interest surged, reflecting increased support among Democratic voters and a boost in market prices.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra surges to 10% support after Swalwell exit

Xavier Becerra surges to 26%21%

An Emerson College poll revealed a significant increase in voter support for Xavier Becerra following Swalwell's departure, boosting his market price and positioning him as a leading candidate.

Emerson College poll shows Xavier Becerra surging after Swalwell's exit

Xavier Becerra surges to 39%39%

A poll released shortly after Swalwell's withdrawal showed Becerra's support rising significantly among Democratic voters, which was reflected in the market price increase.

Antonio Villaraigosa pledges to serve only one term if elected governor

Antonio Villaraigosa plunges to 5%45%

Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa announced a commitment to serve only one term as governor if elected, aiming to appeal to voters seeking experienced leadership with a fresh approach.

Tom Steyer's ad blitz peaks, boosting his polling numbers

Tom Steyer surges to 70%54%

Steyer's continued heavy spending on ads led to a peak in his market price, reflecting increased voter attention and support during this period.

Billionaire Tom Steyer's massive ad spending dominates California governor race

Tom Steyer surges to 30%17%

Tom Steyer's unprecedented spending on TV and radio ads increased his visibility and polling numbers, making him a leading Democratic contender despite a crowded field. This spending binge influenced market prices reflecting his improved chances.

Concerns rise over crowded Democratic field splitting vote in California governor race

Democrats feared their large number of candidates could split votes, potentially allowing two Republicans to advance in the top-two primary system, impacting market prices for GOP candidates.

Tom Steyer's campaign peaks with record ad spending and polling

Tom Steyer surges to 70%41%

Steyer's campaign reached a peak in market price due to his heavy spending and growing grassroots support, making him a top contender in the Democratic field.

Billionaire Tom Steyer spends heavily in California governor race

Tom Steyer surges to 70%52%

Tom Steyer launched a massive advertising campaign spending over $115 million, dominating media presence. Despite heavy spending, his polling gains were limited, causing market volatility.

Tom Steyer spends over $115 million on California governor campaign ads

Tom Steyer jumps to 26%8%

Billionaire Tom Steyer's massive ad spending campaign aimed to boost his profile and chances in the crowded Democratic field, significantly impacting his market probability and positioning him as a top contender.

Tom Steyer's polling peaks amid heavy ad spending

Tom Steyer surges to 70%50%

Tom Steyer's polling surged to a peak of 70% following his extensive advertising campaign, marking his highest market price. However, this peak was short-lived as subsequent events and competition tempered his lead.

President Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 12%6%

Donald Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, a conservative commentator, boosting Hilton's profile and market price in the governor's race, especially among Republican voters.

Tom Steyer spends $115 million on TV ads in California governor race

Tom Steyer surges to 67%55%

Steyer’s unprecedented ad buy dramatically increased his visibility, pushing his market price from the low teens to a peak of 67% within days.

Tom Steyer’s polling surges amid heavy ad spending in governor race

Tom Steyer surges to 40%27%

Steyer's extensive ad campaign led to a significant increase in polling numbers, briefly positioning him as a leading Democratic candidate in the race.

Tom Steyer surges in polls with focus on affordability, peaking mid-April

Tom Steyer surges to 59%39%

Tom Steyer's campaign peaked in mid-April with a strong focus on affordability, briefly overtaking other candidates before his support began to decline in May.

Tom Steyer campaign surges in market

Tom Steyer surges to 70%44%

Heavy advertising spending by Tom Steyer led to a significant increase in his market price.

Billionaire Tom Steyer spends over $115 million on California governor campaign ads

Tom Steyer surges to 58%42%

Steyer's massive ad spending surge increased his visibility and polling numbers, temporarily boosting his market price despite a crowded field and no clear frontrunner emerging.

Tom Steyer's massive ad spending dominates California governor race

Tom Steyer surges to 42%16%

Tom Steyer's unprecedented $115 million ad spending campaign saturated media markets, boosting his visibility and market price. Despite heavy spending, his campaign faced skepticism about translating money into votes.

Tom Steyer's campaign spending reaches record levels

Tom Steyer surges to 70%60%

Steyer's massive ad spending spree significantly impacted his visibility and polling, though it faced criticism from rivals.

Tom Steyer peaks in polling after heavy ad spending

Tom Steyer surges to 70%21%

Steyer’s market price surged to a peak of 70% reflecting his dominant ad campaign and perceived frontrunner status in the Democratic field.

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race

Matt Mahan, San Jose mayor and critic of Governor Newsom, announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a moderate Democrat focused on homelessness and crime, which shifted some voter attention and market support.

Xavier Becerra gains traction emphasizing experience and trust

Xavier Becerra surges to 88%38%

Becerra's campaign gained momentum by highlighting his extensive public service record and positioning himself as a steady, experienced leader capable of uniting Democrats and addressing key state issues, improving his standing in polls.

Steve Hilton endorsed by President Donald Trump for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 12%6%

Steve Hilton, a conservative commentator and Republican candidate, received a high-profile endorsement from Donald Trump, boosting his profile and market price despite the crowded field.

Xavier Becerra gains traction as leading candidate for California governor

Xavier Becerra, former California Attorney General and U.S. Health Secretary, gained momentum in the governor's race by emphasizing his experience and trustworthiness, positioning himself as the leading Democratic candidate ahead of the primary.

Xavier Becerra gains traction in California governor’s race emphasizing experience and trust

Xavier Becerra surges to 88%25%

Xavier Becerra's campaign gained momentum in early 2026, with supporters highlighting his extensive public service record as a key factor in his rising poll numbers and perceived electability.

Xavier Becerra gains momentum as leading Democratic candidate for California governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 87%37%

Xavier Becerra, former California Attorney General and U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary, gained traction in the governor's race emphasizing his experience and trustworthiness. His campaign focused on economic opportunity and healthcare, helping him surge in polls ahead of the primary.

CBS poll shows Becerra rising, Steyer and Hilton competitive in California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 34%18%

A CBS poll indicated Becerra gaining ground with 13%, while Steyer and Hilton remained competitive, reflecting shifting voter preferences ahead of the primary.

Eric Swalwell drops out of California governor race amid allegations

Xavier Becerra surges to 26%21%

Eric Swalwell exited the race following allegations of sexual misconduct, which led to a surge in support and market price for Xavier Becerra as he absorbed Swalwell's former supporters.

Eric Swalwell withdraws from California governor race amid sexual misconduct allegations

Xavier Becerra surges to 33%32%

Rep. Eric Swalwell suspended his campaign for California governor following sexual assault allegations, dramatically reshaping the race and boosting other candidates like Xavier Becerra. This event caused a significant market shift.

Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual misconduct allegations

Eric Swalwell plunges to 0%49%

Eric Swalwell suspended his campaign following multiple sexual misconduct allegations, leading to rapid loss of support from Democratic leaders and staff resignations. This event dramatically reshaped the race, opening space for other candidates to gain ground.

Eric Swalwell exits California governor race amid sexual assault allegations

Xavier Becerra surges to 20%15%

Eric Swalwell's departure from the race amid allegations led to a consolidation of Democratic support around Xavier Becerra, boosting Becerra's polling and market price.

Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual misconduct allegations

Stephen Cloobeck drops to 0%5%

Eric Swalwell suspended his campaign following multiple sexual misconduct allegations, which caused a rapid collapse of his candidacy and reshaped the Democratic field, benefiting candidates like Xavier Becerra.

Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual misconduct allegations

Xavier Becerra surges to 23%19%

Eric Swalwell, an early Democratic frontrunner, abruptly ended his campaign following multiple sexual misconduct allegations, causing a significant reshuffle in the Democratic field. This event boosted Xavier Becerra's standing as Democratic voters consolidated behind him, reflected in his rising market price.

Eric Swalwell exits California governor race amid sexual assault allegations

Swalwell's withdrawal reshaped the Democratic field, benefiting candidates like Xavier Becerra and impacting market dynamics.

Eric Swalwell ends California governor campaign amid sexual assault allegations

U.S. Representative Eric Swalwell abruptly ended his gubernatorial campaign following allegations of sexual assault, which he denied. His exit reshaped the race, benefiting candidates like Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer, and affected market dynamics.

Becerra’s campaign gains momentum after debate eligibility clarification

Xavier Becerra surges to 21%21%

The California Secretary of State clarified that Xavier Becerra met the debate eligibility criteria, leading to a surge in his market price from single digits to the low‑20s.

Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual misconduct allegations

Eric Swalwell abruptly ended his campaign following multiple sexual misconduct allegations, causing a significant reshuffle in the Democratic field and boosting other candidates like Xavier Becerra.

Allegations cause Eric Swalwell to exit California governor race

Xavier Becerra surges to 20%15%

Eric Swalwell withdrew from the governor's race following credible sexual assault allegations, which reshaped the Democratic field and allowed Xavier Becerra to surge in support.

Billionaire Tom Steyer spends heavily in California governor race

Tom Steyer surges to 59%41%

Tom Steyer launched an extensive advertising campaign, spending over $115 million to boost his profile and chances, dominating media presence and influencing market prices despite criticism of trying to buy the election.

Sexual misconduct allegations against Eric Swalwell impact California governor race

Allegations against Eric Swalwell led to his exit from the race, consolidating Democratic support behind Xavier Becerra and affecting market dynamics.

Sexual misconduct allegations surface against Eric Swalwell

Eric Swalwell plunges to 0%49%

Multiple women, including a former staffer, accused Eric Swalwell of sexual misconduct, leading to a rapid collapse of his campaign. The allegations triggered investigations and widespread calls for him to drop out of the governor's race.

Public Policy Institute of California poll shows tight race among top candidates

Tom Steyer jumps to 28%14%

A late March to early April poll by PPIC showed a close contest among Democrats Steyer and Porter and Republicans Hilton and Bianco, reflecting uncertainty and competitive dynamics in the race.

Xavier Becerra’s price jumps 17 points after debate performance

Xavier Becerra surges to 17%17%

Becerra delivered a strong showing in the first televised debate, resonating with voters and driving his market price up sharply from single digits to the mid‑teens.

Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

President Donald Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton for California governor, boosting Hilton's campaign by aligning him with Trump's political base and increasing his visibility and support among conservative voters in the state.

Trump endorses Steve Hilton over Chad Bianco in California governor race

Steve Hilton rises to 9%3%

President Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, bypassing Chad Bianco, reshaping the Republican primary dynamics and boosting Hilton's campaign momentum.

President Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton rises to 11%3%

Donald Trump publicly endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, boosting Hilton's profile and campaign momentum in the governor's race, influencing market prices in his favor.

Donald Trump endorses Republican Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton plunges to 22%27%

Former President Donald Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, boosting Hilton's profile and consolidating conservative support in the gubernatorial race, impacting the Republican field dynamics.

President Trump endorses GOP gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton rises to 6%3%

President Trump publicly endorsed Republican candidate Steve Hilton, giving the campaign a major boost and lifting Hilton’s market price from the low single digits to double‑digits.

Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor, snubs Chad Bianco

Former President Donald Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton for California governor, bypassing fellow Republican Chad Bianco. This endorsement boosted Hilton's profile and campaign momentum while complicating Bianco's path in the race.

President Donald Trump endorses Republican Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton plunges to 10%39%

Former President Donald Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, boosting Hilton's profile and campaign in the California governor’s race. This endorsement helped consolidate Republican support and increased Hilton's market standing.

President Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 60%11%

Trump's endorsement of Steve Hilton boosted Hilton's profile and consolidated Republican support, significantly impacting the race by positioning Hilton as the leading GOP candidate.

President Trump endorses Republican Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton plunges to 8%41%

President Donald Trump endorsed Steve Hilton in April 2026, boosting Hilton's profile and support among Republican voters, which contributed to his rise in the market price to 8%.

President Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 15%7%

Former President Donald Trump endorsed Steve Hilton, praising him as a great man who can turn California around. This endorsement boosted Hilton's campaign and market price, while negatively impacting rival Republican Chad Bianco.

Tom Steyer holds town hall in Palm Springs focusing on affordability

Tom Steyer plunges to 18%31%

Democratic candidate Tom Steyer emphasized affordability and proposed tax reforms and energy competition at a Palm Springs town hall, aiming to boost his campaign momentum in the crowded gubernatorial race.

President Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 25%10%

Donald Trump endorsed Republican Steve Hilton, boosting his campaign and consolidating GOP support. The endorsement was seen as pivotal in the crowded primary and increased Hilton's visibility and polling numbers.

Emerson College poll shows Becerra surging after Swalwell drops out

Xavier Becerra surges to 27%27%

Following Eric Swalwell's exit, a new poll showed Becerra tied with Katie Porter at 10%, marking a significant rise in support and boosting his campaign momentum.

Xavier Becerra intensifies campaign with focus on affordability and readiness

Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%

Becerra ramped up his campaign efforts, emphasizing his experience and policy specifics to appeal to voters ahead of the June primary. This strategic push helped increase his market price significantly.

Xavier Becerra announces bid for California governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 50%45%

Xavier Becerra officially announced his candidacy for governor, positioning himself as a leading Democratic candidate focused on affordability and public service.

Xavier Becerra announces candidacy for California governor

Xavier Becerra rises to 5%1%

Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra entered the race, positioning himself as a pro-education, affordability-focused Democrat. His entry added a strong contender to the Democratic field, eventually leading to a surge in polling.

Xavier Becerra throws his hat in the ring in California governor's race

Xavier Becerra, former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary and California Attorney General, officially entered the governor's race, bringing significant experience and name recognition to the Democratic field, which shifted market expectations.

Xavier Becerra announces run for California governor

Former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra announced his candidacy for California governor, positioning himself as a pro-teacher, pro-public education candidate focused on affordability, boosting his market price.

Xavier Becerra officially announces bid for California governor

Xavier Becerra surges to 94%44%

Xavier Becerra declared his candidacy for governor, emphasizing affordability and fighting for the California Dream, which led to a steady rise in his market price from 50% to 94%.

Xavier Becerra officially enters California governor race

Former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary and California Attorney General Xavier Becerra announced his candidacy, emphasizing experience and addressing affordability issues, boosting his profile in the race.

Xavier Becerra officially announces candidacy for California governor

Former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra declared his run for governor, leveraging his extensive political experience. His announcement marked the start of his campaign momentum, reflected in rising market prices.

Matt Mahan’s campaign struggles with strategist departure amid low polling

Matt Mahan drops to 8%12%

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan’s campaign faced internal turmoil with the departure of his top strategist due to strategic differences, coinciding with weak polling numbers and fundraising challenges, impacting his market price.

Chad Bianco investigation into election ballots put on hold

Sheriff Chad Bianco's controversial investigation into election ballots was paused by the California Supreme Court, drawing attention to his campaign and impacting public perception.

Chad Bianco pauses controversial election fraud investigation

Chad Bianco drops to 3%5%

Sheriff Chad Bianco put his investigation into unsubstantiated election fraud claims on hold after criticism and a California Supreme Court halt. This development likely affected his campaign momentum and market perception negatively.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco announces run for California governor

Chad Bianco plunges to 0%50%

Chad Bianco, Riverside County Sheriff and a strong supporter of President Trump, announced his candidacy for California governor, emphasizing law-and-order policies and opposition to Sacramento's Democratic leadership. His entry added a prominent Republican candidate to the race.

Chad Bianco initiates controversial investigation into election fraud claims

Chad Bianco jumps to 13%7%

Sheriff Chad Bianco began an investigation into unsubstantiated election fraud claims, which drew criticism and legal challenges, impacting his campaign's public perception and market price.

Chad Bianco's controversial election fraud investigation put on hold

Chad Bianco drops to 3%5%

Bianco's investigation into election fraud claims was paused amid legal challenges, affecting his campaign's momentum and market perception.

Sheriff Chad Bianco puts election fraud investigation on hold amid controversy

Chad Bianco drops to 3%5%

Chad Bianco's investigation into unsubstantiated election fraud claims was halted by the California Supreme Court, drawing criticism and impacting his campaign momentum.

Sheriff Chad Bianco's controversial election fraud investigation put on hold

Chad Bianco dips to 3%2%

Chad Bianco's investigation into election fraud claims was paused by the California Supreme Court, causing uncertainty and volatility in his market price.

Billionaire Tom Steyer's massive ad spending dominates California governor race

Tom Steyer surges to 49%31%

Steyer's unprecedented spending on ads significantly raised his profile and market price, positioning him as a top contender despite no prior elected office experience.

Butch Ware's lawsuit to restore ballot access rejected by Sacramento judge

Butch Ware plunges to 0%50%

Butch Ware's legal challenge to regain his place on the primary ballot was rejected, confirming his disqualification and impacting his market price negatively.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco seizes over 650,000 ballots amid election fraud probe

Chad Bianco plunges to 8%42%

Chad Bianco, a leading Republican gubernatorial candidate, seized ballots from a 2025 special election to investigate alleged voter fraud, drawing national attention and impacting his campaign's visibility and support.

Chad Bianco gains national attention after seizing 650,000 ballots in election investigation

Chad Bianco rises to 9%2%

Bianco's controversial seizure of ballots in Riverside County brought him national spotlight and scrutiny, affecting his campaign's public perception and polling.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco seizes 650,000 ballots, thrusting him into the governor’s spotlight

Chad Bianco rises to 3%2%

Bianco’s seizure of 650,000 ballots in Riverside County drew national media attention, raising his market price from 1 % to 3 % (price before = 1, price after = 3).

Sheriff Chad Bianco seizes over 650,000 ballots in election fraud probe

Chad Bianco plunges to 1%49%

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, a Republican gubernatorial candidate, seized hundreds of thousands of ballots from a 2025 special election citing election integrity concerns. This controversial action drew national attention and legal challenges, impacting Bianco's campaign and market support.

Chad Bianco seizes 650,000 ballots in election fraud investigation

Chad Bianco rises to 10%2%

Bianco's seizure of ballots in Riverside County brought national attention and controversy to his campaign, impacting his market position and public perception.

Chad Bianco seizes over 650,000 ballots in election fraud probe

Chad Bianco plunges to 10%40%

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco seized more than 650,000 ballots from a 2025 special election, claiming investigation into voter fraud. This controversial action drew national attention and criticism, causing a decline in his market support.

Chad Bianco seizes over 650,000 ballots in election fraud probe

Sheriff Chad Bianco seized ballots from a 2025 special election, triggering legal battles and public controversy. This event brought national attention to his campaign and affected his polling and market position.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco seizes over 650,000 ballots in election probe

Chad Bianco dips to 4%4%

Chad Bianco seized a large number of ballots from a 2025 special election, triggering legal battles and controversy that damaged his campaign momentum and public trust, leading to a sharp decline in his election chances.

Chad Bianco's department seizes over 650,000 Riverside County ballots amid election fraud claims

Chad Bianco drops to 5%5%

Bianco's investigation into alleged ballot discrepancies brought national attention and controversy, impacting his campaign and market support negatively.

Public Policy Institute of California releases poll showing tight three‑way race

Katie Porter jumps to 34%9%

The poll placed Steyer, Porter, and Republican candidates within a few points, prompting a market correction that lowered Steyer’s price and lifted Porter’s.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco seizes 650,000 ballots amid election fraud claims

Chad Bianco plunges to 8%42%

Chad Bianco, a Republican gubernatorial candidate, seized ballots from a 2025 election to investigate alleged discrepancies, drawing national attention and legal challenges. This action increased his profile but also sparked controversy and criticism.

Green Party candidate Butch Ware removed from California primary ballot

Butch Ware plunges to 0%50%

Butch Ware, the Green Party candidate, was removed from the June 2026 primary ballot due to failure to submit correct tax returns on time, leading to his market price dropping to zero.

Court upholds removal of Green Party candidate Butch Ware from governor ballot

Butch Ware dips to 0%1%

A judge upheld the Secretary of State’s decision to keep Green Party candidate Butch Ware off the June primary ballot, effectively ending his campaign and dropping his market price to zero.

California Secretary of State removes Butch Ware from primary ballot

Butch Ware plunges to 0%50%

Butch Ware was disqualified from the June primary ballot due to failure to file correct tax returns on time, forcing him to continue his campaign as a write-in candidate, limiting his visibility and chances.

Katie Porter’s campaign suffers after staff controversy

Katie Porter dips to 11%2%

Reports of internal staff disputes and criticism of Porter’s leadership led to a modest decline in her market price as donors grew cautious.

Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 10%5%

Trump’s endorsement boosted the Republican’s profile, pulling votes from moderate Republicans and contributing to a modest rise in Hilton’s price after a long slump.

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan announces run for California governor

Matt Mahan plunges to 17%29%

Mahan entered the race positioning himself as a moderate Democrat and critic of Newsom, gaining initial market attention but later losing ground as the race evolved.

Former US Rep. Katie Porter announces run for California governor

Katie Porter plunges to 22%27%

Katie Porter entered the crowded Democratic field with a platform focused on holding Trump accountable and lowering the cost of living, gaining early attention and endorsements, impacting market dynamics for her candidacy.

Katie Porter announces run for California governor

Former U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced her candidacy for California governor, positioning herself as a progressive candidate focused on holding Trump accountable and addressing affordability. Her entry added a prominent Democratic contender to the race.

Eric Swalwell withdraws from governor race amid sexual assault allegations

Xavier Becerra dips to 1%3%

Swalwell’s abrupt exit removed a leading Democrat, causing a sharp drop in his own odds and a redistribution of support to remaining candidates, notably Tom Steyer.

Polling shows tight race among Steyer, Porter, Hilton, and Bianco

Late winter polling indicated a close contest among Democratic candidates Steyer and Porter and Republicans Hilton and Bianco, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty.

Butch Ware discusses Green Party gubernatorial campaign and progressive platform

In an interview, Butch Ware outlined his campaign goals including affordable housing, universal healthcare, and disrupting the two-party system, emphasizing grassroots support and social justice.

Eric Swalwell drops out after sexual assault allegations

Xavier Becerra surges to 21%20%

Following multiple assault accusations, Swalwell withdrew from the race and resigned from Congress, causing a sharp decline in his own odds and a redistribution of support to remaining Democrats, especially Xavier Becerra.

Tom Steyer ramps up spending in California governor race

Tom Steyer rises to 20%2%

Billionaire Tom Steyer increased his campaign spending dramatically, saturating media markets with ads, which boosted his polling and market price despite not breaking away as a clear frontrunner.

Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual assault allegations

Tom Steyer plunges to 27%22%

Swalwell abruptly ended his campaign following serious allegations, causing a rapid decline in his market price and redistributing support among other candidates.

Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 9%5%

Former President Donald Trump publicly endorsed conservative commentator Steve Hilton, giving the outsider a brief surge in market price.

Public Policy Institute of California releases poll showing tight four‑way race

The poll, released just before the primary, showed Steyer, Porter, Hilton and Bianco within a few points, prompting a brief rally for each as voters reassessed viability.

Tom Steyer spends $66 million on California governor's race campaign

Billionaire Tom Steyer significantly increased his campaign spending, boosting his profile and polling in the Democratic primary, influencing market dynamics.

Stephen Cloobeck blocked from prediction market after supporting Eric Swalwell

Stephen Cloobeck dips to 0%1%

Stephen Cloobeck was restricted from trading in the prediction market after attempting to support Eric Swalwell, reflecting campaign dynamics and affecting his market presence.

Stephen Cloobeck enters the 2026 California governor's race

Stephen Cloobeck plunges to 13%36%

Businessman and philanthropist Stephen Cloobeck announced his candidacy, adding a pro-business voice to the crowded Democratic field, which briefly increased his market price before he later dropped out.

Stephen Cloobeck announces run for California governor

Stephen Cloobeck plunges to 12%37%

Businessman Stephen Cloobeck entered the crowded Democratic field with significant personal funding, briefly influencing the market before later dropping out and endorsing Eric Swalwell.

Eric Swalwell faces sexual assault allegations and suspends campaign

Xavier Becerra dips to 0%1%

Swalwell's campaign collapsed after multiple sexual assault allegations surfaced, leading him to suspend his gubernatorial bid and later resign from Congress, causing his market price to plummet to near zero.

Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual assault allegations

Xavier Becerra drops to 0%5%

Swalwell suspended his campaign following multiple sexual assault allegations, causing a sharp collapse in his market price and redistributing support among other candidates, notably benefiting Becerra and Steyer.

Katie Porter draws attention with explicit anti-Trump message at California Democratic Convention

Katie Porter dips to 12%3%

Democratic candidate Katie Porter held up a sign reading “F**k TRUMP” during her speech, emphasizing opposition to Trump but receiving mixed reactions. This event highlighted her combative style and affected her campaign's public perception.

Antonio Villaraigosa campaigns for California governor

Antonio Villaraigosa plunges to 5%45%

Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa officially announced his 2026 gubernatorial campaign, positioning himself as a problem solver with executive experience, which initially raised his profile in the Democratic field.

Antonio Villaraigosa announces run for California governor in 2026

Antonio Villaraigosa plunges to 5%45%

Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a problem solver and adding experience to the Democratic field, impacting market interest.

Steyer’s ad spend peaks, TV buys hit $115 million

Tom Steyer surges to 59%37%

The release of a spending report confirming $115 million in ad buys reinforced Steyer’s financial dominance, pushing his price up from 22% to 59% in a single week.

Poll shows tight three‑way race among Steyer, Porter, and Hilton

A Public Policy Institute of California poll revealed Steyer, Porter, and Hilton within a few points of each other, causing volatility across their market prices as voters reassessed the race dynamics.

National Governors Association meeting unravels after Trump excludes Democrats

The exclusion of Democratic governors from a White House event highlighted the intense partisan polarization affecting the political landscape.

President Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor

Steve Hilton jumps to 9%5%

Trump’s endorsement gave Hilton a credibility boost among Republican voters, lifting his market price modestly.

Steve Hilton takes lead in California governor race in new poll

Steve Hilton plunges to 22%27%

A poll showed Republican Steve Hilton leading the crowded California governor's race, signaling his rising profile and consolidating Republican support ahead of the primary.

Steve Hilton jumps to the lead in California governor's race

Republican Steve Hilton surged to the lead in polls for the California governor race, gaining significant support among Republican and independent voters. His campaign emphasized reducing taxes and ending Democratic dominance in the state.

Steve Hilton surges to lead in California governor race poll

A new poll showed Steve Hilton taking a surprise lead in the crowded California governor's race, boosting his profile and market odds as a leading Republican candidate.

Katie Porter announces run for California governor

Katie Porter plunges to 20%29%

Former U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced her candidacy for governor, positioning herself as a progressive counterweight to Trump and focusing on lowering the cost of living. Her entry added a strong Democratic contender to the crowded field, impacting the race dynamics.

Chad Bianco announces run for California governor

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco officially entered the governor's race, positioning himself as a law-and-order Republican candidate. His entry solidified his presence in the race, reflected in initial market pricing.

Steve Hilton launches campaign for California governor

Steve Hilton, former UK political adviser and Fox News host, announced his candidacy as a Republican, gaining attention and later Trump's endorsement.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco officially announces candidacy for California governor

Chad Bianco launched his campaign focusing on law-and-order and criticism of Democratic leadership, entering the Republican field and impacting market prices.

Poll shows Xavier Becerra surges to 24% ahead of primary

Xavier Becerra surges to 24%24%

A late‑February poll gave Becerra a notable boost, reflected in a rapid price increase from near‑zero to the mid‑20s, marking the start of his comeback.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco announces run for California governor

Chad Bianco jumps to 9%8%

Chad Bianco entered the race as a Republican candidate, initially gaining some market support but later declining as Democratic candidates consolidated support.

Concerns rise over crowded Democratic field splitting vote in California governor race

Democratic insiders expressed fears that the large number of candidates could split the vote, potentially allowing two Republicans to advance, increasing uncertainty in the race.

Former LA mayor Antonio Villaraigosa announces 2026 governor run

Antonio Villaraigosa rises to 5%3%

Villaraigosa officially entered the race, giving the former mayor a brief bump in market price before the field condensed.

Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa announces 2026 California governor run

Antonio Villaraigosa, former LA mayor and California Assembly speaker, announced his candidacy for governor, adding an experienced Democrat to the crowded field and influencing voter dynamics.

Antonio Villaraigosa announces 2026 California governor run

Antonio Villaraigosa plunges to 7%43%

Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa officially announced his candidacy for governor, bringing experience and name recognition to the Democratic field and causing a rise in his market price.

California Democrats fear vote splitting could allow two Republicans in general election

Democratic insiders expressed concern that the large number of Democratic candidates could split the vote enough to let two Republicans advance to the November general election under California's top-two primary system. This raised the profile of Republican candidates Chad Bianco and Steve Hilton, affecting their market prices.

Former US Rep. Katie Porter announces run for California governor

Katie Porter entered the crowded Democratic field emphasizing consumer protection and opposition to Trump policies, gaining early attention and endorsements.

Antonio Villaraigosa announces run for California governor

Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa announced his candidacy for California governor, emphasizing his experience and focus on affordability, public safety, and bipartisan leadership, adding a prominent Democrat to the race.

Antonio Villaraigosa officially announces 2026 governor run

Antonio Villaraigosa rises to 9%1%

Villaraigosa formally announced his 2026 gubernatorial campaign, highlighting his record as mayor and assembly speaker, and positioning himself as a problem solver for California's challenges. This reinforced his status as a leading Democratic candidate.

Former LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa announces 2026 California governor run

Antonio Villaraigosa jumps to 5%5%

Antonio Villaraigosa announced his candidacy for governor, highlighting his experience and bipartisan approach, which influenced his market price to increase from near zero to a significant level.

Butch Ware hosts 'Revolutionary Rally' promoting his California governor campaign

Green Party candidate Butch Ware held a rally to promote his campaign and platform, increasing his visibility though his market price remained low due to limited ballot access and write-in status.

Xavier Becerra participates in Commonwealth Club forum outlining economic opportunity focus

Xavier Becerra jumps to 16%13%

Becerra emphasized economic opportunity and healthcare as central themes, reinforcing his campaign message and boosting his profile among voters.

Xavier Becerra emphasizes economic opportunity in governor race

Becerra highlighted economic opportunity and affordability as central themes in his campaign, presenting himself as a candidate focused on restoring the California Dream and addressing the state's affordability crisis.

Stephen Cloobeck enters the 2026 California governor’s race

Businessman and philanthropist Stephen Cloobeck announced his candidacy, emphasizing a pro-business tone and criticizing California's economic challenges, adding to the Democratic field.

Eric Swalwell withdraws amid sexual‑assault allegations

Tom Steyer plunges to 12%23%

Swalwell’s abrupt exit removed a leading Democrat, causing a sharp drop for candidates perceived as his nearest competitors, especially Tom Steyer and Katie Porter.

Eric Swalwell withdraws amid sexual‑assault allegations

Tom Steyer dips to 22%2%

Swalwell’s abrupt exit removed a major contender, causing his own price to collapse and shifting support to Steyer and Porter, which helped Steyer’s price dip slightly while Porter’s fell modestly.

Swalwell resigns from Congress amid sexual‑assault allegations

Tom Steyer plunges to 44%26%

The sudden exit of a leading Democratic contender removed a potential top‑two finisher, causing a sharp drop in his market price and redistributing support to remaining candidates.

Katie Porter leads 2025 fundraising for California governor race

Katie Porter raised $6.1 million in 2025, the highest among candidates, demonstrating strong grassroots support and positioning her as a leading Democratic contender early in the race.

Katie Porter faces criticism over campaign conduct in California governor race

Katie Porter plunges to 5%15%

Porter faced negative media coverage regarding her treatment of staff and a tense TV interview, which contributed to a decline in her market price.

Butch Ware hosts 'Revolutionary Rally' to promote California governor campaign

Butch Ware plunges to 0%50%

Green Party candidate Butch Ware held a rally featuring prominent activists and artists to energize his campaign. Despite legal challenges to his ballot access, Ware's activism and platform gained attention, though his market price remained low.

Matt Mahan campaign gains momentum

Matt Mahan surges to 54%35%

Market confidence in Mahan surged following early campaign activities and media attention.