Ken Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Ken Calvert
72%
Young Kim
25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Ken Calvert
$1,111 Vol.
72%
Young Kim
$829 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Volume
$1,940Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,940Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Ken Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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