The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-22 House Election Winner
CA-22 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$380 Vol.
65%
Republican Party
$89 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$468Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$468Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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