Recent polls show the Michigan Senate general election between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers remains closely contested, with a weighted average giving Rogers a narrow 1.9-point edge following the August 4 Democratic primary. El-Sayed’s narrow primary victory over Representative Haley Stevens highlighted divisions between progressive and moderate factions within the party, while Rogers, who ran a tight 2024 race, benefits from name recognition and the state’s competitive electorate after Donald Trump’s narrow 2024 win. Traders appear to view the contest as structurally balanced due to Michigan’s status as a battleground, mixed turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, and limited time for either candidate to consolidate support or shift polling before November. Small-margin outcomes across both parties dominate pricing because historical Senate results in the state have frequently fallen within single digits, and no major late-breaking events have yet altered the trajectory. Upcoming campaign events, fundraising reports, and any shifts in national political conditions could still widen or narrow the spread before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDemocratico 3-6% 38%
Democratico 9-12% 37%
Repubblicano 9-12% 35%
Repubblicano 3-6% 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano 12%+
9%
Repubblicano 9-12%
35%
Repubblicano 6-9%
33%
Repubblicano 3-6%
35%
Repubblicano 0-3%
30%
Democratico 0-3%
33%
Democratico 3-6%
38%
Democratico 6-9%
34%
Democratico 9-12%
37%
Democratico 12%+
32%
Democratico 3-6% 38%
Democratico 9-12% 37%
Repubblicano 9-12% 35%
Repubblicano 3-6% 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano 12%+
$0 Vol.
9%
Repubblicano 9-12%
$0 Vol.
35%
Repubblicano 6-9%
$0 Vol.
33%
Repubblicano 3-6%
$0 Vol.
35%
Repubblicano 0-3%
$0 Vol.
30%
Democratico 0-3%
$0 Vol.
33%
Democratico 3-6%
$0 Vol.
38%
Democratico 6-9%
$0 Vol.
34%
Democratico 9-12%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democratico 12%+
$0 Vol.
32%
The 2026 Michigan Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Michigan Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls show the Michigan Senate general election between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers remains closely contested, with a weighted average giving Rogers a narrow 1.9-point edge following the August 4 Democratic primary. El-Sayed’s narrow primary victory over Representative Haley Stevens highlighted divisions between progressive and moderate factions within the party, while Rogers, who ran a tight 2024 race, benefits from name recognition and the state’s competitive electorate after Donald Trump’s narrow 2024 win. Traders appear to view the contest as structurally balanced due to Michigan’s status as a battleground, mixed turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, and limited time for either candidate to consolidate support or shift polling before November. Small-margin outcomes across both parties dominate pricing because historical Senate results in the state have frequently fallen within single digits, and no major late-breaking events have yet altered the trajectory. Upcoming campaign events, fundraising reports, and any shifts in national political conditions could still widen or narrow the spread before Election Day.
The 2026 Michigan Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Michigan Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Michigan Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Michigan Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Michigan Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls show the Michigan Senate general election between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers remains closely contested, with a weighted average giving Rogers a narrow 1.9-point edge following the August 4 Democratic primary. El-Sayed’s narrow primary victory over Representative Haley Stevens highlighted divisions between progressive and moderate factions within the party, while Rogers, who ran a tight 2024 race, benefits from name recognition and the state’s competitive electorate after Donald Trump’s narrow 2024 win. Traders appear to view the contest as structurally balanced due to Michigan’s status as a battleground, mixed turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, and limited time for either candidate to consolidate support or shift polling before November. Small-margin outcomes across both parties dominate pricing because historical Senate results in the state have frequently fallen within single digits, and no major late-breaking events have yet altered the trajectory. Upcoming campaign events, fundraising reports, and any shifts in national political conditions could still widen or narrow the spread before Election Day.
The 2026 Michigan Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Michigan Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Michigan Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the Michigan Senate general election between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers remains closely contested, with a weighted average giving Rogers a narrow 1.9-point edge following the August 4 Democratic primary. El-Sayed’s narrow primary victory over Representative Haley Stevens highlighted divisions between progressive and moderate factions within the party, while Rogers, who ran a tight 2024 race, benefits from name recognition and the state’s competitive electorate after Donald Trump’s narrow 2024 win. Traders appear to view the contest as structurally balanced due to Michigan’s status as a battleground, mixed turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, and limited time for either candidate to consolidate support or shift polling before November. Small-margin outcomes across both parties dominate pricing because historical Senate results in the state have frequently fallen within single digits, and no major late-breaking events have yet altered the trajectory. Upcoming campaign events, fundraising reports, and any shifts in national political conditions could still widen or narrow the spread before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni per il governatore del Michigan del 2026 con uno scarto tra 0% e 3%?
47%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni al Senato del Massachusetts del 2026 con un margine dal 30% al 35%?
48%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni al Senato del Delaware del 2026 con un margine del 10%-15%?
42%
Sì
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