California’s 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco-area seat, features an open general election on November 3, 2026, between two Democratic candidates who advanced from the June 2 top-two primary: state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan. Incumbent Nancy Pelosi retired ahead of the cycle, leaving no Republican nominee with meaningful primary support to reach the general ballot. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic contenders, and absence of competitive crossover or independent challenges. Trader consensus on Democratic Party control aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the district. The only realistic paths to a different outcome would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate withdrawal or disqualifying scandal capable of altering turnout among the dominant Democratic electorate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,763 Vol.
$21,763 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
3%
$21,763 Vol.
$21,763 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$6,783 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco-area seat, features an open general election on November 3, 2026, between two Democratic candidates who advanced from the June 2 top-two primary: state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan. Incumbent Nancy Pelosi retired ahead of the cycle, leaving no Republican nominee with meaningful primary support to reach the general ballot. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic contenders, and absence of competitive crossover or independent challenges. Trader consensus on Democratic Party control aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the district. The only realistic paths to a different outcome would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate withdrawal or disqualifying scandal capable of altering turnout among the dominant Democratic electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,763Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco-area seat, features an open general election on November 3, 2026, between two Democratic candidates who advanced from the June 2 top-two primary: state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan. Incumbent Nancy Pelosi retired ahead of the cycle, leaving no Republican nominee with meaningful primary support to reach the general ballot. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic contenders, and absence of competitive crossover or independent challenges. Trader consensus on Democratic Party control aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the district. The only realistic paths to a different outcome would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate withdrawal or disqualifying scandal capable of altering turnout among the dominant Democratic electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,763Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco-area seat, features an open general election on November 3, 2026, between two Democratic candidates who advanced from the June 2 top-two primary: state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan. Incumbent Nancy Pelosi retired ahead of the cycle, leaving no Republican nominee with meaningful primary support to reach the general ballot. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic contenders, and absence of competitive crossover or independent challenges. Trader consensus on Democratic Party control aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the district. The only realistic paths to a different outcome would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate withdrawal or disqualifying scandal capable of altering turnout among the dominant Democratic electorate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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