Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-08 House Election Winner
WA-08 House Election Winner
$15,246 Vol.
$15,246 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$15,246 Vol.
$15,246 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$8,445 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$6,801 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$15,246Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,246Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier advanced comfortably from Washington’s August 2026 primary against Republican challengers, reflecting the district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her consistent general-election margins in prior cycles. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 95.3 percent implied probability because the seat’s suburban Seattle and Cascade foothills electorate has favored Democrats in recent House races, with limited crossover support for Republican candidates. The top Republican received under 16 percent in the primary, underscoring organizational and fundraising gaps. Only a major late-cycle scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could realistically reopen the race before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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