Trader consensus prices retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 90% implied probability to win Florida's August 18 Democratic primary for the special U.S. Senate election, reflecting his commanding post-qualifying position after the April 24 deadline. His record $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising, national name recognition from Trump impeachment testimony, and January endorsement from Jennifer Jenkins—who dropped her bid—have consolidated Democratic support in a fragmented field lacking comparable resources. Challengers like Rep. Jared Moskowitz (4%) and state Rep. Angie Nixon trail amid low visibility and funds. Realistic shifts could stem from a major scandal, late surge by former Gov. Charlie Crist, or intraparty divisions before early voting begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlexander Vindman 90.6%
Jared Moskowitz 4.0%
Charlie Crist <1%
Joey Atkins <1%
$137,662 Vol.
$137,662 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
91%
Jared Moskowitz
4%
Charlie Crist
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Josh Weil
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
Alan Grayson
<1%
Alexander Vindman 90.6%
Jared Moskowitz 4.0%
Charlie Crist <1%
Joey Atkins <1%
$137,662 Vol.
$137,662 Vol.
Alexander Vindman
91%
Jared Moskowitz
4%
Charlie Crist
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Josh Weil
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Jennifer Jenkins
<1%
Alan Grayson
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 90% implied probability to win Florida's August 18 Democratic primary for the special U.S. Senate election, reflecting his commanding post-qualifying position after the April 24 deadline. His record $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising, national name recognition from Trump impeachment testimony, and January endorsement from Jennifer Jenkins—who dropped her bid—have consolidated Democratic support in a fragmented field lacking comparable resources. Challengers like Rep. Jared Moskowitz (4%) and state Rep. Angie Nixon trail amid low visibility and funds. Realistic shifts could stem from a major scandal, late surge by former Gov. Charlie Crist, or intraparty divisions before early voting begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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