Recent polling for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) consistently registering support between 6.2% and 7.3% across major survey firms. A Statistics Sweden party-preference survey in May recorded 6.4%, marking a statistically significant rise from 5.2% a year earlier, while a late-July-to-early-August Demoskop poll placed the party at 7.3%. Other trackers from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and PolitPro averages cluster in the 6.5–7.0% range through mid-August. These figures reflect stable voter intentions for the liberal, centrist party amid broader bloc competition between the red-green opposition and the Tidö-aligned governing parties. With roughly one month remaining before the vote, the absence of sharp downward shifts in recent surveys underpins trader pricing of the “Over 6%” outcome at 75.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOver
Over
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election shows the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) consistently registering support between 6.2% and 7.3% across major survey firms. A Statistics Sweden party-preference survey in May recorded 6.4%, marking a statistically significant rise from 5.2% a year earlier, while a late-July-to-early-August Demoskop poll placed the party at 7.3%. Other trackers from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and PolitPro averages cluster in the 6.5–7.0% range through mid-August. These figures reflect stable voter intentions for the liberal, centrist party amid broader bloc competition between the red-green opposition and the Tidö-aligned governing parties. With roughly one month remaining before the vote, the absence of sharp downward shifts in recent surveys underpins trader pricing of the “Over 6%” outcome at 75.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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