Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day as the sole major opponent in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Bishop advanced unopposed from the May Democratic primary, while Day secured the Republican nomination after earlier filing deadlines. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index and Bishop’s 56 percent share in 2024 establish a consistent base of support that has historically exceeded 50 percent in two-candidate contests. With no substantial third-party or independent candidates registered and primaries concluded months ago, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of vote fragmentation requiring a December runoff. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate entry, significant scandal, or unusually depressed turnout could still shift margins, though these remain low-probability events given current filing status and campaign timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
96% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
96% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day as the sole major opponent in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Bishop advanced unopposed from the May Democratic primary, while Day secured the Republican nomination after earlier filing deadlines. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index and Bishop’s 56 percent share in 2024 establish a consistent base of support that has historically exceeded 50 percent in two-candidate contests. With no substantial third-party or independent candidates registered and primaries concluded months ago, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of vote fragmentation requiring a December runoff. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate entry, significant scandal, or unusually depressed turnout could still shift margins, though these remain low-probability events given current filing status and campaign timelines.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day as the sole major opponent in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Bishop advanced unopposed from the May Democratic primary, while Day secured the Republican nomination after earlier filing deadlines. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index and Bishop’s 56 percent share in 2024 establish a consistent base of support that has historically exceeded 50 percent in two-candidate contests. With no substantial third-party or independent candidates registered and primaries concluded months ago, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of vote fragmentation requiring a December runoff. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate entry, significant scandal, or unusually depressed turnout could still shift margins, though these remain low-probability events given current filing status and campaign timelines.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Volume
$159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day as the sole major opponent in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Bishop advanced unopposed from the May Democratic primary, while Day secured the Republican nomination after earlier filing deadlines. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index and Bishop’s 56 percent share in 2024 establish a consistent base of support that has historically exceeded 50 percent in two-candidate contests. With no substantial third-party or independent candidates registered and primaries concluded months ago, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of vote fragmentation requiring a December runoff. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate entry, significant scandal, or unusually depressed turnout could still shift margins, though these remain low-probability events given current filing status and campaign timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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