**Trader consensus at 95.6% Yes reflects the structural and candidate dynamics in Georgia’s 1st congressional district.** The open seat, vacated by Republican Buddy Carter, sits in a solidly Republican district where recent ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid R. Republican nominee James Kingston secured a primary majority exceeding 50% in May 2026 against a split field, while Democrat Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June runoff. With only a minor third-party candidate on the November 3 general ballot, historical vote shares and low competitiveness make a majority outcome for the Republican frontrunner the baseline expectation under Georgia’s majority-vote rule for congressional races. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic tailwind that narrows the margin below 50%, though current indicators show limited signs of such volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
95% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
95% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.**Trader consensus at 95.6% Yes reflects the structural and candidate dynamics in Georgia’s 1st congressional district.** The open seat, vacated by Republican Buddy Carter, sits in a solidly Republican district where recent ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid R. Republican nominee James Kingston secured a primary majority exceeding 50% in May 2026 against a split field, while Democrat Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June runoff. With only a minor third-party candidate on the November 3 general ballot, historical vote shares and low competitiveness make a majority outcome for the Republican frontrunner the baseline expectation under Georgia’s majority-vote rule for congressional races.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic tailwind that narrows the margin below 50%, though current indicators show limited signs of such volatility.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,144Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.**Trader consensus at 95.6% Yes reflects the structural and candidate dynamics in Georgia’s 1st congressional district.** The open seat, vacated by Republican Buddy Carter, sits in a solidly Republican district where recent ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid R. Republican nominee James Kingston secured a primary majority exceeding 50% in May 2026 against a split field, while Democrat Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June runoff. With only a minor third-party candidate on the November 3 general ballot, historical vote shares and low competitiveness make a majority outcome for the Republican frontrunner the baseline expectation under Georgia’s majority-vote rule for congressional races.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic tailwind that narrows the margin below 50%, though current indicators show limited signs of such volatility.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
Volume
$1,144Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 95.6% Yes reflects the structural and candidate dynamics in Georgia’s 1st congressional district.** The open seat, vacated by Republican Buddy Carter, sits in a solidly Republican district where recent ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid R. Republican nominee James Kingston secured a primary majority exceeding 50% in May 2026 against a split field, while Democrat Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June runoff. With only a minor third-party candidate on the November 3 general ballot, historical vote shares and low competitiveness make a majority outcome for the Republican frontrunner the baseline expectation under Georgia’s majority-vote rule for congressional races. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic tailwind that narrows the margin below 50%, though current indicators show limited signs of such volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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