The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary continues to fragment voter support, leaving first-place odds tightly clustered near even money for multiple contenders. Tom Begich, the leading Democrat and former Senate minority leader, benefits from more consolidated backing compared to the Republican side, where figures like Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, and Shelley Hughes divide conservative votes. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets in July have offered limited separation, while late entry by former Governor Bill Walker adds further uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation and the short timeline to election day, with polling averages showing no dominant frontrunner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTom Begich 43%
Matt Heilala 38%
James Parkin 37%
Bruce Walden 37%

Tom Begich
56%

Matt Heilala
38%

James Parkin
37%

Bruce Walden
37%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
37%

Click Bishop
37%

Edna DeVries
37%

Matt Claman
37%

Lesil McGuire
37%

Bill Walker
37%

Dave Bronson
36%

Treg Taylor
36%

Hank Kroll
34%

Adam Crum
32%

Shelley Hughes
32%

Jessica Faircloth
32%

Bernadette Wilson
31%

Gregg Brelsford
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
25%

Nancy Dahlstrom
20%
Tom Begich 43%
Matt Heilala 38%
James Parkin 37%
Bruce Walden 37%

Tom Begich
56%

Matt Heilala
38%

James Parkin
37%

Bruce Walden
37%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
37%

Click Bishop
37%

Edna DeVries
37%

Matt Claman
37%

Lesil McGuire
37%

Bill Walker
37%

Dave Bronson
36%

Treg Taylor
36%

Hank Kroll
34%

Adam Crum
32%

Shelley Hughes
32%

Jessica Faircloth
32%

Bernadette Wilson
31%

Gregg Brelsford
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
25%

Nancy Dahlstrom
20%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary continues to fragment voter support, leaving first-place odds tightly clustered near even money for multiple contenders. Tom Begich, the leading Democrat and former Senate minority leader, benefits from more consolidated backing compared to the Republican side, where figures like Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, and Shelley Hughes divide conservative votes. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets in July have offered limited separation, while late entry by former Governor Bill Walker adds further uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation and the short timeline to election day, with polling averages showing no dominant frontrunner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti