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icon for Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?
Elezioni·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?

icon for Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?
Elezioni·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?

Mary Peltola 91.3%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.3%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,847 Vol.

Mary Peltola 91.3%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.3%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,847 Vol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$17,655 Vol.

91%

icon for Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

$10,816 Vol.

8%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$3,015 Vol.

<1%

Shirley Saucerman

$2,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$1,045 Vol.

<1%

Richard Benedict Mayers

$947 Vol.

<1%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

$969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$705 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carol Hafner

Carol Hafner

$752 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gerald L. Heikes

Gerald L. Heikes

$502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dan J. Sullivan

Dan J. Sullivan

$1,493 Vol.

<1%

Fred C. Grauberger

$1,713 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sid Hill

Sid Hill

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scott Kohlhaas

Scott Kohlhaas

$539 Vol.

<1%

Heather McElwain

$1,077 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reece Roberts

Reece Roberts

$634 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in the Alaska Senate primary as the sole high-profile Democrat in a crowded field of 16 candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. Her strong fundraising advantage, statewide name recognition from prior congressional service, and organized support have positioned her as the clear frontrunner for the most votes under Alaska's ranked-choice and advancement rules. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan faces vote fragmentation from multiple GOP challengers, including a same-named candidate, limiting his primary support. Traders price minor candidates near zero due to negligible visibility and resources. A late surge by an unpolled contender or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could theoretically disrupt the outcome, though no recent polling or developments indicate such shifts are imminent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$44,847
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in the Alaska Senate primary as the sole high-profile Democrat in a crowded field of 16 candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. Her strong fundraising advantage, statewide name recognition from prior congressional service, and organized support have positioned her as the clear frontrunner for the most votes under Alaska's ranked-choice and advancement rules. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan faces vote fragmentation from multiple GOP challengers, including a same-named candidate, limiting his primary support. Traders price minor candidates near zero due to negligible visibility and resources. A late surge by an unpolled contender or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could theoretically disrupt the outcome, though no recent polling or developments indicate such shifts are imminent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$44,847
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Correlati

icon for Mary Peltola vincerà le primarie per il Senato in Alaska con un margine del 3–6%?

Mary Peltola vincerà le primarie per il Senato in Alaska con un margine del 3–6%?

43%
Sì
icon for Mary Peltola vincerà la corsa al Senato dell'Alaska nel 2026?

Mary Peltola vincerà la corsa al Senato dell'Alaska nel 2026?

51%
Sì
icon for Tom Begich si classificherà primo nelle primarie per il Governatore dell'Alaska del 2026?

Tom Begich si classificherà primo nelle primarie per il Governatore dell'Alaska del 2026?

61%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mary Peltola" a 91%, seguito da "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" a 8%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 91¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?" ha generato $44.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?" è "Mary Peltola" a 91%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" a 8%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Votare vincitore nella fase finale delle primarie del Senato dell'Alaska?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.