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Politica·Elezione

Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo

icon for Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo
Politica·Elezione

Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo

Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem 37%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 31%

Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato 20%

I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato 18%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem 37%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 31%

Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato 20%

I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato 18%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem

$75 Vol.

37%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani

$0 Vol.

31%

Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato

$0 Vol.

20%

I Dem vincono il Governatore, i Rep vincono il Senato

$20 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola as a toss-up, with narrow margins and Peltola holding slight edges in some surveys amid strong fundraising and labor support. The open gubernatorial contest, created by term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded Republican primary field including Click Bishop and Dave Bronson alongside Democrat Tom Begich as the leading contender. Alaska's August 18 top-four primary under ranked-choice voting introduces additional uncertainty for both races, as vote distribution and advancement will shape general-election pairings. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for split outcomes and the broad "Other" category in trader pricing, reflecting fragmented fields and the potential for cross-party results in November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$95
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola as a toss-up, with narrow margins and Peltola holding slight edges in some surveys amid strong fundraising and labor support. The open gubernatorial contest, created by term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded Republican primary field including Click Bishop and Dave Bronson alongside Democrat Tom Begich as the leading contender. Alaska's August 18 top-four primary under ranked-choice voting introduces additional uncertainty for both races, as vote distribution and advancement will shape general-election pairings. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for split outcomes and the broad "Other" category in trader pricing, reflecting fragmented fields and the potential for cross-party results in November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$95
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e per il Governatore del Maine?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e per il Governatore del Maine?

64%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Michigan?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Michigan?

56%
Sì
icon for I repubblicani vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Texas?

I repubblicani vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Texas?

44%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem" a 37%, seguito da "Vittoria totale dei repubblicani" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 37¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo" è "Vittoria schiacciante dei Dem" a 37%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Vittoria totale dei repubblicani" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Alaska Senato e Governatore Combo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.