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Politica·Elezione

Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo

icon for Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo
Politica·Elezione

Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato 71%

Vittoria a valanga dei Dem 14%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 11%

Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato 1.1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato 71%

Vittoria a valanga dei Dem 14%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 11%

Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato 1.1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato

$1,818 Vol.

71%

Vittoria a valanga dei Dem

$1,292 Vol.

14%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani

$588 Vol.

11%

Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato

$38 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire voters will decide an open U.S. Senate seat and the governorship on November 3, 2026, following September 8 primaries. Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte maintains a steady lead in recent polling against Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington, reflecting the state’s recent pattern of supporting Republican executives. The Senate contest is tighter, with Democrat Chris Pappas holding modest edges over Republican John Sununu in June surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire, though some matchups remain within the margin of error. These results align with trader consensus favoring a divided outcome, where Republicans retain the governorship while Democrats capture the Senate seat, consistent with New Hampshire’s history of ticket-splitting in statewide races. Upcoming primary results and fall polling will provide further clarity on whether the competitive Senate dynamic persists into the general election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$3,736
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire voters will decide an open U.S. Senate seat and the governorship on November 3, 2026, following September 8 primaries. Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte maintains a steady lead in recent polling against Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington, reflecting the state’s recent pattern of supporting Republican executives. The Senate contest is tighter, with Democrat Chris Pappas holding modest edges over Republican John Sununu in June surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire, though some matchups remain within the margin of error. These results align with trader consensus favoring a divided outcome, where Republicans retain the governorship while Democrats capture the Senate seat, consistent with New Hampshire’s history of ticket-splitting in statewide races. Upcoming primary results and fall polling will provide further clarity on whether the competitive Senate dynamic persists into the general election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$3,736
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e per il Governatore del Maine?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e per il Governatore del Maine?

63%
Sì
icon for I democratici vinceranno tutte le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Iowa?

I democratici vinceranno tutte le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Iowa?

37%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

31%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato" a 71%, seguito da "Vittoria a valanga dei Dem" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 71¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo" è "I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il senato" a 71%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Vittoria a valanga dei Dem" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Senato del New Hampshire e Governatore Combo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.