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Politica·Rob Sand

Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa

icon for Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa
Politica·Rob Sand

Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa

Vittoria totale dei Dems 34%

Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato 34%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 33%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il Senato 3.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria totale dei Dems 34%

Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato 34%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 33%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il Senato 3.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria totale dei Dems

$252 Vol.

34%

Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato

$1,597 Vol.

34%

Vittoria totale dei repubblicani

$796 Vol.

33%

I repubblicani vincono il governatore, i democratici vincono il Senato

$251 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Iowa's open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial contests both feature competitive general-election matchups after June 2026 primaries, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek for the Senate seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst and Democrat Rob Sand opposing Republican Zach Lahn for the governorship after Gov. Kim Reynolds opted not to seek another term. Recent August polling shows the Senate race essentially tied, while Sand maintains a modest lead in the governor's contest, creating balanced trader expectations across split outcomes and full sweeps. The elevated share assigned to "Other" reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, late-campaign dynamics, and potential for divided control given Iowa's recent partisan trends and the absence of an incumbent advantage in either race.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,896
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Iowa's open U.S. Senate and gubernatorial contests both feature competitive general-election matchups after June 2026 primaries, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek for the Senate seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst and Democrat Rob Sand opposing Republican Zach Lahn for the governorship after Gov. Kim Reynolds opted not to seek another term. Recent August polling shows the Senate race essentially tied, while Sand maintains a modest lead in the governor's contest, creating balanced trader expectations across split outcomes and full sweeps. The elevated share assigned to "Other" reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns, late-campaign dynamics, and potential for divided control given Iowa's recent partisan trends and the absence of an incumbent advantage in either race.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,896
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Correlati

icon for I repubblicani vinceranno le elezioni per il governatore del New Hampshire e i democratici vinceranno le elezioni per il senato del New Hampshire?

I repubblicani vinceranno le elezioni per il governatore del New Hampshire e i democratici vinceranno le elezioni per il senato del New Hampshire?

71%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

36%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Michigan?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Michigan?

56%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Vittoria totale dei Dems" a 34%, seguito da "Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 34¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa" è "Vittoria totale dei Dems" a 34%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dem vincono Governatore, Rep vincono Senato" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Combo Senato e Governatore dell'Iowa" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.