Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote, producing a margin near 32 points over challenger Karishma Manzur. Pappas benefited from early and prominent endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Senators Elizabeth Warren and Mark Kelly, alongside a fundraising edge exceeding $15 million. As a four-term House member representing the state’s First District, he maintained broad support among moderate and establishment voters in a primary that remained low-intensity compared with other 2026 contests. Manzur, a first-time progressive candidate focused on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, consolidated opposition backing but lacked the organizational or financial resources to close the gap shown in earlier polling. The resulting vote distribution aligns with trader consensus on a 30–35 point margin, though final certification and any late adjustments could still influence precise resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.9%
Pappas 15–20% 2.9%
Pappas 40%+ 1.6%
$6,161 Vol.
$6,161 Vol.
8 set 2026
Pappas 40%+
2%
Pappas 35–40%
3%
Pappas 30–35%
98%
Pappas 25–30%
<1%
Pappas 20–25%
1%
Pappas 15–20%
3%
Pappas 10–15%
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
<1%
Pappas 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 5%+
<1%
Pappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.9%
Pappas 15–20% 2.9%
Pappas 40%+ 1.6%
$6,161 Vol.
$6,161 Vol.
8 set 2026
Pappas 40%+
$1,739 Vol.
2%
Pappas 35–40%
$305 Vol.
3%
Pappas 30–35%
$470 Vol.
98%
Pappas 25–30%
$359 Vol.
<1%
Pappas 20–25%
$671 Vol.
1%
Pappas 15–20%
$787 Vol.
3%
Pappas 10–15%
$411 Vol.
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
$384 Vol.
<1%
Pappas 0–5%
$422 Vol.
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
$363 Vol.
<1%
Manzur 5%+
$250 Vol.
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote, producing a margin near 32 points over challenger Karishma Manzur. Pappas benefited from early and prominent endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Senators Elizabeth Warren and Mark Kelly, alongside a fundraising edge exceeding $15 million. As a four-term House member representing the state’s First District, he maintained broad support among moderate and establishment voters in a primary that remained low-intensity compared with other 2026 contests. Manzur, a first-time progressive candidate focused on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, consolidated opposition backing but lacked the organizational or financial resources to close the gap shown in earlier polling. The resulting vote distribution aligns with trader consensus on a 30–35 point margin, though final certification and any late adjustments could still influence precise resolution.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Volume
$6,161Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote, producing a margin near 32 points over challenger Karishma Manzur. Pappas benefited from early and prominent endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Senators Elizabeth Warren and Mark Kelly, alongside a fundraising edge exceeding $15 million. As a four-term House member representing the state’s First District, he maintained broad support among moderate and establishment voters in a primary that remained low-intensity compared with other 2026 contests. Manzur, a first-time progressive candidate focused on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, consolidated opposition backing but lacked the organizational or financial resources to close the gap shown in earlier polling. The resulting vote distribution aligns with trader consensus on a 30–35 point margin, though final certification and any late adjustments could still influence precise resolution.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$6,161Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote, producing a margin near 32 points over challenger Karishma Manzur. Pappas benefited from early and prominent endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Senators Elizabeth Warren and Mark Kelly, alongside a fundraising edge exceeding $15 million. As a four-term House member representing the state’s First District, he maintained broad support among moderate and establishment voters in a primary that remained low-intensity compared with other 2026 contests. Manzur, a first-time progressive candidate focused on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, consolidated opposition backing but lacked the organizational or financial resources to close the gap shown in earlier polling. The resulting vote distribution aligns with trader consensus on a 30–35 point margin, though final certification and any late adjustments could still influence precise resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni per il Senato del New Hampshire nel 2026 con un margine tra il 3% e il 6%?
24%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni governative del New Hampshire del 2026 con un margine tra il 12% e il 15%?
19%
Sì
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?
23%
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