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icon for Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Elezioni In Russia

Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

icon for Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Elezioni In Russia

Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

325–339 43%

340–354 24%

310–324 18.1%

295–309 6.1%

Polymarket

$848,909 Vol.

325–339 43%

340–354 24%

310–324 18.1%

295–309 6.1%

Polymarket

$848,909 Vol.

<280

$319,658 Vol.

3%

280–294

$113,431 Vol.

3%

295–309

$72,439 Vol.

6%

310–324

$99,846 Vol.

18%

325–339

$75,994 Vol.

43%

340–354

$82,592 Vol.

24%

355+

$84,950 Vol.

6%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's commanding position in Russia's mixed electoral system, backed by extensive administrative resources, state media dominance, and exclusion of non-systemic opposition parties like Yabloko, underpins trader expectations for 325–339 seats as the leading outcome. Recent state polls from VTsIOM and FOM place the party at 47–53% on the party-list vote, consistent with retaining a supermajority well above the current 310 seats amid candidate renewal that includes war veterans. Kremlin adjustments to turnout and vote-share targets reflect war-related economic pressures and fatigue, yet these factors have not altered the broad consensus around modest gains in the 325–354 band. The tightly managed three-day vote starting September 18 limits volatility, with single-mandate district results likely determining final margins within the most probable ranges.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$848,909
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's commanding position in Russia's mixed electoral system, backed by extensive administrative resources, state media dominance, and exclusion of non-systemic opposition parties like Yabloko, underpins trader expectations for 325–339 seats as the leading outcome. Recent state polls from VTsIOM and FOM place the party at 47–53% on the party-list vote, consistent with retaining a supermajority well above the current 310 seats amid candidate renewal that includes war veterans. Kremlin adjustments to turnout and vote-share targets reflect war-related economic pressures and fatigue, yet these factors have not altered the broad consensus around modest gains in the 325–354 band. The tightly managed three-day vote starting September 18 limits volatility, with single-mandate district results likely determining final margins within the most probable ranges.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$848,909
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

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Sì
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"Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "325–339" a 43%, seguito da "340–354" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" ha generato $848.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è "325–339" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "340–354" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.