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icon for Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Elezioni In Russia

Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

icon for Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Elezioni In Russia

Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

325–339 42%

340–354 28%

310–324 15.7%

295–309 5.8%

Polymarket

$1,069,545 Vol.

325–339 42%

340–354 28%

310–324 15.7%

295–309 5.8%

Polymarket

$1,069,545 Vol.

<280

$374,420 Vol.

2%

280–294

$148,727 Vol.

3%

295–309

$98,311 Vol.

6%

310–324

$128,501 Vol.

16%

325–339

$107,238 Vol.

42%

340–354

$110,290 Vol.

28%

355+

$102,058 Vol.

6%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent with extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system favoring party-list and single-member district control, and limited genuine opposition participation after Yabloko’s exclusion and constraints on other parties. These factors align trader consensus around the 325–354 seat band as the most probable outcome range while leaving room for modest variation based on turnout mobilization and district results. Recent primaries renewed portions of the candidate list, and state-aligned polling projects the party near or above 45–50 percent support amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, consistent with its 2021 baseline of 324 seats. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People are expected to split the remainder without threatening the leading bloc.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$1,069,545
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election as the dominant incumbent with extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system favoring party-list and single-member district control, and limited genuine opposition participation after Yabloko’s exclusion and constraints on other parties. These factors align trader consensus around the 325–354 seat band as the most probable outcome range while leaving room for modest variation based on turnout mobilization and district results. Recent primaries renewed portions of the candidate list, and state-aligned polling projects the party near or above 45–50 percent support amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, consistent with its 2021 baseline of 324 seats. Systemic parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People are expected to split the remainder without threatening the leading bloc.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$1,069,545
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for Il partito Persone Nuove (NL) otterrà meno di 35 seggi alle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?

Il partito Persone Nuove (NL) otterrà meno di 35 seggi alle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?

82%
Sì
icon for Il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) otterrà meno di 45 seggi nelle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?

Il Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) otterrà meno di 45 seggi nelle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?

96%
Sì
icon for Il partito Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP) otterrà almeno un seggio nelle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?

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97%
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"Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "325–339" a 42%, seguito da "340–354" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" ha generato $1.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è "325–339" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "340–354" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Russia Unita siede alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.